Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/6/4)-(3/2/5/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/1/3/4)-(2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4/7)-(5/1/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/4)-(2/5)-(1/5/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/5/7/3)-(6/7/1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3/4)-(1/5/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(6/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(6/7/1/4)-(2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4/2)-(6/7/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/1/4)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/4)-(2/4/7)-(5/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(5/2/7/4)-(7/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4/6)-(5/2/7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/7/4)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/4)-(7/8/4)-(5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/2/5)-(7/8/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
CT-9   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/2/10) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/2/10)-(5/4/2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jan28 Jan04 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 5.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
2  HE'S CLEVER Feb15 Jan06       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 2.00 15% 5.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
3  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Jan28         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
4  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Mar11 Feb17 Jan05 Nov30 Nov05 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 ★    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  TOTHETRAINSTATION         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
6  HARPERSGONEFISHING Jan04 Nov23 Nov08     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.50 ★    
  (by J J'S LUCKY TRAIN out of SYDNEYS ASTRAL HAT by GARNERED)
 
CT-2   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZBIT Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 Dec03 Nov25 (gillesp)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  TAPPING SOUTH Feb23 Feb04 Oct12 Oct01 Jun23 (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
3  VICTORY ROYALE Feb16 Feb04 Jan21 Dec12 Dec04 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 13% 6.40    
4  CHANNEL SCENT Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Jan12 Jul30 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 20.00 6% 15.70    
5  KATALIMA Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Nov26 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 1.40 32% 2.10    
6  BOCA BIRDIE Mar10 Feb16 Jan05 Dec10 Nov23 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
7  DALLAS Feb25 Jan14 Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 2.00 ★    
 
CT-3   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Mar01 Jan26 Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 (kreiser ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 ★    
2  SOCIAL CHIC Feb09 Dec10 Nov03 Oct08 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  DEBIT CARD Feb18 Feb09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov20 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  CAPE LOOKOUT Mar10 Nov02 Oct22 Sep27 Aug27 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 ★    
5  NICO Feb09 Jan12 Nov18 Nov03 Oct08 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  JACKIE A Mar01 Jan16 Dec18 Nov14 Nov03 (capuano ph)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
 
CT-4   03/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SHALLBE RELEASED Mar04 Feb24 Jan20 Nov18 Oct27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
2  MARLEESBEEBEE Jan18 Dec01 Jun18 May23 May11 (bowman elex )LEWIS M 115 20.00    
3  A BLONDE THING Feb16 Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Nov18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Mar04 Feb24 Feb02 Dec09 Nov18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 ★    
5  REAL APPEAL (GER) Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 13% 6.50    
6  AWESOME MOON Mar02 Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
7  VEGAS PRINCESS Jan11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct17 Oct04 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.50 7% 12.80    
 
CT-5   03/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKELY CHOICE Feb10 Nov12 Oct27 Sep24 Sep17 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 6% 17.20    
2  PRACTICALLY THERE Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 ★    
3  SAX Mar04 Jan05 Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
4  CREEDIBILITY Mar02 Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 Nov30 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOW IS SHE Feb24 Jan19 Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
6  ROCK ROSE Feb20 Jan16 Jan01 Nov27 Oct30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
7  DAT DARES GOLD Mar04 Jan25 Dec08 Nov17 Nov12 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
8  ELIANAGRACE Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 Nov09 Oct22 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
 
CT-6   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRINGFELLA Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Nov23 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 ★    
2  ONE NIGHT MIKE Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Nov16 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  REMYS SHOWTIME Feb24 Feb02 Dec16 Nov19 Oct14 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
4  ICING Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 Nov12 (cash norman )LEWIS M 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY Feb02 Jan19 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 8% 12.10    
6  BOSS E BOOGS Feb24 Feb02 Jan12     (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
7  PENGUIN PARADE Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SPANGLISH Feb22 Jan20 Dec16 Oct14 Sep08 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
 
CT-7   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCHED Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan07 Dec08 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
2  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 Nov26   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Mar02 Jan27 Dec10 Nov30 Nov10 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
4  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Feb25 Feb15 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
5  NEVERPOPTHECORK Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov23 Nov02 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  HILLBILLY ROCK Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 Dec08 Nov16 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 ★    
7  HAZEDNCONFUSED Feb15 Jan04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep24 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-8   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IHEARTRAINACOMN Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Nov18 Oct06 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
2  KEEP ON SPURRIN Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00 ★    
3  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Feb11 Jan06       (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
4  JUBA BABY Nov24 Oct13 Sep22     (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 7% 14.40    
5  NEAREST N DEAREST Jan21 Dec18 Oct22 Aug25   (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 ★    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 Oct29 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
7  BARBERS POINT Jan18         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.40 50% 1.00    
8  FRENCHIES GOLD Feb08 Dec02       (runco jeff)RIVERA R 111 12.00 15% 5.60    
9  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Mar11 Jan19 Nov18 Nov11 Oct07 (hamlin kathl)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
 
CT-9   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAD THE NOTION Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct27 (harting chri)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
2  MAE SAI PRINCESS Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 Sep23 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 ★    
3  SO RED THE ROSE Feb24 Jan18 Jun30 May18 Apr27 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
4  ANNIKA GOLD Oct26 Oct04 Sep11 Aug26 Aug01 (grullon riquelv)GILPIN SEAN 124 3.00 ★    
5  TEQUILA FOG May20 Apr28 Mar30 Mar04 Feb06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 69% 0.40    
6  CHIT CHAT GIRL Feb24 Feb09 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
7  SUPERSTASIA Feb25 Jan26 Jan12 Dec17 Dec10 (rangel ricardo)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
8  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Mar04 Feb24 Jan25 Dec02 Nov05 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
SCR  CHINA CAT Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 8% 11.80    
10  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Jan12 Dec12 Nov30 Nov03 Oct14 (mcgill sylv)MCKENZIE CONNIE 119 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.