Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/6/5)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FON-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARISMO         (stankey jannae)GARNETT G 125 8.00 26% 2.80    
2  CRYPTO MINER May13 Apr28 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 121 1.80    
3  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN May13 Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  COUNT D'ORLEANS May13         (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
5  SPITFIRE SUZIE May14 Apr28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 (peters de)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.50    
 
FON-2   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH SNAP May06 Apr28 Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
2  RENVYLE Jun03 May20 Apr30 Apr10 Mar26 (hawley joe)BETHKE A 125 12.00 15% 5.60    
3  LITTLE TOE May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 (hall l)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 25% 2.90    
4  SPEEDY FELLAR May14 Apr15 Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  COWORKER May13 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 2.50 ★    
6  GIO SAMMY May06 Apr15 Jan23 Jan03 Dec21 (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
7  DRYSPELL May12 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Nov03 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
 
FON-3   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEBRASKA RED Apr28 Apr14 Apr07 Mar24 Mar18 (mcclain stanl)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
2  DIVA'S DIVA Apr30 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug21 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 12% 7.70    
3  YANKEE PRIDE Apr14 Mar12       (rhodes lester)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
4  REMARKABLE CHARM Apr22 Apr07 Mar24 Feb25 Oct01 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
5  TAPIT'S LADY May13 Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 60% 0.70    
6  COLD AS YOU May13 May05 Apr22 Mar26 Mar14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 5% 18.20    
7  GUAPA CHICA Mar10 Feb25 Feb18 Sep14 Aug27 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 2.50 ★    
 
FON-4   05/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY EVERY DAY Apr22 Feb17 Feb12 Dec30 Oct27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
2  OLIVIAN Apr08 Mar26 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  HOT HABANERO May12 Apr14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun25 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
4  FLAN Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 (hawley joe)BETHKE A 125 12.00 ★    
5  JULIARD HONOR May06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Dec14 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.80 30% 2.40    
6  FASHION FACT May12 Apr22 Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 2.00 26% 2.90    
7  ALWAYS A TIZ Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   05/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Diamon Joe Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE'S BRIBE Apr29 Apr16 Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 (black maris)MORALES ROBERTO 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of COWGIRL PRINCESS by LANGFUHR)
2  LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 119 4.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of THUNDER GAL by DEPUTY SLEW)
3  PHLASH DRIVE Apr29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of BY THE SKY by SKY MESA)
SCR  KENHEDOIT May12 Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 119 10.00    
  (by EL CABALLO out of KACHINA RIVER by RIO VERDE)
5  CALEB ON THE GO Apr29 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun17 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
6  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Apr29 Apr08 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 27% 2.80    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of MORE RUN by MORE TO TELL)
7  FOR REEL Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Aug08 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 121 6.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
SCR  NAME THE PRICE May12 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 119 12.00    
  (by STAR CAT out of RHYTHMOS by AENEAS)
SCR  L B GOLD May05 Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (krause bill)BETHKE A 119 15.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of MAGIC PLAYER by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
 
FON-6   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE PRESENT May14 Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 Jan21 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
2  EVIE May05 Apr29 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
3  EXPECT THE BOSS Dec28 Nov22 Nov10 Oct11 Sep20 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  BOUJEE BRITT Apr26 Apr10 Mar13     (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
5  ANGIE'S REVRAC May05 Mar24 Mar11 Sep26 Sep13 (muckey john)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
6  QUALITY BOW May05 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
7  DISTANT HOLIDAY Apr23 Apr01       (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 4.50 12% 7.10    
8  RETRO RITA May05 Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.