Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/3/4/2)-(5/6/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-4   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/3/6/1)-(7/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(5)-(2) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
FON-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/2/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
FON-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/7/8/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/24/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCOTE         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
2  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Feb10 Sep13       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of COMMANDER SUE by MASTER COMMAND)
3  ROYAL JUDGE         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of COWGIRL PRINCESS by LANGFUHR)
4  JOSIES SCORE Feb10 Sep25       (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 122 2.50 ★    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
5  MAY B BETTER         (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
FON-2   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLUSHY Feb10 Sep23 Sep04 Aug13 Jul10 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  TOURIST LIKE ME Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 (jones anthony)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 ★    
3  QUEEN CORDELIA Feb10 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 Oct12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 0.80 26% 2.90    
4  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 Sep17 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 18% 4.40    
5  KNOCKON Dec01 Nov07 Sep19 Aug29 Aug13 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 12.00 13% 6.70    
 
FON-3   02/24/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S C ANGEL Feb10 Jun12 May28 May07 Apr22 (condon schuyl)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
2  CECILIA'S HOPE Jan19 Nov09 Sep28 Aug17 Jul18 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 ★    
3  AFLEET OKIE Feb10 Dec14 Oct05 Sep14 Jul18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 ★    
4  WITCHY WINDSOR May28 May20 May07 Apr15 Mar05 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 18.40    
5  SING THE SONG Feb10         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Feb10 Jun18 May28 May07 Apr24 (dieter)FLETCHER D 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
FON-4   02/24/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER SHIRLEY Feb10 Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 Feb25 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 ★    
2  QUEEN OF THE ICE Feb11 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
3  TALTY Jan19 Dec27 Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 ★    
4  BIG CALI GIRL Feb10 Jul03 Jun17 May29 May01 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 16% 5.30    
5  LOT'SA SILVER Feb11 Jan05 Dec19 Nov09   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60    
6  FAST SOPHIA Sep19 Sep09 Aug29 Aug12 Jul23 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Feb10 Jul22 Jun12 May28 May15 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
FON-5   02/24/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SUMMER Oct04 Sep13 Aug30     (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 ★    
2  JACKIE MOON Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Oct15 Aug11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
3  OREGON COUNTY Feb10 Sep19 Aug15 Aug07 Jul18 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
4  WILLIE THE MAN Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 Nov25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 ★    
5  FIFTY TWO PICKUP Feb10 Aug28 Aug19 Jul14 Jun28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  JONO Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Apr23 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  TIZ STRONG Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 May16 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 
FON-6   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE RUN HOMER Feb19 Dec18 Dec09 Nov27 Nov04 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50    
2  DREAM BABY DREAM Feb11 Jun17 Jun03 May27 May14 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 10.00 66% 0.50    
3  MURDO Feb18 Sep25 Aug08 May13 Feb28 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
4  NOSBOR Dec17 Nov17 Oct29 Oct02 Aug22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  PODEROSO EQUS Oct02 Sep19 Sep11 Aug23 Jul17 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 12.00 ★    
6  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Sep19 Aug19 Jul30 Jul03 Jun13 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
7  MR. WALSH Feb10 Jan27 Nov30 Nov14 Nov03 (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 ★    
8  MAFIA DON Feb10 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.