Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/5/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10/2)-(7/5/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/10/2)-(7/5/9/10/2)-(7/5/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/9/10/2)-(3/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/10/2)-(3/9/6)-(5/9/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/6)-(3/9/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/5/6)-(3/9/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/6)-(5/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6)-(5/9/4/3)-(2/6/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/3)-(5/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/3)-(5/9/4/3)-(5/9/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/3)-(2/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/3)-(2/6/9/3)-(1/2/9/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/3)-(2/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/3)-(2/6/9/3)-(2/6/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/3)-(1/2/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/3)-(1/2/9/7/5)-(3/8/9/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/7/5)-(1/2/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/7/5)-(1/2/9/7/5)-(1/2/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/9/7/5)-(3/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/7/5)-(3/8/9/6)-(1/4/6/9/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (3/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/6)-(3/8/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/6)-(3/8/9/6/7)-(3/8/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/9/6)-(1/4/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/9/6)-(1/4/6/9/2)-(2/3/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/9/2)-(1/4/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/9/2)-(1/4/6/9/2)-(1/4/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/9/2)-(2/3/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/9/2)-(2/3/6/5)-(8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5/7)-(2/3/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-9   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/10) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH ONE Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
2  CHANNEL SCENT Jan12 Jul30 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUZZETTE STAR Dec02 Nov23 Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00    
4  ROSELEE Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 Oct19 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
5  EXTRA CRUNCHY Dec07 Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 Sep18 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 8% 10.90    
6  AT THE GATE Jan14 Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Nov04 (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
7  MAYSVILLE MISS Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 Oct14 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ DERECK 112 3.50 61% 0.60    
8  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 (montill)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
9  IRISH SAMURAI Jan04 Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 Nov04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
10  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct07 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   01/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAZEDNCONFUSED Jan04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep24   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by JUBA out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
2  KING KJARTAN Jan04 Dec17 Nov26     (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
3  TIME TO CHOOSE Jan04 Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  DE'S CASTLE Dec14 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep03 (petty kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DEMAY by DEHERE)
5  TOBI WAN KENOBI Dec14 Oct15       (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
6  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Dec14 Nov26       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  JUBAY Jan06 Dec17       (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANGFORD BAY by LANGFUHR)
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jan04 Dec14 Nov23     (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
9  FUNKLE         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
 
CT-3   01/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIMMI QUANDO Aug01 Jun20 May07 Apr16 Mar18 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
2  TYLER TIME Jan08 Dec10 Nov03 Sep11 Aug26 (mcfarlane br)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
3  RIGHTEOUS MAN Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Sep21 Aug27 (kirlew)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MASTER THIS Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct05 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MYSTIFIED Jan04 Dec20 Nov24 Oct15 Sep21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
6  BOOK OF DELANCEY Jan19 Dec20 Dec09 Nov23 Oct12 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
7  LUFTY'S KISSES Jan06 Dec01 Nov19 Nov10 Oct29 (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  FEISTY KITTEN Jan05 Dec01 Nov10 Oct29 Oct22 (downie lo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
9  SULEMAN Jan05 Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
CT-4   01/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HEART Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 Oct17 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
2  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 Jul29 Apr30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  MISS WILD Dec02 Oct19 Sep24 Sep10 Aug18 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHINY PENNY Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov14 Oct27 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
5  FLAT DISCOUNT Jan05 Dec12 Dec04     (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
6  ELITE SPEED Dec06 Oct12 Aug11 Jul14   (johnston rob)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  FIVE DAYS IN MAY Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 (beattie tod)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
9  DAT DARES GOLD Dec08 Nov17 Nov12 Oct17 Sep18 (magee kie)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
10  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 50.00    
 
CT-5   01/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER WALSH Dec17 Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
2  MOSS BOSS Dec17 Nov30 Oct21 Sep08 Jul08 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
3  STRETCH THE TRUTH Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Sep30 Jul21 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 10.00    
4  ONE MORE FACTOR Jan07 Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Aug06 (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
5  AWESUMMER Jan04 Nov14 Nov02 Sep30 Aug22 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CONFUSION BABY BOY Jan13 Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
7  BIG HAMBONE Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Jul30 Jul16 (lee a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 9% 9.90    
8  LOADED SNIPER Jan14 Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
9  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Nov26 Nov09 Sep01 Aug05 Jul15 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
CT-6   01/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Jan05 Dec09 Oct28 Oct01 Sep24 (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
SCR  ROCKET BALLAD Jan05 Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00    
3  PLUNK Jan04 Nov07 Oct26 Sep29 Sep05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
4  SPEIGHTY SENSE Jan01         (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
5  COOL DUDE Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 Jun30 Jun16 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
6  POSITRACTION Dec31 Dec10       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
7  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 Jan13   (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 ★    
8  SEAN THE HAMMER Dec17 Dec09 Nov10 Apr29   (runco c)LEWIS M 117 3.00 11% 8.40    
9  CRYPTIC CODE Jan04 Nov16 Oct15 Aug17 Jul23 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
CT-7   01/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS Nov25 Sep09 Jul10 Apr28   (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 27% 2.70    
2  TIZ DEJA BLUE Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 Sep09 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
3  JAIME JAMEL Jan04 Dec02 Aug28 Aug17 Aug03 (cruz jaime)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
4  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 May05 Apr14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ABOUT TO RAGE Oct20 Sep16 Aug20 Jul07 Jun17 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
6  FOREVER THE BOSS Jan04 Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 Oct01 (aylor l)CECIL Y 120 15.00 13% 6.50    
7  DINNER BELL Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 Oct20 Sep16 (king yolond)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
8  RUNNING VIOLENCE Jan04 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
9  ADIOS SEE YA Jan04 Dec16 Dec02 Nov17   (straughn william)BAEZ M 115 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
CT-8   01/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEAR THE DIVA Oct13 Sep09 Jul30     (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
2  MERCI ROAD Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 Aug22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
3  GRANDIOSELY Nov04 Sep23 Jun05 May08   (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  LILLY SIMONE Dec10 Nov19       (perez ernesto)WOODSON H 120 20.00    
5  SHUTUPN'KISSME Dec07 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 Jul02 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 12% 7.00    
6  COUSIN WINNIE Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  ALL WORKED UP Jan14 Dec09 Nov26 Apr08 Mar13 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 8.00 ★    
8  PRAY FOR THE U S A Jan07 Dec10 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-9   01/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDEN FLARE Jan04 Dec17 Dec02     (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
2  JUJU Nov09 Sep28 Sep07     (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
3  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Jan13 Dec02 Nov17 May30 Jan07 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00    
4  NANNY'S MISSION Jan04 Dec03 Oct21 Mar30   (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 10.00    
5  PRETTY CASTLE Nov30 Nov03 Sep28 Sep22 Sep07 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
6  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Jan04 Dec02 Oct15 Oct07 Sep03 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  MY BEST GIRL Dec16 Jul29 May11 Apr15 Mar24 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
8  MIDNIGHT PASS Dec16 Dec03 Aug30 Aug01 Jul14 (tsiamis)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 9% 10.40    
9  RED LIL SHIPMENT Jan04 May04 Mar23 Mar04 Feb11 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
10  MYGIDGETMARIE Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 Oct07 Sep14 (huet k)LEWIS M 117 1.80 ★    
SCR  MY SILVER LADY Jan13 Dec20       (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 124 3.50 ★    
12  C TWO Dec29 Sep10       (atkins ea)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
SCR  ASHARA Nov13 Oct29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 (doran carl)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
SCR  HOLY HIP         (jones e)BAEZ M 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.