Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/3/1)-(5/6/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/3/7)-(4/5/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/7)-(2/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/3/4/2)-(1/7/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8/6)-(2/7/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (7/1/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/5/4)-(7/1/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/5/4)-(7/1/9/5/4)-(7/1/9/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/5/4)-(7/3/8/1)-(10/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1/5)-(7/3/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/8/1)-(10/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (10/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/9)-(10/7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/9)-(10/7/9/8/2)-(10/7/9/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NACHO S Nov27 Sep14 Aug21 Jul17 Jul09 (russell nathan)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
SCOOTER FLASH Jun26 Jun18       (dolphus junio)FACKLER CHRIS 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
GENES FEATHER Mar10 Feb17 Dec20 Oct27 Oct07 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.60    
INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG Feb26 Feb12 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 (ecoffey gilber)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
JACKIE MOON Mar03 Feb24 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.20 38% 1.60    
REAL CRAFTY PIE Mar03 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun26 (dolphus junior)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 17% 4.80    
 
FON-2   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE B Mar05 Feb19 Jun19 Jun10 May30 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
DIAMANTE JOSE Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 10% 9.00    
PAISANO JIM Mar05 Feb11 May14 Apr24 Apr03 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00    
BIG BEND BUCKAROO Jun10 May28 May01 Mar27 Mar13 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50 53% 0.90    
CHIEF TY HE Mar05 Feb19 Jun10 May30 May14 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 5.00 11% 8.10    
P R WHY NOT Mar05 Feb19 Jun10 May30 May20 (luke l)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
HUSKER LEGACY Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
 
FON-3   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING CHARMER SING Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May29 May14 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 1.60 45% 1.20    
RUN BRINLEE RUN Mar04 Feb18 Feb10 Jun12 May27 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
SHES STEEL DREAMIN Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Sep13   (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50    
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Mar04 Feb18 Jun18 May27 May13 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
FLYER'S SHADOW Mar04 May21 Apr15     (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
MISS JUSTICE Mar04 Feb18 May29 Feb25   (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
ROYAL JUDGE Feb24         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
JUST SEND HER Mar04 Feb10 Jun17 Jun12 May27 (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
 
FON-4   03/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREEDS REVENGE Feb17 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
TOP HAT CAT Dec30 Dec01 Nov04 Oct20 Sep27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 18% 4.70    
PICTURE ME CLASSY Mar11 Jun27       (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 14% 6.10    
WARRIORS HAVEN Mar03 Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 Oct21 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
PERVASIVE Sep26 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jul12 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
RUNNING JESSE Mar11 Feb19 Feb12 Sep11 Aug27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50    
LAUNCHED Mar04 Feb18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
POVERTY FLATS Mar11 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Jul04 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
FON-5   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPITFIRE SUZIE Sep03 Jul01 Jun04     (peters dennis)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 9% 9.90    
MISS GRAND SLAM Mar05 Feb22 Nov11 Oct05 Aug23 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00    
HAPPY QUEST Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Dec30 Dec02 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00    
SLOOPY HANG ON Mar05 Feb25 Feb19 Jan11 Dec21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 5% 18.20    
LOVE PERFECTION Mar04 Feb18 Dec07 Nov08 Sep24 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 7% 13.30    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Feb25 Feb19 Feb11 Sep26 Sep12 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
CHARACTER COUNTS Mar05 Feb12 Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.80 51% 1.00    
ITHOUGHTIKNEW Mar05 Feb18 Sep19     (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
TUZITA         (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.50 7% 12.40    
 
FON-6   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANDAS CAFE Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Feb20   (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 7% 13.70    
MOONSHINE LILY Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Nov22 Aug14 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
TALLANDLONG Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul01 (burns dale)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
GIVE EM SHADE Sep07 Aug27 Jul30 Jul04   (smith r)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
WOW WOW ITS MAGIC Mar11 Feb12 Dec09 Nov07 Oct12 (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Feb24 Feb11 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
CHAOS MAGIC Mar11 Feb17 Jan19 Dec27 Dec14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
I CINC EYE LUV U Sep15 Aug28 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
FON-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR MATTY Feb26 Feb18 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 (ibanez alberto)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
THREE RUN HOMER Mar05 Feb24 Feb19 Dec18 Dec09 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 2.50    
KING MARVIN Feb03 Jan05 Oct26 Oct12 Aug18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
DRYSPELL Feb25 Nov03 Oct01 Sep19 Sep13 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
GOLD BEAR Feb11 Jan19 Dec03 Jul17 Jun11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
ZCAT'S CHATAIN Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
EXPECT ROYAL Feb11 Jun24 Jun11 Jun04   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 29% 2.50    
MAFIA DON Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Oct02 Sep25 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
COWORKER Feb25 May23 May13 Apr09 Mar26 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 9% 10.70    
10  KING OF ANYTHING Jul25 Jul03 Jun10 May07 Apr24 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.