Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(6/3)-(3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(7/3/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(7/3/2)-(1) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
HAW-5   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(1)-(3/7/8/6/4) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
HAW-6   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(3/7/8/6/4) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/7/8/6/4)-(4/3/8) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
HAW-7   WIN (3/7/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/6/4)-(3/7/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/6/4)-(3/7/8/6/4)-(3/7/8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/8/6/4)-(4/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/6/2)-(4/3/8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DERRICKS MEDALLION Mar09 Feb08 Jan06     (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 15.00    
2  KING ZION Mar23 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00 7% 14.20    
3  JACKPOT BOY Mar16 Mar05 Nov19 Oct22 Mar17 (perez manny)FELIX E 124 10.00    
4  ELECTRIC CHARGE Mar16 Dec31 Dec16     (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  UNCLE DICK Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Dec16 Dec04 (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 124 12.00    
6  TIMEHASCOME Mar15 Feb22 Jan12 Nov19 May07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 0.60 51% 1.00    
 
HAW-2   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SQUADRON Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  SNOOTY Dec17 Nov23 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  TAP N TWINE Mar09 Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (ryan a)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00    
4  KITTEN ROCKS Mar19 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov13 (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
5  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Feb23 Feb02 Jan20 Nov21 Nov09 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  JOLIE RULER Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.50    
7  PRANCIPANTS Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 (witthauer)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
HAW-3   04/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE NICK Mar16 Feb23 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
2  PINBALLER Mar19 Mar09 Dec31 Dec16 Feb18 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
3  GATE CREW Mar16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  BLOOMING GARDEN Dec30 Dec04 Nov20 Oct16 Oct01 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
5  FLASHY RICHIE Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 Nov12 Oct21 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
6  BIG BLUE Mar19 Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
7  EMPTY HOLSTER Mar05 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct21 (martinez a)EMIGH A 122 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAGON DREW Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Dec08 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 4.00 ★    
2  MEDAL OF FACT Mar16 Dec31 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
3  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Mar23 Mar12 Feb02 Dec30 Dec04 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 71% 0.40    
4  JACK VAN BERG Mar12 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00    
5  ALPINE GHOST Mar16 Feb17 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 4.50 ★    
6  BOURBON DELIGHT Mar12 Mar05 Jan19 Dec18 Dec10 (castro is)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00    
 
HAW-5   04/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS IS ANFIELD Mar18 Feb03 Dec30 Oct12   (wells dua)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
2  LADA KALINA Mar19 Mar05       (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRADA'S MIRACLE Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 Aug23   (block chris)FELIX E 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
4  PRETTY IN PRADO Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
5  UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Aug15   (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 6.00    
SCR  LUNARCHY Mar16         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 117 5.00 7% 13.50    
7  LOTTA ROSES Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 Dec01 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  HOLD HER HOSTAGE Mar12         (hernandez ar)GILES EMMANUEL 110 8.00    
 
HAW-6   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31.5K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIALIZIN Jun23         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  MOVE IT BABY Sep08 Jul26       (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50    
SCR  LUCKSME Jan27 Nov11       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  MAGNA MASSA Mar09 Sep30 Aug09     (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 6.00    
5  AWESOME SUNDAY Jan26 Dec03       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
6  FLAMAND Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 Oct28 Oct06 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACEDAY ATTIRE Mar12 Feb14 Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 (witthauer k)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
SCR  TROUBLE FINDS ME Jun24 May31 Apr30 Apr01 Mar19 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  STORMY EMPIRE Mar12 Dec31 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  APRIL'S GEM Mar19 Dec16 Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 (matthews doug)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 18.40    
5  IT'S GREEK TO ME Mar09 Jan20 Dec04 Nov18 Jun11 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
6  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug03 Jul02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
7  FIRST KITTEN Mar12 Feb15 Jan19 Jan10 Dec09 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  SHEZ RECKLESS Mar05 Feb08 Dec11 May28 May03 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
9  JOURNEYIST Mar12 Nov27 Nov11 Oct15   (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00    
 
HAW-8   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIP HOP EMMY         (robertson hug)SANCHEZ DIEGO 118 6.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of CAN'T BUY A THRILL by BORREGO)
2  CANTOO Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep23 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 111 8.00 ★    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of CAUSEGOOD by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
3  BE MY BESTIE Mar12 Apr09       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by LONG ISLAND SOUND out of LOSE NONE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
4  TU ROYAL Mar12 Dec30 Dec03     (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
5  WICKED SKY Dec03 Oct14 Jul23     (wainwright john)FELIX E 118 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
6  DOMINIQUE Mar12 Dec30       (boyce michele)COLON H 118 5.00 ★    
  (by DOMINUS out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
7  FAST KYLIE         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of DANCING CELIA by LINE OF DAVID)
8  WILDWOOD TRIPLE Mar12         (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 4.50 16% 5.10    
  (by GHAALEB out of TRIPLEHOTT by CITY ZIP)
9  FREEDOM ATTACK Mar12 Sep23 Sep09 Aug12   (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 15.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.