Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/5/8)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(1/6/3/4)-(2/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/7/9/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(2/7/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(2/7/9/1/6)-(7/1/10/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (2/7/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/1/6)-(2/7/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/1/6)-(2/7/9/1/6)-(2/7/9/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/9/1/6)-(7/1/10/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/1/6)-(7/1/10/5/3)-(10/3/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (7/1/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/5/3)-(7/1/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/5/3)-(7/1/10/5/3)-(7/1/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/10/5/3)-(10/3/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/10/5/3)-(10/3/1/9)-(6/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (10/3/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/9)-(10/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/9)-(10/3/1/9)-(10/3/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/1/9)-(6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/1/9)-(6/7/2)-(2/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE PRINCESS         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  KATIES FACTOR         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  CRUSIN LIKE A CAT Jul07 Jun16       (landry ray)STOKES J 115 3.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GO AND WANDER by STREET CRY)
SCR  HART'S PRETTY GIRL Jul07 Jun16       (landry ray)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HARTFELT by KAFWAIN)
SCR  GOOD BY FAITH Jun11         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
6  MARIAH (CHI) Jul08         (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
7  MISS LEONA         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  EVE EVE         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 115 10.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
 
EVD-2   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Jul14 Jun09 May11 Nov30 Oct13 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 117 2.50    
2  GALLANT STAR Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 May22 May04 (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 117 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CRUSADER EXPRESS Jun23 Jun10 May18 Apr21 Mar15 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 117 20.00    
4  WHY JOEY WHY Jun01 Feb21 Feb02 Dec17 Aug24 (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 117 3.50    
5  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jun10 May04 Apr21 Mar24 Mar15 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  UNFATHOMED Jun15 Jun02 Feb17 Jan18 Dec27 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 3.00    
7  QUANA DUDE Jun29 Jun10 May12 Apr22 Feb16 (larrosa a)STOKES J 120 20.00    
8  FOOLISH DREAMS Jun23 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Apr12 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 112 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
EVD-3   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COROT Jun05 May12 Feb22 Jan19 Dec15 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  FLUFFPOINT Jun01 Apr14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan21 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 115 12.00    
3  AHIMAAZ Jun22 Jun04 May14 Feb15 Jan13 (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 17.60    
4  COMPLEX SYSTEM Jul01 Mar03 Jan20 Jun26 May12 (peterson j)ALBERT S 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jun24 Jun09 May20 Apr27 Mar24 (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
6  IN THE ARCH Jun30 May18 Apr21 Feb11 Jan12 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 113 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  CHIMNEY ROCK May26 Mar15 Jan27 Jan04 Nov23 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 115 20.00    
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Jun23 Jun10 May28 May05 Mar18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
9  MORE LIKE IT Jun17 Jun09 May27 May05 Mar19 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 2.50    
SCR  HIS GIANT Jul04 Jun05 Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 (gonzalez adriel)STOKES J 118 6.00    
 
