Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/5/1/6)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(2/5/3)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/3/1)-(5/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/7/4)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(4/2/6)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/5/6)-(7/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   06/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY STAR Jun15 May31       (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
2  LIL CARRIE D Jun04 May14 Apr23 Mar12 Dec30 (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 4.50    
3  SHE APPEALS HOLY         (weir george)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00    
4  BUNNY SHINE May31         (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
5  IZZY'S MONSTER May25 Oct15 Sep15 Aug20   (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
6  PRETTY IN PRADO Jun04 May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 (boyce michel)GILES EMMANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
HAW-2   06/22/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA HOTEL May21 Mar05 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
2  LAVENDER EARL May18 Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 Dec04 (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
3  LAND MARK DEAL Jun01 Feb24 Feb12 Jan19 Nov26 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  PAYSTER Dec14 Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 Oct16 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
5  STAR OF KODIAK Jun01 May16 Apr13 Mar12 Dec31 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
6  KENNESAW May21 Apr06 Mar12 Feb23 Jan05 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  WEST COAST CHROME May20 May06 Apr22 Nov30 Oct14 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
HAW-3   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNA MASSA May27 May03 Apr02 Mar09 Sep30 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.50    
2  KANT BELIEVE IT Mar09 Jan21 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
3  MOVE IT BABY Jun08 Sep08 Jul26     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 4.00 7% 13.30    
4  BACKSTAGE BAMBI Jun10 May27 May09 Sep24 Sep10 (randazzo te)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
5  SPECIALIZIN Apr02 Jun23       (rivelli larry)FELIX E 117 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
HAW-4   06/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINBALLER Jun14 May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar19 (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  ICE BLAST Jun04 May21 Apr30 Mar12 Feb10 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
3  FLYING SAMURAI Jun04 Nov02 Sep29 Aug29 Jul14 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  MOVE ON OVER May21 Apr23 Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00    
5  RICHIESONAROLL Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 Dec24 Dec03 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50    
6  MISTER CHARMING Jun04 Apr13 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-5   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J Z'S FINE WINE Jun07 May21 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of JO JO'S WINE by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  DREAM FLY Sep08 Aug25 Jul14 May27   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BOMBO GENESIS by AFLEET ALEX)
3  I'M BOX OFFICE Aug18 Jul13       (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ASKBUT I WON'TTELL by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
4  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Dec03         (block chris)COLON H 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  PATIENCE WORTH Apr27 Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 (harty eoin)EMIGH A 119 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HYSTERICALADY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  VOSTRA Jun03 May14 Dec16 Nov26 Oct15 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 119 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
7  JOYZELLA Jun07 May14 Apr23 Apr06 Mar12 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 114 15.00 8% 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
 
HAW-6   06/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL COAXING Jun01 May11 Jan28 Dec29 Sep17 (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
2  READTHECLIFFNOTES Jun01 Jan27 Nov13 Oct29 Oct15 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  SPORT PEPPER Jun14 Mar19 Jan01     (zavash kerr)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
4  SILVER QUARTERS Jun01 May11 Apr16 Dec11 Nov20 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  MILLARD'S SMILE Jun04 May26 May14 Apr27 Feb26 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
6  NOTARY Jun01 Apr29 Mar21 Mar12 Jan22 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
HAW-7   06/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIAN MAFIA May31 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan13 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50    
SCR  PLUS CHIC Jun07 Dec18 Nov25 Oct16 Sep23 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  MY LIPS ARE SEALED Jun01 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Nov18 (block chris)EMIGH A 124 4.00    
4  KATHAAN May31 Apr22 Jan19 Nov25 Oct30 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  CAT ATTACK May21 Dec02 Nov11 Oct08 Sep24 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  MORRIE'S JOY May31 Oct23 Aug04 Jul17 Jun17 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LET'S CRUISE (NZ) Apr29 Jul09 Jun18 May08 Apr24 (robertson hu)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50    
 
HAW-8   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY TWENTY Jun11 Jun04 May06 Apr22 Sep17 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
2  RUNNERS HEAT Jun11 May18 Apr27 Mar30 Dec30 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
3  GO STORMIN GIRL Jun11 May25 May02 Apr06 Mar05 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Jan10 (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  TRIP TO FREEDOM May19 Apr23 Mar19 Dec17   (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 5.00    
6  ORDAINED KISS Oct09 Sep13 Aug02 Jun10   (bahena fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 3.50    
7  SHEZ RECKLESS May25 Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.