Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - June 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/6/2)-(5/4/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/4/1)-(4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(2/1/5/6) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-5   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(2/1/5/6)-(4/7/9/6/5) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(4/7/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/7/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/6/5)-(4/7/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/6/5)-(4/7/9/6/5)-(4/7/9/6/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTA BUSTER Jun13 May29 Apr22 Feb23 Jan21 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 1.20 26% 2.90    
OUTCOME Jun13 Sep26 Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 24% 3.20    
YEROSILVERBIZ Jun13 May29 Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
FRANKS RELOAD May30 Dec01 Nov10 Oct14 Sep25 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 1.40    
FELLER Jun20 Jun07 Apr30 Dec07 Nov10 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00    
 
ASD-2   06/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN POINTS Jun14 Jun06 Apr18 Mar26 Mar12 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 121 8.00    
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jun05 Apr19 Apr02 Feb23 Feb02 (morin shaun)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 10.00 11% 8.10    
THATSALOTOFBLING Jun14 May29 Apr29 Apr05 Mar13 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00    
ASTARTOBE Jun14 May22 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60 33% 2.10    
CANTERBURY GOLD Jun12 May29 Apr18 Apr03 Mar26 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 12.00    
FLYING TO THE LINE Jun14 Feb21 Feb08 Jan31 Dec17 (brown jared)CARRENO J 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
ASD-3   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITS OF LEMON DROP Jun12         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T KATZE ME Jun12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (maxwell curtis)BELLE SHAVON 123 30.00    
SCR  HELENS SPIRIT Jun07 Sep27 Sep07 Aug28 Aug15 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.50    
MOVE TO ORDER Jun07 May22 Apr21 Mar31 Jan29 (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00 6% 15.90    
FAST LANDING Nov04 Oct14 Sep03     (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.00 59% 0.70    
TALE OF ATREIDES Jun12 Jun07 Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 2.50    
 
ASD-4   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARBRIDGE Jun13 May30 Sep27 Sep20 Aug30 (gardipy j)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
DIAMOND DIGGER Jun19 Jun05 Jun01 Mar18   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
BITETHEBULLETBRO Jun19 Jun05 Sep28 Sep20 Aug30 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.50    
DRIZZY May30 Sep27 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
DRUM AND BASS May06 Apr02 Mar24 Mar04 Feb19 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 20.00    
CLUB CHAMP Jun12 May30 Sep27 Sep19 Sep06 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
 
ASD-5   06/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY CHUCKEE Jun12 Sep26 Sep13 Aug02 Jul11 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
WELL PLAYED Jun12 May23 Aug02 Jul16   (brown shelley)CARRENO J 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jun21 Jun05 Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00 13% 7.00    
LOVE OURS Jun20 Jun14 May30 May13 Apr29 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00    
BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Jun14 Nov25 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 (brown shelley)NELSON DANE 117 4.00    
TARA TATTOO Dec08 Nov27 Nov11 Oct23 Sep25 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
ATABOYCOOKIE Jun14 Oct21 Sep27 Sep13   (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 124 5.00    
 
ASD-6   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MECHANIC SUSIE Jun14 May30 Sep26 Aug23   (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jun14 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 3.00 50% 1.00    
OLIVE'S CANDY Jun14 May22 Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 5.00    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Apr29 Feb10 Dec23 Oct29   (brown jared)CARRENO J 117 8.00    
REASONABLY LOVELY Jun20 Apr21 Mar29 Mar17 Jan27 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.00 7% 14.10    
SILVERCREEK LADY Sep27 Sep05       (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
TECATE GOLD Jun14 May30 Apr18 Mar18 Feb20 (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 119 20.00    
 
ASD-7   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST La Verendrye Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jun13 Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 Feb04 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 118 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAKETHEODDS by STREET SENSE)
BURROW DOWN Apr24 Apr01 Sep10 Aug20 Jul26 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 118 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
VEILAZIG Jun10 May07 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 30.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of VEILLIT' by LIT DE JUSTICE)
MELISANDRE Jun06 May23 Sep12 Sep07 Aug24 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 65% 0.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
ORANGE THEORY Jun13 Jun06 May23 Oct29 Oct08 (brown shelley)NELSON DANE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
TEXAS RAIN Jun06 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (duncan murray)ALI RONALD 118 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
MISSION BELLE Jun06 May13 Apr16 Feb25 Jan06 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAYOU BREEZE by A.P. INDY)
ALBERTA SUN Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 118 1.80    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
BIG STRETCH Jun13 May23 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 10.00 5% 18.60    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.