EVD-4   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  F T W SLAM Jun15 Mar02 Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 118 4.50    
2  HARD FOUR Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Dec15 Nov24 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  PEANUT N IKE May10 Apr29 Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
4  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Jul06 Jun24 May22 May05 Apr14 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 114 6.00    
5  VIKING LEGACY Jun24 May19 Apr28 Mar10 Feb16 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDENLUTE Jun24 Apr28 Apr12 Feb22 Feb05 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
7  SKIPPA Jun30 May27 Apr08 Feb25 Feb01 (charles jon)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABERMAN Jul07 Jun09 May04 Apr08 Feb18 (averett ronni)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 15.00 15% 5.70    
2  ADMIRAL AFLEET Jun30 Jun09 May25 Apr27 Apr13 (perron gera)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MY LIL DUDE Jun09 May13 Apr22 Feb25 Jan14 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 1.60    
4  DARK MATTER Jun15 May30 May20 Apr29 Apr14 (silva walter)FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
5  BERNIE SPECIAL Jun02 Apr29 Jan06 Dec01 Oct14 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 123 12.00    
6  CATINANDSCATIN Jun30 Jun15 Jun02 May19 Apr29 (richard russell )STOKES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SABER STORM Jun15 May10 Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 123 6.00 21% 3.90    
8  TENSAS ALL OURS Jun22 May18 Dec01 Nov09   (courville )MARQUEZ L 118 4.50    
9  IDE LIKE HAWAII Jun09 May19 Apr27 Apr08 Feb18 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 118 20.00 20% 3.90    
10  K V TARGET Jun15 May10 Apr29 Apr14 Feb10 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 20.00    
SCR  ST JOE Jul07 Jun09 May26 May10 Apr27 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 123 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 Apr08 Feb03 (mouton chadwick )ROSIER R 118 10.00    
SCR  FLOWER CAT Jun25 May27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 (ingram steve)MELANCON G 123 8.00    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY May20 May06 Apr22 Mar10 Feb22 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
EVD-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ DONEGAL         (noel dane)POMPELL L 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TIZNOW out of MINERALOGIST by MINESHAFT)
2  KISSOFTHENILE Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May05 Apr23 (villafr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
3  MONOLITH Jun02         (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  GREAT RUNNER         (ladner herman)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
5  JOHNNNY'S GAME         (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 118 4.50 5% 18.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FLATTERMEWITHROSES by FLATTER)
6  MOTANAAFER Jun10 May19 Mar24 Mar05 Aug30 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KASEEMA by STORM CAT)
7  DONEGAL ARROW Feb10 Jan05       (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by ARROGATE out of THIS CAT CAN DANCE by VINDICATION)
SCR  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Jun24 May18       (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
  (by CRIDER out of JUNE G by WINTER HALO)
9  EMPYREAL SHADOW Jun05 May27 May06 Apr02 Mar11 (villafranco mar)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
10  GROSSE TETE IAN Jun30 Jun02       (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of DEVIL'S BACKBONE by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
 
EVD-7   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZZY'S BABY BOY Jul01 May19 Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  SEEHOSS Jul06 Jun17 May27 Apr19 Mar24 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 15.00    
3  RUN ROCKET Jun24 Jun09 May13 Apr29 Mar24 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  U S NAVY CROSS Jun17 May27 Apr30 Apr22 Jan28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
SCR  CHAOSMOS Jun17 Jun02 May13 Apr20 Mar10 (richard russell)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
6  STANDING MAN Jun29 Jun15 Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 117 10.00    
SCR  COACH KENNY Jun23 May20 Apr20 Mar25 Mar01 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
SCR  JACI'S ROYALTY Jun15 Jun02 May03 Aug06 Jul23 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 3.00    
9  AFLEET ASCENT Jun29 May29 May04 Mar04 Jan13 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  NATE'S ATTACK Jul06 Jun15 May29 May15 Apr12 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
11  ONE TIME GEM Jul14 May13 May03 Feb11 Jan15 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
SCR  TIO BLAS Jun19 Apr13 Mar01 Feb16 Jan05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
 
EVD-8   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  START WELL Jul06 May27 May04 Apr13 Mar19 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
2  CZAR'S BALLERINA Jun29 May25 Apr22 Mar08 Feb11 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  NEW DESTINY Jun03 May05 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 113 3.50    
4  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Jun03 Apr29 Feb23 Dec10 Nov18 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 6.00    
5  SCARLET STORM Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 Apr12 Jan27 (courville )MARQUEZ L 118 15.00    
6  CRYSTAL D'ORO Jul08 Jun03 May05 Apr15   (landry ray)STOKES J 113 3.00 34% 2.00    
7  FOR HARPER Jun03 May04 Apr19 Mar18 Feb25 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
EVD-9   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRAZY KATIE Jul01 Jun16 May12     (ney john)VARGAS P 118 2.50    
2  STRUMMIN MARY Jul01         (duke steven)POMPELL L 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
3  FAST OUT         (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 113 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  SPARKLE CITY Jul13 Jun29 May30 May11 Apr19 (zeno benja)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00    
5  SECRET GUITAR         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 17% 5.00    
6  DEE'S LIL FOOL Jul01 May03       (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 4.50    
7  DR STRICKLANDS ACE         (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  HAIRTRIGGER HEART Dec19 Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 Jun09 (zenon charl)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.