Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(7/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(7/5/4/8)-(4/5/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/8)-(4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/8)-(4/5/7/2)-(9/2/7/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(9/2/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(9/2/7/4/1)-(5/7/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/2/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/4/1)-(9/2/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/4/1)-(9/2/7/4/1)-(9/2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/7/4/1)-(5/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/4/1)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/4/9/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(5/4/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(5/4/9/6/2)-(1/6/2/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/6/2)-(5/4/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/6/2)-(5/4/9/6/2)-(5/4/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/9/6/2)-(1/6/2/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/9/8)-(1/6/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/9/8)-(1/6/2/9/8)-(1/6/2/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   06/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUNK TEXT May26 May06 Apr22     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
2  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE May18 Apr27       (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
3  I SEE NOTHING Apr27         (perry e)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
SCR  MEETMARYSMAN Jun02 May12 May06 Apr29 Apr06 (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 7% 13.60    
5  UNCLE PRESS May18 Apr27 Apr13     (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
6  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr08 Mar18 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 124 5.00    
7  SENZA STRIKE Jun01 Apr27       (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  KING OF LUCK Jun01 May18 Apr29     (brown ro)BUTTERFLY L 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
CT-2   06/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER WORTHY May26 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 Jan18 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  TENNIS TAP May05 Apr21 Feb08 Jan06 Nov24 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 13% 6.90    
3  EX RATED May12 Apr21 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00    
4  MY SISTER PAM May05 Apr13 Feb24 Jan20 Nov24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 6% 15.90    
5  SARAH'S WARRIOR May12 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Jan19 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
6  MAY MAYS CASTLE Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Jan20 Nov24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00    
7  PEARLY GHOST May12 Apr21 Mar10 Feb08 Jan20 (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
8  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jun02 May05 Apr13 Mar02 Feb16 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
 
CT-3   06/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ADAGE Apr28 Apr08       (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
2  FLOOR IT Mar12 Feb26 Jan06 Dec11 Sep04 (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CRYSTAL MINUET by THEATRICAL (IRE))
3  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) May20 May05 Apr06 Mar31 Mar10 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
4  MAKIN' GOLD Jun03 May13 Mar31 Mar10   (campbell mars)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of NEWS MAKIN by MAKIN)
5  O'CONNER SUNSET May25 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Dec24 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CURLIN out of MISS SUNSET by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  TEMPESTIVO May05 Apr13       (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
7  INFINITE SERIES May06 Mar11 Dec17     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 63% 0.60    
  (by TIZNOW out of WAVES OF BLUE by QUALITY ROAD)
8  MONEY MAC Jun03 May04 Apr21 Apr08   (cruz jaime)WOODSON H 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SPRING FLING by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CT-4   06/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOASTER Jan12 Nov18 Oct27 Aug26 Jul15 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
2  HERO'S MAN May19 Apr29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUBBA GRUMP May11 Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
4  MUAD'DIB Apr22 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 65% 0.50    
5  FANCY CONCHO May19 Apr15 Mar11 Feb09 Dec10 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
6  COMMAND THE CAT May19 Apr15 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
7  SHAMELESS RISK Apr27 Nov03 Oct13 Sep17 Aug26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   06/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WILDCAT May27 Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 Jan28 (pennella rh)ESQUILIN J 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE BIT OF THAT May26 Apr14 Feb17 Feb10 Dec29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
3  SALTY SAUL May06 Apr14 Mar04 Feb10 Jan11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
4  THUNDER PUNCH May13 May05 Mar01 Jan21 Dec08 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SISTER'S DUTY Jun02 Apr20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
6  FORTES May26 May05 Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
7  CAPTAIN SAM May26 May04 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 (collyer j)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 7% 13.10    
8  SCARLET TANAGER May25 Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 (spriggs tosch)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
9  INCLUDE THE BEAST May26 Apr13 Mar23 Jan28 Dec08 (garrido rau)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
CT-6   06/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN OF CLASS May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb03 Jan07 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
2  HELLUVA LADY May11 Apr27 Feb16 Jan06 Dec10 (laguna )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  SKYFLY Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 Oct22 (locklear james)CECIL Y 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANATH May28 May06 Apr06 Mar19 Feb25 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 15.00    
5  DIAL HER May04 Mar25 Feb04 Jan12 Nov17 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
6  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Jun05 May04 Mar11 Feb19 Jan28 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 3.00    
7  REVEIRS MINUTE May20 Apr06 Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
8  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 Nov12 Oct05 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 110 10.00    
9  MIDNIGHT REGRET May04 Oct26 Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
 
CT-7   06/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA BOUND Jun02 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
2  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE May19 Apr14 Mar31 Dec01 Nov12 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEVERFOLD Jun04 Apr28 Apr06 Mar25 Feb23 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
4  HAZEDNCONFUSED May25 Apr27 Mar18 Feb15 Jan04 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  LOGSTRADAMUS May25 Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
6  NO LOVE FOR JUBA May25 Mar31 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  REATA'S CASTLE May25 Apr14 Mar31 Feb08 Jan19 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
8  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Dec16 Dec04 Nov16 Oct05 Sep10 (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
9  S S SPARTAN ENERGY May26 May06 Apr06 Mar11 Feb17 (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 110 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
CT-8   06/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING FREE May04 Mar23 Feb24     (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  SULTRY SALLY H Jun02 May04 Apr08 Feb25 Feb05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKE IT GIRL Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar01 Jan18 (collyer j)BOCACHICA J 108 30.00    
4  TWO STEP SALLY May12 Apr06 Jan14     (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00    
5  HOLY DELITE Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Nov19 Nov05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00    
6  MAMA'S EYES May25 Mar19 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
7  BALLYMENA (GB) Mar16 Feb15 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
8  HANNAHS RED RUBY Nov17 Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 Aug18 (malgarin)BUTTERFLY L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  COMIDA COMIDA May12         (sterling michae)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOV LANE Jun09 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.