Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(8/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(8/1/4/2)-(6/7/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/2)-(8/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/2)-(8/1/4/2)-(8/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/2)-(6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/2)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/4/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/4)-(3/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(3/4/5/6)-(7/4/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(7/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/6)-(7/4/6/3)-(9/2/6/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3)-(9/2/6/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/3)-(9/2/6/4/8)-(2/8/5/9/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/2/6/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/4/8)-(9/2/6/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/4/8)-(9/2/6/4/8)-(9/2/6/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/4/8)-(2/8/5/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/4/8)-(2/8/5/9/4)-(2/9/4/1/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/5/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/9/4)-(2/8/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/9/4)-(2/8/5/9/4)-(2/8/5/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/9/4)-(2/9/4/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/9/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/1/3)-(2/9/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/1/3)-(2/9/4/1/3)-(2/9/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSES WATER Apr21 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 64% 0.60    
2  SPEIGHTY SENSE May05 Mar23 Mar11 Jan25 Jan01 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00    
3  MUD BUG Feb09 Jan08 Oct22 Oct07 Jul29 (walters david )MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY SLICK NICK May05 Apr21 Apr14 Mar11 Feb16 (stahlin john)CECIL Y 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHASING STORMS Apr01 Jan20       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
6  NET WORTH Apr22 Apr10 Feb24 Jan21   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.60 12% 7.30    
7  CAN'T STOP MAXEY Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Dec21 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
 
CT-2   05/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARY DOING BIZ May04 Apr13 Mar02 Nov10 Sep28 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
2  SAFE REEZAN May04 Apr13 Jan12 Nov24 Sep28 (reynolds)BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  MAKE IT A DOUBLE May04 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00    
4  DON'T EATTHE APPLE May08 Apr24 Oct13 Sep23 Aug09 (acquilano)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
5  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
6  SCARLET TANAGER Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Jan20 (spriggs tos)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 8.00    
7  LADY LICIOUS Apr08 Mar16 Mar01 Jan11 Nov26 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
8  STYLISH PAINT Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 Dec10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CT-3   05/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAP Apr15 Feb24 Feb17 Jan13 Aug20 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.00    
2  PARISIAN SUMMER Mar01 Jan27 Jan18 Oct03 Sep15 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
3  KELSEY'S ANGEL May07 Apr08 Mar17 Feb17   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
4  HEARD Jan29 Dec11 Oct07 Sep03 Aug28 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MADI'S TUNE         (kravets m)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
6  MAMA'S EYES Mar19 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Sep02 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 49% 1.10    
7  TALENTED CORINNA May04 Apr15 Feb17 Jan13 Oct28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
CT-4   05/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE N GOLD Apr27 Nov05 Oct05 Sep10 Aug19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
2  ACASHA'S INTUITION Apr27 Mar31 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
3  ROAD PARTY Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Mar25 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 26% 2.80    
4  HAZEDNCONFUSED Apr27 Mar18 Feb15 Jan04 Nov23 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Mar31 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 21% 3.80    
6  LOGSTRADAMUS Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 8% 11.70    
7  REATA'S CASTLE Apr14 Mar31 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
 
CT-5   05/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OK EMILY Apr29 Feb22       (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
2  PRETTY CASTLE May04 Apr13 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
3  JADE SKYE Sep03 Aug19       (straughn willia)WOODSON H 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BELIEVE I CAN May04         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb04 Jan21 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.00    
6  LOCKDOWN VANNA Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan21 (locklear james)CECIL Y 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  S S CASINO GIRL May04 Apr07 Mar23 Feb16   (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 1.80 35% 1.80    
8  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb22 Nov30 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   05/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT YOUR NUMBER Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Nov02 (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
2  GRACE ELIZABETH Apr13 Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  CASTLE OF CAYLEE May06 Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
4  MISS WAVE Apr13 Feb24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 7% 13.70    
5  MISS LAUREN Apr13 Mar09 Jan05 Dec03 Nov02 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50    
6  ARROWWOOD Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 Dec10 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 6.00 10% 9.50    
7  MOIRAINE Apr28 Apr13 Nov26 Oct27 Sep15 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
8  HOW IS SHE May05 Apr13 Mar18 Feb24 Jan19 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SECRET CASTLE Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 Feb01 Jan07 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
CT-7   05/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IHEARTRAINACOMN May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
2  STRONG WILLED Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  PATTI BLUE EYES Mar31 Mar09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
4  FRENCHIES GOLD Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Feb08 Dec02 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 106 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SNEAKY LYNK May12 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb08 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  NEAREST N DEAREST Apr08 Mar18 Jan21 Dec18 Oct22 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
7  LUCKY BOP Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 Jan26 Jan13 (craig e)HO WESLEY 116 4.00    
8  LOVE OF GRACE Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00 11% 8.10    
9  AMELIA'S DREAM Apr29 Mar17 Jan18 Nov24 Nov04 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 116 12.00 5% 17.70    
10  TRUE FLIRT May18 Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 Sep03 (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADARA May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
2  BUBBA G May04 Apr20 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  CHERRYS CROSS May04 Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 (huet terry )BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  BET ON BITZ May04 Apr13 Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 7% 13.10    
5  GORUN Apr20 Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
6  SCOOTSCOOT May04 Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
7  ANGELUS DIAMOND May04 Apr13 Feb22 Feb13 Jan02 (perez er)BUTTERFLY L 120 12.00    
8  BARB'S PRIDE May05 Apr14 Apr01 Mar12 Feb04 (frock charles )ARAUJO DENIS 118 15.00    
9  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT May04 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.