Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Energy Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EDR-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-5   WIN (1/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-7   WIN (6/9/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/2)-(6/9/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/2)-(6/9/7/2)-(6/9/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EDR-1   05/29/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPULZIVE STORM         (matt r)LARSEN S 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by EMBEZZLEMENT out of IMPULZIVE KATE by PULZARR)
2  NORTHERN LIMIT         (nelson bucks)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 5% 17.70    
  (by NORTHERN SOLDIER out of LIMITLESSINYELLOW by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT)
3  VALIANT KNIGHT         (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WHISPER LOUISE by BERNARDINI)
4  SHE GOOD SAMARITAN         (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  DENNYS LEGACY         (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 3.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of BEYOND THE REACH by SAHM)
6  EFFORTLESS LADY         (maldonado mar)JIMENEZ DAVID 123 5.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
 
EDR-3   05/29/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BLUE NOTE Apr24 Mar29 Mar04 Feb21 Feb09 (matt wendell)BETHKE A 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  MAXIMUS THE GREAT May21 Aug09 Aug02 Jul03 Jun26 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  STREET N SOUR May21 May06 Apr22 Mar26 Mar17 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 4.00    
4  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Sep12 Aug23 May27 May12 Mar19 (hibdon mark )JOURNET JARRED 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  EXPECT ROYAL May12 Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Feb11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 128 2.50    
6  STREET BEHAVIOR May13 Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Dec18 (moody skip)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 128 8.00    
 
EDR-5   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY CAT May14 May07 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 (johnson robe)BARRON EZEKIEL 128 5.00 33% 2.10    
2  GIGGLES AND SMOKE May20 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (thompson grady)SAENZ JOE 128 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  SHOE GAME May05 Apr08 Mar21 Mar06 Jan30 (matt wendell)BETHKE A 128 3.50    
4  D'WILD MUFFIN May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar03 Feb25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 128 4.00    
5  QUEEN OF THE ICE May19 May14 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 (ducheneaux jamie)LARSEN S 128 8.00    
6  TRICKY MOM May21 May05 Apr29 Apr23 Apr15 (nelson bucksho)JAMES JARELL 128 4.50 26% 2.80    
7  ALWAYS A TIZ May19 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 8.00    
8  UNTETHERED SOUL May21 May20 May14 Apr14 Apr02 (ducheneaux jam)LUARK T 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EDR-7   05/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Richard Dick Tate Memorial Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BONDSMAN May06 Jun25 Jun11 May22 Apr08 (cross p)BARRON EZEKIEL 128 5.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of TRUE JEAN by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  SCOOTER'S BOY May20 May06 Apr30 Apr15 Apr01 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  SAN GIORGIO May14 May06 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 128 6.00    
  (by GIROLAMO out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
SCR  JERSEY LUTE May19         (addicott rona)BENNETT TERRY 128 12.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DANCING LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  OREGON COUNTY May20 May13 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 (hibdon mark )JOURNET JARRED 128 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of DIVINE DORIS by DIVINE PARK)
6  LOVETHATCAUSE May20 May13 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 128 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LOVETHATPONI by VOLPONI)
7  TEXAS LONG BOW May14 May07 Apr02 Mar18 Mar05 (nelson bucks)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 10.00 14% 6.30    
  (by CROSSBOW out of DETERMINED DARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) May21 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 8.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of POINTED QUESTION by POINT GIVEN)
9  BARBIERE May14 Apr08 Mar12 Feb14 Jan10 (tsosie terrill)ELLIS DEVON 128 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
10  STAGE DOOR May06 Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DE STAR XPRESS by SEA OF SECRETS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.