Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/1)-(7/9/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/1)-(7/9/1/5)-(7/9/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/1)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1)-(2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/5)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/3/2)-(1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/6)-(4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(4/2)-(8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(8/6/1)-(6/8/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(6/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(6/8/2)-(8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/4/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/4/9/1)-(8/7/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAIN OF BLESSING Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Jan11 Dec23 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 125 6.00 7% 13.90    
2  MISS INEZ Mar17 Feb19 Feb04 Jan11 Apr09 (cascallare)ORDONEZ R 125 15.00    
3  BANK BUSTER Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan29 Dec11 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 6.00    
SCR  THE MONEY MACHINE Mar10 Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 Dec14 (hunt donald)BUSH V 118 6.00 ★    
5  SONG OF THE HEART Mar19 Feb25 Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 125 10.00 ★    
6  MY SONG AND MELODY Mar19 Feb25 Aug05     (davis richard)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
7  NICOLINO Mar19 Jul03 Jun10 Apr29   (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 125 1.60 57% 0.70    
8  TAIPANS CHERRYBOMB Jun01 May04 Apr20     (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 10.00    
9  SHADY DAISY         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
TAM-2   04/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY TIZZY Mar04         (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
2  GINETTES ON FIRE Mar03 Feb08 Dec16 Nov30 Oct23 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
SCR  RACING Mar26         (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  MOST DIVINE Mar24 Feb25 Feb08     (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 10.00    
5  MS EXCUSE Mar12 Feb11       (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  EMPTY ENVELOPE Nov16 Oct23 Oct05 Sep16   (rice kevin)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
7  CHIEF AGAIN Mar29 Mar10 Feb10     (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00 ★    
8  PEACE FIRE Mar05 Feb17 Feb08 Jan15 Jul01 (lopez ma)GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
 
TAM-3   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY PROSPECT         (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.50 ★    
2  LITTLE BIG Mar17 Feb11 Jan01 Sep16 Aug19 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  ERLAN Mar19 Mar01 Feb11     (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
4  EL MIC TIESUN Feb26 Feb16 Jan22 Jan06 Dec31 (mardif jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 20.00    
5  BELIEVE AMERICA Mar17         (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  CAJUN CRACKER Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 Aug20 (king b)BUSH V 122 30.00    
7  BIG ROWDY DAN Apr02 Mar17       (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00    
8  KENRIC Mar19 Dec28 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 (davis n)FERRER C 122 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN LEA RUN Mar26 Feb19 Oct25 Sep08 Aug29 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 5.00    
2  CALLE DE BOYD Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Jan08 Mar11 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 125 5.00 9% 10.70    
3  MIL DOSCIENTOS Jan28 Mar04 Jan22     (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 125 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  SWILL MERCHANT Mar24 Mar04 Jul27 Jun01 May20 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 3.50 ★    
5  GERARD Apr01 Jan26 Dec17 Nov13 Oct22 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  VILLAGE PREACHER Mar19 Feb15       (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00    
7  DELTA RED Feb04 Jan26 Jan06 Dec22 Dec07 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
 
TAM-5   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMORTALLOVE Mar26         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MONEY OR LOVE by J BE K)
2  BURN THE BREEZE         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNDER SUSPICION by FRIEND OR FOE)
3  MAGICK MINSTREL         (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
  (by MAGICK DANCER out of STERLING SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS         (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DANCING COMPASS by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  ROMPING         (sweezey kent)FERRER C 120 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHASTISE by BLAME)
6  MISS UPROAR Feb18 Sep16       (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of FOREST UPROAR by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
TAM-6   04/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELSA'S ROCKET Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 Jan04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 5.00    
2  CHILD PROOF Mar22 Feb08 Dec14     (arriagada jua)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
3  COLLECTIVE GOLD Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
4  SUPER CARO Mar25 Mar04 Feb24 Jan29 Jan18 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
5  UNCAPTURED PRINCES Mar04 Jan21 Oct21 Sep16   (rodriguez angel )BRACHO A 119 6.00    
6  SORTARIA Mar31 Feb22 Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 (hardesty lesliel)FERRER C 119 12.00 ★    
7  X Y LADY Mar25 Mar04 Jan29 Dec30 Oct06 (lopez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
8  PEEP'S DAY Mar04 Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Dec14 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 112 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN OR CELLAR Mar05 Feb18 Jan27 Dec24 Nov25 (richards rena)ALICEA JEREMY 116 6.00 13% 6.60    
2  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Nov06 Oct24 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 123 4.50    
3  ANIMAL PRINCESS Sep17 Sep03       (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 123 6.00    
4  RAHTID Mar01 Feb18 Dec14 Oct08 Sep23 (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00    
5  HIGH ARABIAN Mar25 Mar10 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
6  I SAID HEY Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan15 Dec28 (house gary)ALLEN M 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
7  UNIFIED RIDE Mar25 Aug02 Jun11 May07 Apr15 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.80 ★    
8  LADYNESS Mar19 Mar01 Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 (arriagada jua)SOSA LAUREANO 111 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-8   04/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY TRAVELER Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 Dec23 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
2  BUSTIN UP Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 Jan11 Dec30 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST PRAISE Mar22 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 (guciardo kath)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00    
4  STRONGER TOGETHER Mar26 Feb22 Jan20 Dec02 Oct22 (wright mi)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
5  WILD IRISHMAN Mar24 Mar11 Jan28 Jan08 Apr29 (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 15.00    
6  BOARD CERTIFIED Feb16 Feb04 Jan15 Dec26 Nov06 (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  GENERAL COMMAND Mar15 Jan27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
8  PIVOTAL RUN Mar22 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Nov05 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 8% 11.60    
9  BLACK SEAL Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 10.00    
10  DISTORTED TIMES Mar24 Mar05 Jul28 Jun18 Jun01 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 121 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC BOMB Mar15 Feb26 Nov05 Sep10 Aug07 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER Feb01         (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 119 8.00 30% 2.40    
 
TAM-9   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROCODILEHUNTER         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 ★    
  (by PALACE out of GARDEN GLOVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  FAST FIXER Apr02 Mar22 Mar11 Feb24   (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MONSLEWN by SLEW CITY SLEW)
3  EL GABRIELO Apr02         (ramirez jose)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
4  CRUISING DEREK Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 Dec30 Nov25 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 ★    
  (by KHOZAN out of LEGAL LAURA by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  SOPHIA'S PRINCE Mar15 Oct17       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.00    
  (by OXBOW out of MISS HISSY FIT by ALDEBARAN)
6  TIZ A TALE         (holtzinger cara)BUSH V 120 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of TOUCH THE TOP by TIZNOW)
7  INFAMOUS NONO         (vinson g)FERRER C 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of A PENNY AT A TIME by PENTELICUS)
8  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Mar31 Mar11 Jan04     (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CIRCULAR RAINBOW by CIRCULAR QUAY)
9  CITY HUMOR Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan14 Sep07 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00 ★    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CITY SUCCESS by CITY ZIP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.