Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(6/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(6/4/2/5)-(8/7/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/3)-(6/4/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/5)-(8/7/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/5)-(8/7/6/9)-(4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/9)-(8/7/6/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/9)-(8/7/6/9/2)-(8/7/6/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/6/9)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/9)-(4/7/2)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5/1)-(4/7/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/5/3)-(12/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/7/9)-(6/5/3/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(12/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(12/5/1)-(1/3/10/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (12/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/5/1)-(12/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (12/5/1)-(12/5/1/3)-(12/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (12/5/1)-(1/3/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/5/1)-(1/3/10/4)-(5/4/1/3/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/3/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/4)-(1/3/10/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/4)-(1/3/10/4/2)-(1/3/10/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/10/4)-(5/4/1/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10/4)-(5/4/1/3/11)-(6/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/4/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3/11)-(5/4/1/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3/11)-(5/4/1/3/11)-(5/4/1/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3/11)-(6/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/7/1)-(6/5/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEPPER Jan13 Dec21 Oct22 Sep15 Aug25 (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  ROYAL COURT Jan01 Mar12 Feb12 Jan08   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
3  ANTHRACITE Feb10 Jul24 Jul01 May12 Apr09 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 ★    
4  MAGNA RULER Feb15 Jan20 Jan11 Dec23 Dec08 (ramos o)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  J J'S JUSTICE Feb11 Jan20 Jan11 Dec28 Dec02 (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 115 10.00 ★    
6  DELTA RIDGE Feb15 Jan20 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RISK VS REWARD Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
2  HIDE THE DEMON Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  KING CAIRO Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 118 4.50 ★    
4  TONY SMALL Feb19 Feb03 May22 May04 Feb09 (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  FLIPPING FISH Feb19 Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00 8% 11.50    
6  SAN COSTANTINO Feb17 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Nov23 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  LORD BARNA Jan25 Jan04 Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-3   03/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVEN'S D'ORO Feb12 Jan25       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
2  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Feb03 Dec30       (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 ★    
3  PEACE FIRE Feb17 Feb08 Jan15 Jul01   (lopez ma)GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
4  CAIRO WINNER Feb17 Jan21 Nov25 Oct30 Oct07 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 4.50    
5  DAZZLING THE MOON Feb11         (cascallares ne)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
6  WINE WITH A ROSE Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Aug30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00 6% 16.90    
7  I LOVE IRELAND Feb17 Jan21 Dec15 Nov27 Oct30 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
8  COLLECTIVE GOLD Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
9  SISTER SAINT         (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   03/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL Feb12 Feb01 Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 122 5.00 ★    
2  MA MEATLOAF Feb17 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Nov26 (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 122 12.00 6% 15.20    
3  MELANCHOLY BLUES Feb17 Feb01 Jan20 Dec28 Aug29 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 112 6.00    
4  SNACKSTER Feb12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov08 Oct07 (feliciano ben)ALICEA JEREMY 115 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  LADY TEUFLESBERG Jan28 Oct31 Oct21 Aug27 Aug05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 ★    
6  FANCYSOUL Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 Mar26 Mar06 (davis richard)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00    
7  CHARGE IT JENN Feb17 Dec22 Nov25 Oct15 Sep16 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 3.00 9% 10.40    
8  LOVIN LIVIN Feb03 Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 (levy tamara )MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
 
TAM-5   03/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHARKIV Dec30 Nov25       (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
2  ROMANCE PELUSA Dec15 Oct27       (romero rafae)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
3  EMPIRE GIRL Feb17 Jan21 Oct24 Sep24   (sanchez jose )SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY KITTY Feb17 Jan21 Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
5  MARVELOUS LADY Feb03 Dec08 Oct01 Aug05 Jul08 (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  CAYMAN QUEEN Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  VALIANT MISTRESS Feb03         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  BRITTY Jan11 Oct01 Sep11     (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00    
