Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(1/7/2)-(6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3/8)-(1/7/2/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(6)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(8/1)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(1/4/5)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/8/2)-(1/4/5/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2/3)-(1/5/4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/5/6/3)-(6/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3/7)-(1/5/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3)-(6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(6/9/8)-(6/10/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/8)-(6/9/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8)-(6/9/8/2/1)-(6/9/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/8)-(6/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/7)-(6/10/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10/7)-(6/10/7)-(6/10/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE LAKE Jan15 Dec30 Dec21 Dec02 Oct22 (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec30 Dec23 Dec14 Nov26 Mar30 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
3  ODDS ON Jan25 Jan07 Dec17 Oct01 Sep19 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  CHUCKY Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Sep30 Aug27 (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 6.00 8% 11.20    
5  EXCHEQUER Jan14 Dec30 Nov26 Nov18 Oct12 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 1.20 32% 2.10    
6  CHILL HAZE Dec04 Nov21 Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 30.00    
7  IT'S FATE Dec30 Dec21 Dec02 Oct28 Oct20 (werneth robe)ARROYO S 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
TAM-2   02/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN PIN ALLY Dec22 Nov26 Oct28 Sep17 Sep11 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
2  WORKING OVERTIME Jan08 Dec24 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 4.50 8% 11.10    
3  LYRICAL Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 Jul09 Jun02 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  R D BLESSING Jan27 Jan01 Dec23 Dec14   (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
SCR  ASPROPODIA Jan18 Jan08 Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 115 20.00    
6  DRILL'S VALENTINE Dec09 Nov26 Jul01 Apr27 Apr15 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
7  LEA ME ALONE Jan15 Dec10 Jul16 Jun22 May26 (tsirigotis ja)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  MELANCHOLY BLUES Jan20 Dec28 Aug29 Jul15 Jun25 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S WISEGUY Jul16         (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00 ★    
2  STREET COP OFFICER Dec24         (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
SCR  HANDSOME MAN         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 ★    
4  FALK Jan14 Dec24 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  LOOKIN' SUPER Dec30 Nov27       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  ESTILO MAGICO Jan14         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 1.80 16% 5.30    
7  EXTREME ACCESS Jul02         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   02/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE NEITH Jan18 Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 Jul15 (sanchez )GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  KAZACHAN Jan08 Nov25 Oct22 Aug24 Jul28 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
3  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jan01 Dec10 Sep05 Aug17 Jul15 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 6.00 ★    
4  CUPIDS DREAM Jan07 Dec10 Apr13 Mar11 Feb16 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00    
5  LEMON TAFFY Jan07 Dec01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep05 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 30.00    
6  WASSER Jan07 Dec24 Dec16 Nov23 Oct26 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 4.50 ★    
7  DONNA LIRICA Jan01 Oct24 Oct14 Sep15 Aug27 (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 119 20.00    
8  COMMAND POINT Jan07 Sep01 Aug05     (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
9  ALL BIZZ Jan04 Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep21 (dixon k)COA J 119 20.00    
10  RAINOUT Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May29 (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 12.00    
11  KISSES FOR HANNAH Jan18 Jan01 Nov25 Oct14 Oct06 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 119 15.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 Sep17 (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-5   02/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAU CLAIRE Jan04 Dec10 Oct22 Aug31 Jul31 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  DRY HUMOR Jan04 Oct08 Sep17 Jun18 May20 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 10.00 ★    
3  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Jan01 Dec07 Oct14 Aug14 Jul24 (knoll peter )MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00    
4  INVESTMENT INCOME Jan04 Dec10 Nov08 Oct11 Sep03 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  ROUNDABOUT Jan04 Dec07 Sep17 Jul28 Jun30 (terranova p)FERRER C 121 4.50 5% 18.20    
6  I'M NERVOUS NOW Jan04 Nov27 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
7  ROCK ALONG Jan15 May22 Apr24 Mar31   (manning denni)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
8  DYNA'S HONOR Jan15 Jan04 Dec21 Oct06   (arnett)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   02/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST FAITH Jan01 Dec16 Dec09 Jun30   (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  RIPLEY EFFECT Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 Oct14 Sep17 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 ★    
3  LOOKIN AT KISSES Dec30         (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 ★    
4  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Dec23 May04 Apr01 Mar13 Jan26 (scocca lin)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 20.00 6% 16.90    
5  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 Aug13 Jun25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
6  WICKED SAUCY Dec22 Dec16 Dec02 Sep24 Sep17 (nunez mauricio)FERRER C 122 6.00    
7  SHE IS ROYALTY Jan15 Dec22 Apr16 Mar18 Mar12 (calixto iva)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 6.00    
8  PATH TO VICTORY Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Aug21 Jul24 (gonzalez jav)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
9  A PERFECT SET Dec16 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08   (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 20.00    
10  PRETTY FLATTERING Dec02 Nov25 Mar03 Feb06   (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
 
TAM-7   02/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY LAYLA Jan20 Dec22 Nov26 Sep05 Aug27 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  TRIZMO Dec28 Nov09 Oct25 Oct02 Sep04 (county patri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 12.00    
3  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Dec09 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 Jul08 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 30.00 10% 8.50    
4  HEY BOSS Nov27 Oct27 Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
5  TAP EM Jan11 Nov30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep22 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
7  BARAHIN Jan11 Dec31 Dec21 Nov30 Sep11 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 ★    
8  PAPA JIMMY Jan20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 Nov30 (bray micha)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 10.00    
9  DOUBLE DAVID Dec14 Nov30 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
10  MISTA DONZELLA Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Apr30 Apr16 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL KING Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 ★    
2  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Sep15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun25 Apr20 (poole a)FELICIANO R 118 6.00 ★    
3  NIXON JOY (ARG) Nov25 Apr08 Mar10 Feb09 Jan27 (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 30.00    
4  CAJUN CASANOVA Sep06 Aug16 Jul04 May29 Mar27 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 10.00    
5  MAGICAL JAIME Oct08 Aug28 Jul17 Jun18 Jun03 (mcburney patrick)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
6  IN THE LOOP Jan07         (bennett s)FERRER C 118 4.00 51% 1.00    
7  LORD BERRIER Jan11 Dec21 Nov23 Sep18 Mar09 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
8  SMOKY BLUES Dec08 Aug29 Jul05 Jun09 May17 (weaver casson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jan11 Dec17 Oct30 Sep18 Jul24 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
10  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Sep17 Aug17 Jun18 May18 Apr08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-9   02/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAND PLAYER Jan13 Dec23 Oct13 Sep03 Jun30 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  FAST PAYDAY Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 Aug23 Jul01 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  EDMUND FITZGERALD Dec31 Dec24 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00    
4  CANYOUHEARMENOW Jan20 Dec09 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 (duffy sean)WALKER M 119 10.00    
5  KING OF CHAOS Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 Jun24 Apr29 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50    
6  HOLY MEISTER         (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
7  LAST SECOND LOUIE Oct22 Sep09 Jul29 Mar18   (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHIPWRECK Dec31 Dec02 Oct02 Sep10 Aug13 (knoll d)FERRER C 119 10.00    
9  FAST N STEADY Dec08 May06 Mar31 Mar16 Feb20 (gonzalez jav)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
10  GUNMAN Jan15 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 May06 (manchan c)LOPEZ E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOURBON BROWN Nov30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun22 May06 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
SCR  GENERALONAMISSION Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 Aug16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
SCR  SUNSPOT Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 May14 Apr30 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.