Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Monday - January 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/3)-(6/5/1/3/4)-(5/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/5/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3/4)-(6/5/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3/4)-(5/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3/4)-(5/6/3)-(4/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/1)-(7/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/8/6/2)-(6/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/2)-(6/5)-(2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/8/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/1/7)-(7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(7/5/3)-(1/2/5/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/2/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3/7)-(1/2/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A GIRL NAMED JAC Nov19 Oct09 Sep03 Aug03 Jul08 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  SWEET TALIA Dec02 Oct09 Sep23 Aug26 Jul29 (mcfarlane bra)ALVELO C 126 5.00 ★    
3  TAM CHAR Dec29 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16   (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
4  HOT LOOKIN ROYAL Nov19 Sep25 Sep11 May14 Apr28 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  ROCK ROSE Jan01 Nov27 Oct30 Oct01 Sep11 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  ICY REPLY Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 126 8.00    
7  FANCY PRINCESS May14 Mar18 Feb12 Jan28   (plummer bob)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 10.00    
8  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Dec15 Nov19 Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 (maldonado jona)PEREZ XAVIER 126 10.00    
 
LRL-2   01/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISTOCAT Dec30 Dec02 Nov20 Nov05 Oct19 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 11% 7.80    
2  FEDERAL OFFENSE Dec29 Nov24 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.00    
3  FRENCHBORO Dec29 Oct29 Oct02     (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 126 10.00 9% 10.50    
4  PRINCE OF FENTON Dec19 Dec07 Sep30 Aug22 Aug10 (dunham berna)LEWIS M 115 8.00 8% 11.10    
5  HELLMAN Dec29 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Nov21 Oct16 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-3   01/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM TERRIFIC Jan07 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 8.00    
2  SPRING THE BEAST Dec02 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 119 10.00 ★    
3  PIT STOP MAN Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  SHOULDA HAD IT Jan08 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Oct02 (serey jr)DELGADO A 119 15.00    
5  MONTAUK DADDY Dec31 Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 Oct15 (cash norman )LEWIS M 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  ROYAL THUNDER Dec04 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 Aug13 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
7  BOONDOGGLE Jan01 Dec18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct15 (kee j)ALVELO C 123 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   01/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R AVERIE LYNN Jan03 Nov15 Oct21 Oct14 Sep07 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  OLIVE KAT Nov03 Sep24 Sep17 Aug11 Jul17 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 5.00    
2  LA FAMILIA Dec30 Nov23 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00    
3  AWESOME VIEW Dec29 Dec16 Nov11 Nov03 Oct21 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 ★    
4  PROPER ATTIRE Dec29 Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 Jul30 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  EPICUREAN Jan02 Nov30 Nov09 Sep21 Aug29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
6  BEHIND THE COUCH Dec29 Dec16 Nov21 Nov11 Oct23 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   01/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS LEXI         (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
2  DONNA'S COURAGE Dec16 Nov12 Oct13     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 8% 11.30    
3  BRING THE MAGIC Nov27 Oct23 Sep30     (woolley ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 6.00    
4  THE BAWSE'S LADY Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 (whylie her)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
5  ARROGATES DREAM Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep16 Aug20 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 124 8.00 ★    
6  LIL SPINNER Dec31 Dec02       (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50 9% 9.50    
7  LEVISA Jan07 Nov19 Oct12 Sep06   (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  MISS ANTIETAM         (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
LRL-6   01/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Dec02 Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 Jun25 (buckley rick)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 10.00    
1A  SPIRITUAL GHOST Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 Nov11 Oct29 (buckle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00    
2  SO THERE Dec29 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep07 (lawrence jame)ALVELO C 126 20.00    
3  LOVE MACHINE Dec30 Nov27 Nov11 Oct26 Oct01 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 8.00 ★    
4  ONLY CHILD Dec29 Dec02 Nov04 Oct27 Oct13 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00    
5  RESILIENT COURAGE Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 Aug07 Jul21 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  BETTHEOVER Dec02 Nov07       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  GIVE IT A GO Dec29 Nov24 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 ★    
8  UNCOMMON VALOR Dec29 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00 ★    
9  CAIRO BOOGIE Jan11 Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 Oct18 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
10  NO ME DIGAS Dec31 Dec07 Jun29 May12 Apr24 (davis samuel)BATISTA A 126 12.00    
11  AUSTIN WHYLIE Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 Sep19 (whylie her)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
 
LRL-7   01/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE A Dec18 Nov14 Nov03 Sep25 Sep05 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00 6% 16.80    
2  MOMOS Dec21 Nov06 Oct09 Sep08 Jul03 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 65% 0.50    
3  JOHN THE BEAR Dec03 Nov05 Mar27 Mar06 Jan27 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
4  TREASURE TRADITION Dec03 Nov21 Oct22 Oct01 Mar26 (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 126 6.00 ★    
5  JALEN JOURNEY Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 Oct29 Oct08 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
6  SHACKLED LOVE         (capuano a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 ★    
7  BIGMANCAN Dec31 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 6% 16.80    
8  LOCAL MOTIVE Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct08 Sep04 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
 
LRL-8   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT ICE Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 Oct09 Sep11 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
2  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Dec18 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 Sep11 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 15.00 ★    
3  DEMO DOCTOR Dec18 Nov20 Oct13 Sep17 Aug12 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50 17% 4.80    
4  FOLE'S NOTION Dec13 Oct20 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
5  HEMP Dec18 Nov20 Oct29 Sep11   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  DR. FERBER Nov19 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug20 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 15.00 ★    
7  RAD PAISLEY Dec18 Dec03 Nov20 Oct29 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-9   01/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIBBLES Jan01 Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 Oct06 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  REDWHITEANDTACOS Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep25 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  MO FIRE Dec31 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00 8% 11.00    
4  IF THEN Dec31 Nov05 Oct08 Sep02 Aug19 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
5  ABIDALE Dec02 Oct31 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 9% 10.40    
6  BACKSTREET GAL Dec31 Dec09 Nov05 Oct07 Sep25 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
7  SHE'S ALL COURAGE Jan07 Dec09 Oct23 Oct01 May05 (mancilla carlos)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 30.00 7% 12.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.