9  REBATE Feb17 Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 (gatis chris)ARROYO S 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   03/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J'S STAR JET Feb10 Jan01 Nov12 Oct28 Sep17 (hunt donald)BUSH V 118 12.00 5% 18.10    
2  MORE MUCHO Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 Jul29 Jun30 (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
3  LIL ANNIE ROSE Feb15 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 (wirth kenneth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50 ★    
4  BRASS BAND Aug08 Jul13 May28 May15 Apr23 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 20.00    
5  MY GIRL MELLY Feb04 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 5.00 8% 12.00    
6  CHICAGO RIVER Feb18 Oct27 Sep11 Jul10 Jun19 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50    
7  LEMON TAFFY Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec01 Nov06 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 118 20.00    
8  A FOOLISH FANCY Feb10 Jan22       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
9  STARSHIP PRECIOUS Feb04 Sep12 Aug20 Jul11 Jun22 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 10.00    
10  DURA THE EXPLORER Nov13 Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 Jul21 (carmichael mi)SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00    
11  BELLA ROMANCE Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 Dec24 Dec14 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
12  WIN OR CELLAR Feb18 Jan27 Dec24 Nov25 Oct08 (gatis chris)IORIO MELISSA 108 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SO SOFTLY Jan06 Sep24 Sep16 Sep11 Aug04 (sanchez amado)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TAM-7   03/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVEL GUIDE Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 May14 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
2  TAKEOVER KASH Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Jan08 Mar19 (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 ★    
3  URBAN BEACH Feb22 Jan29 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 3.50 12% 7.30    
4  FROSTY WARRIOR Feb16 Dec17 Jan22     (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  WILLWORKFORFOOD Feb09 Mar26 Mar16     (miller herber)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
6  MOTANAAFER Aug30 Aug23 Aug01     (escobar alis)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
7  THE POINT ROAD Feb22 Feb12 Jan20     (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 122 5.00    
8  LORD OF THE NILE Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 Dec30 Dec14 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE TUNE Mar04 Feb11       (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
10  DISTORTED TIMES Jul28 Jun18 Jun01 May04 Apr10 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 122 10.00 10% 9.10    
 
TAM-8   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUHL STAR Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Sep17 Aug27 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 3.50 8% 10.80    
2  JAMA DILLON Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00    
3  BRONX Feb12 Apr21 Mar13 Feb10 Jan09 (orseno jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 8% 11.10    
4  ALL FOOLS DAY Feb12 Feb27 Feb13 Feb05 Jan22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 5.00 9% 9.60    
5  TEN MILES HIGH         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  TITHED Dec22 Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul28 (spanabel r)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
7  ANY MINUTE Feb12 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct26 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
8  FREELANCE Jan29 Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 Aug31 (manning j)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
9  THEJIGISUP Feb10 Jan15 Jan07 Dec22 Dec07 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 111 12.00    
10  GOT EM THINKING Feb19 Feb10 Jan29 Jan11 Dec28 (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50    
11  JACKSON STRONG Feb12 Sep28 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 7% 13.70    
12  AS DE ORO COCO Feb12 Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 Oct26 (morales guill)LOZADA CARLOS 118 30.00    
SCR  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Feb22 Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 Dec22 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 4.50    
SCR  DON H Feb22 Jan20       (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   03/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SONATA Feb05 Dec31 Dec09 Nov16 Nov08 (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 ★    
2  GAMBLING TZAR Jan20 Jan06 Nov06 Sep23 Jul23 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 121 8.00    
3  AIRMAN Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Nov13 Sep23 (lopez r)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
4  REBEL EMPIRE Jan15 Oct15 Sep29 May30 May07 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEREBY Feb15 Jan29 Jan11 Dec11 Dec03 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
6  THE SKIPSTER Feb19 Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 Nov25 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 6.00 64% 0.60    
7  EXUMA (IRE) Feb12 Jun17 Apr23     (orseno f)FERRER C 119 3.00 ★    
8  SIR SAFFER Feb05 Sep24 Sep04 Aug15 Jul23 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
9  ALYANAABI Feb05 Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 Oct05 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
10  CLEMSON TIGER Feb19 Apr10 Jan07 Jan01   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
SCR  PUTMAN Feb22 Jan29 Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 (vazquez m)DIAZ S 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.