Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/5/1/2/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/5/1/2/6)-(4/2/1/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/5/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2/6)-(1/3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2/6)-(1/3/5/2/6)-(1/3/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2/6)-(4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2/6)-(4/2/1/5)-(7/2/4/3/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-3   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5/3)-(4/2/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(7/2/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(7/2/4/3/8)-(1/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/2/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3/8)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/3/8)-(1/4/5)-(4/5/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(4/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/5/6/2)-(7/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(7/5/2)-(1/4/3/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/4/3/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(1/4/3/5/8)-(2/10/5/8/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/4/3/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5/8)-(1/4/3/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5/8)-(1/4/3/5/8)-(1/4/3/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/3/5/8)-(2/10/5/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/10/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/8/9)-(2/10/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/8/9)-(2/10/5/8/9)-(2/10/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIVIN ASTRO Nov03 Oct06 Jul30 Jul10 Jun14 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00    
2  TENPINS TEMPEST Jan05 Nov09 Oct20 Aug27 Aug04 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 3.50 ★    
3  ASHLEY'S GIRL Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  MAYWON Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  ZONG WAVE Dec29 Dec19       (dison m)BOURQUE J 120 5.00 ★    
6  MUCHO MACHO BABY Dec02 Sep24 Sep09     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
7  LUCKY CAJUN Dec21         (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 15.00 ★    
8  BABY LOCKOUT Dec09 May06 Apr13 Mar04 Feb04 (gallaway eddie)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
 
DED-2   01/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSNOTMYJOB Dec27 Dec03 Oct20 Oct06 Aug14 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 5.00 ★    
1A  LOTS OF GOLD Oct29 Oct13 Sep09 Jul23 Jun20 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 14% 6.10    
2  FIRSTSLATE Dec17 Nov19 Oct27 Sep18 Aug08 (melancon donald)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
3  WILD MALLORY Dec03 Oct28 Oct06 Aug19 Jul28 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.20 26% 2.90    
4  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Dec29 Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 Oct06 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 109 12.00    
5  HARRIET'S DREAM Dec27 Sep24 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
6  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Dec03 Sep21 Sep02 Jul10 Jun16 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 117 10.00 9% 9.80    
 
DED-3   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET STORM Dec20 Oct13 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 (courville ri)MAGNON H 123 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of SCARLET HALL by GRAEME HALL)
2  LITTLE Z Dec22 Dec08 Nov05 Oct12 Sep05 (nelson r)STOKES J 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MR. Z out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
3  GYPSY JACKPOT Dec08 Nov22 Oct27     (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of JACKPOT MISS by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
4  NOT ALONE         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of PRETTY NOT by SEFAPIANO)
5  TALENTS HOT DEAL Dec20 Oct27 Oct13 Aug17 Jul23 (blanchet ch)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by EL DEAL out of HOT TALENT by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  DANCE LIL DARLING Nov26 Oct13 May14     (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of DOYOUWANTTODANCE by DISCO RICO)
7  WHO DAT GINGER Dec22         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
  (by MO TOM out of GINGER TEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
8  WINNIE B Aug17 Jul23 Jan01     (gelner j)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
DED-4   01/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLERIC Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 Sep19 Jul09 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
2  TARGET PRACTICE Dec29 Nov30 Nov04 Aug20 Aug10 (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  MAD GOLD Dec08 Nov02 Oct15 Jun10 May11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 10% 9.00    
4  FULL POWER Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Jul14 Jun24 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 117 8.00 11% 7.80    
5  SILKY'S DANCE Sep03 Aug20 Jun21 May31 May17 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
6  WYMAN Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Nov10   (melancon donald)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
7  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Dec21 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 Aug27 (cangem)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
8  BAYOU BEAUX Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Oct21 Sep13 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 7% 13.40    
 
