Handicappers' Racing Form

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Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EVD-1   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-4   Win (8/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EVD-5   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EVD-6   Win (5/3/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EVD-7   Win (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EVD-8   Win (10/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EVD-1   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIORITY ROCKET Mar26 Mar02 Feb01     (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
KAT'S SOLDIER Jan25 Dec14 Dec01 Nov12   (bernard )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
GLITTER STORM Feb02         (dison phillip)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
RAZZ Mar26 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
BOSS MAN ZONG Feb22 Jan28 Jan13 Dec27 Dec07 (dison mar)POMPELL L 123 3.50    
SAUCY ARGUMENT Mar08 Feb09       (breaux samuel)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
STORMIN SUNDAY Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Jan04   (roberts kenneth)VARGAS P 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
EVD-2   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHAOS Mar10 Feb02 Jan21 Dec18 Nov25 (felks joseph)MARQUEZ L 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
ELIJAH'S MOVE Mar18 Jan19 Nov22     (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
SEEHOSS Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 Nov19 Nov02 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.00 7% 13.40    
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Feb02 Jan19 Dec02 Nov18 Apr02 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Mar24 Mar02 Jan21 Jan08 Dec09 (richard c)STOKES A 120 12.00    
C. F. CONGRESS Mar24 Feb26 Feb03 Jan15 Dec19 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 6.00    
CAT FIVE Apr08 Mar19 Feb24 Dec18 Dec04 (meaux william)VARGAS P 120 4.00    
 
EVD-3   04/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 7:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR HARPER Mar18 Feb25 Feb12 Jan21 Oct15 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 112 8.00    
RAISE THE PRAISE Feb12 Jan16 Dec29 Dec08 Aug29 (pomier chasey)MELANCON JANSEN 115 2.50 5% 19.00    
LOUISIANA LIBERTY Mar25 Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (flint steve)MELANCON G 112 3.50 12% 7.20    
I BEAR ARMS Feb24         (breaux samuel)BARRERA J 112 4.50 52% 0.90    
DORGENOIS Mar18 Dec22 Dec02 Oct14 Aug26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 112 12.00    
MISS LONELYHEARTS Feb28 Feb09 Jan20 Dec16   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
SIXTH ANNIVERSARY Dec10 Dec01 Nov03 Oct23 Sep22 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 112 3.00    
HIGHLY WICKED Mar18 Feb17 Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 (david b)THORNTON G 112 12.00    
 
EVD-4   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSING GOLD Feb10 Jan11 Sep19 Apr15 Mar27 (vincent jarvi)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00    
CRAPAUD Apr07 Feb18 Jan25 Dec21 Dec08 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
HALOS ALARM Apr07 Jul20 Jun30 Jun01 May13 (patt jr)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
ASEEL Mar16 Mar03 Jan29 Dec31 Jun25 (pomier chasey )BARRERA J 113 6.00    
AMELIES DREAMER Feb18 Jan11 Dec19 Nov22 Nov03 (segura k)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
STOP THE MADNESS Mar18 Feb04 Dec23 Dec03 Aug29 (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 118 2.00    
DON'T LOOK ETHEL Feb18 Jan11 Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
MINT JULIUS Mar23 Feb15 Feb02 Apr30   (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
BELLICOSE BABE         (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 123 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
EVD-5   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 Aug21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
BLACK SWORD Feb04 Dec17 Oct08 Aug06 Jun04 (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50    
SEAU Feb10 Jan06 Nov26 Oct21 Sep10 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
MIKE J Mar05 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 117 2.50    
MOTAWAAFEQ Mar16 Feb18 Jan06 Dec10 Oct28 (escobar alison)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
SCRAPPY ARTIE Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 Dec01 Oct07 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 10.00    
AMERICAN CODE Feb20 Dec22 Jul22 Jul10 Jun24 (ruggeri nicole)VARGAS P 120 15.00 11% 8.30    
A SONG FOR ARCH Feb25 Mar26 Feb21 Jan09   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
 
EVD-6   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN YA WIN Mar18 Jan26 Jan07 Dec10 Jun04 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 5.00 13% 7.00    
BIG MONEY MACHINE Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 Dec15 Nov11 (gonzalez isai)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 10% 9.40    
OUTLAW X. Feb28 Jan26 Jan07 Dec28 Dec07 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 115 2.00 13% 6.80    
TUNE MY GUITAR Dec03 Nov23 Oct28 Jun19 Jun06 (west henry)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
DARREN'S FORTUNE Feb17 Jan28 Dec16 Nov03 Oct19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
GALLANT STAR Mar24 Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 Jan01 (husak j)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
SCR  SR. CLARKY Apr08 Nov23 Oct29 Jul28 Jul07 (leblanc john)MARQUEZ L 115 20.00    
UNWANTED INTRUDER Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 Dec18 Nov27 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 12.00    
HUMPHREY Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
EVD-7   04/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXY THIRTYSIX Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 (ney john)THORNTON G 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
GOLDEN SMILES Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep13 Aug13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50    
TUGBOAT Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 Sep24 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
GYPSYROSELEE Feb24 Jan25 Dec17 Nov26 Oct12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
SEE SASSY RUN Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
SWEET VIDALIA Mar22 Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 Dec22 (degeyter randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 17% 5.00    
SIENNA BREEZE Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan12 Jan01 (rosier ch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
EVD-8   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UMEA ZING GRACE Feb24 Sep04 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 (charles keith)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
WITH GRACE Feb01 Jan11 Oct28 Oct06   (zenon shelton)STOKES A 123 20.00    
SPARKLE CITY Feb18         (silva wa)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
MORO MILE HIGH Feb15         (ramirez e)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
MALLORI'S MAGIC Feb15 Dec30       (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
SCR  SHOTGUN ANNIE Apr07 Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 (west henry)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
BON CHANCE BET Mar10         (richard c)STOKES J 120 20.00    
REINA ACES Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 (richards corale )THORNTON G 115 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SABERFIGHT Jan28 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
10  THROUGH THE CRACKS Feb16 Jan27 Oct13 Sep24 Aug15 (pomier chasey )BARRERA J 113 2.50 37% 1.70    
11  SHEEZA PRIORITY Mar10 Feb20 Feb01 Dec29 Dec15 (thompson kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 7% 14.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.