DED-5   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TAKEN BACK Dec15 Nov23 Oct26 Mar03 Feb04 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  MASTERLY (ARG) Dec21 Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 Aug13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 ★    
2B  CYPRIANO Oct27 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 ★    
SCR  GRIEF Dec15 Nov19 Oct06 Sep12 Jul23 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50    
3  BODEE BODEE Dec15 Nov17 Oct28 Oct08 Sep13 (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
4  GALAXY BUILDER Jan05 Dec10 Nov11 Oct13 Aug05 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 12% 7.40    
5  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Dec21 Dec14 Dec03 Nov10 Oct22 (larrosa a)BACA L 123 3.50 9% 10.00    
6  MIND ON MY MONEY Dec15 Nov22       (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 117 12.00    
7  JAKE THE BAND MAN Dec28 Dec17 Nov18 Oct05 Aug27 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 12.00 ★    
 
DED-6   01/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUGHT MY HEART Dec10 Nov18 Jul18     (kanhai joseph)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of IT'S TRUE ROMANCE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  SHE'SAGAMECHANGER Dec22 Dec08       (kanhai joseph)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of FOOTNOTEDISCLOSURE by SLEW'S SAGA)
2  CHERRY STAR Dec19 Nov26 Oct27     (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 12.00 6% 15.50    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
SCR  TIME TO CLOSE Dec19         (celest)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 ★    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
4  FROSTED DIAMOND Nov23 Sep16 Jul03 Jun10 May22 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVA'S DIAMOND by CRAFTY SHAW)
5  PERPETUATE Jan05         (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CUT IN STONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  EXPECT A DANCER Dec10 Oct06 Jul30 Jun29 Jun13 (robbins ray)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of DANCINGOVERTHELINE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
7  PSALM PRAYER Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 Jul23 (romero john )BARRERA J 115 5.00    
  (by SONGANDAPRAYER out of HOT ARGUMENT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
DED-7   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Dec28 Nov27 Nov04 Oct08 Sep13 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 6.00 ★    
2  ABSOLUTELY Nov12 Oct15 Aug06 Jul06 Jun17 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIMME CANDY Nov25 Oct19 May09 Apr02 Jan21 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00    
SCR  CZAR'S BALLERINA Dec22 Nov03 Sep25 Aug24 Aug01 (courville ri)MAGNON H 114 12.00    
5  CYBER SNEAKER Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 Sep16 Aug28 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  BURNING DESIRE Nov03 Aug18 Jul29 Jun09 May21 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00    
7  ANOTHER HOT MESS Nov12 Oct07 Sep14 Jul06   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MORE ROMANCE Dec03 Oct22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug03 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  BROKEN PROPOSAL Dec04 Nov17 Oct30 Aug26 Jul21 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A WISH FOR MADELYN Dec22 Dec14 Oct20 Oct05 Aug03 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
1A  REBECCA G Dec20 Nov19 Nov03 Oct15 Aug27 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 ★    
SCR  EMMAS RULER Dec22 Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 Sep06 (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00    
3  BUILDING HOME Dec27 Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Aug19 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  MEAN AMERICAN Dec22 Dec15 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  STORM BREACH Dec17 Nov22 Oct05 Aug12 Jul23 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Dec22 Mar05 Feb12     (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 117 5.00    
7  D'WILD MUFFIN Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 Oct03 Aug22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 117 6.00    
8  ZEATRICAL Jan04 Dec10 Nov22 Oct29 May17 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TED STRIKER Dec22 Dec01 Nov17 Oct26 Oct12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
2  M AND M'S CUSTOM Dec17 Nov10 Oct19 Jul16 Jun30 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Aug25 Jul13 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
4  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Dec27 Nov17 Aug13 Apr30 Apr13 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
5  XANTHUS WRATH Nov02 Oct14 Sep05 Jul29 Jul09 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.00 6% 15.30    
6  CHAPEL OF DREAMS Dec19 Nov19 Nov09 Oct20 Aug11 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00    
7  PAT ME DOWN Dec30 Dec21 Dec14 Nov26 Nov10 (west henry)BARRERA J 120 20.00    
8  BIG RESULTS Dec21 Nov30 Oct28 Sep24 Sep05 (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
9  MY BOOK Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 Jul27 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 5% 18.80    
10  FLIT N FLOT TIME Dec27 Nov09 Oct12 Aug25 Aug03 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.