Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4/6)-(1/3/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(5/2/1)-(7/9/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(1/5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(1/5/2/3/6)-(1/5/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/9/4/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(7/9/4/1/6)-(2/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/9/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/1/6)-(7/9/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/1/6)-(7/9/4/1/6)-(7/9/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/4/1/6)-(2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/1/6)-(2/4)-(2/5/4/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/5/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/5/4/1)-(1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/1)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(1/2/3)-(5/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/6)-(1/2/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(2/5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(2/5/3/6/1)-(2/5/3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(5/7/9)-(4/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/7/2/9)-(5/7/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/9/3)-(4/7/8/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDI BUG Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 Sep17 Jul19 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 112 1.60 44% 1.30    
2  WHERE'S AUNT J Nov16 Nov05 Oct08 Sep20   (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
3  ALPINE MIST Nov22         (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Dec10 Nov12 Oct15 Sep04   (flint steve)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 8% 11.00    
5  TAKEN IT Dec10 Nov12 Sep04     (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
6  DECORATED LADY Dec02 Nov12 Oct08     (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 ★    
 
DED-2   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LINDA Dec28 Aug03 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 114 4.50 12% 7.20    
1A  APHRODITES REVENGE Dec15 Nov25 Nov05 Oct12 Aug26 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 114 4.50 ★    
2  CHROME SAVAGE Nov30 Nov03 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 (cezar jerry)TORRES HUGO 112 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  LACIS JEWEL Nov30 Oct21 Aug18 Jul15 Jul01 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 114 3.50 ★    
4  BEYOND D'ORO Nov22 Oct21 Aug13 Jul28 Jul15 (simon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 8.00    
5  ANNA CLAUSE Dec20 Nov03 Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  KIND WAYS Nov30 Nov02 Aug27 Jul14 Jun24 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 5.00 ★    
 
DED-3   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGS WAGER Jun17         (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 6% 15.80    
2  ANGOLA VACATION Dec01 Nov17 Oct22 Oct05 Aug26 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 118 8.00    
3  D'FESTIVE CAT Nov26 Aug26       (bourque warren)BARNES JOSE 123 15.00    
4  DARK MATTER Dec22 Dec10 Oct22 Sep26 Sep04 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
5  HE'S A CLASSIC Dec20 Nov02 Sep26 May07 Jan20 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
6  CHELSEA'S GLORY Dec15 Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 Aug13 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  K V TARGET Dec28 Dec14 Dec01 Nov02 Oct05 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  FIGHTING SOLDIER Dec20 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 Aug20 (morrell cynt)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
9  MULETRAIN Dec28 Dec15 Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
10  COUNT ON RAIN Dec20 Dec01 Nov12 Oct12 Aug26 (benoit jame)LEDET THEODRICK 123 10.00    
 
DED-4   01/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH COMPANY Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 Sep18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
1A  AKHNAS Dec28 Oct13 Jul30 Jul21 Jun29 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 ★    
2  BOURBON ST TAPPIN Dec21 Dec08 Nov04 Oct22 Oct08 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 27% 2.80    
3  OUTLAW X. Dec28 Dec07 Oct19 Sep10 Aug24 (bruno j)STOKES J 117 5.00 ★    
4  GENTRIFIED Nov30 Nov19 Oct12 Aug03 Jul21 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  PINCH ASSAULT Dec27 Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
DED-5   01/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN ACES Nov18 Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 Aug15 (antwine michael)STOKES J 120 10.00 13% 6.90    
2  T R'S FIRST Dec29 Dec15 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SATISFY U Dec07 Oct29 Oct08 Aug14 Jul03 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COME WHAT MAE Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 Sep12 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
5  STOP SHOP N DROP Dec15 Nov03 Oct05 Aug27 Jul06 (castil)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
6  MISS MIRACLE GIRL Dec19 Nov18 Oct07 Aug17 Jul28 (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
7  FUHR MEO Dec20 Dec01 Nov18 Aug24 Jul29 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00    
 
DED-6   01/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF BROTHER Dec19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by HALF OURS out of DANA'S LUCKY LADY by LUCKY LIONEL)
2  UXMAL Dec20 Nov25       (guillory j)BIRZER E 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BONITA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  K R POWER STORM Nov30         (roberts kennet)BACA L 117 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
4  MIRACLE WARRIOR         (richard chris)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LADY O'TOOLE by COLONEL JOHN)
5  IN DETAIL Dec19 Oct20 Sep10 Jul21   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BANKSTRISS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  TRIPLE RED ACES         (landry alle)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 ★    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CLANDESTINE by GRAND SLAM)
 
DED-7   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE GUY Dec15 Nov16 Oct08 Sep05 Aug12 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 8.00    
1A  TENSAS TODDY Dec10 Nov22 Oct27 Oct12 Aug17 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 ★    
2  ALIGNED INTEREST Dec21 Dec08 Nov23 Nov10 Oct08 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 3.00 ★    
2B  BINDING Dec30 Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Oct05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  HOSTILE AFLEET Dec15 Nov04 Oct07 Aug24 May07 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 117 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  FREEDOMFI Dec14 Nov22 Oct12 Sep10 Aug04 (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 117 4.00    
5  OAK HILL LG Dec15 Nov12 Oct08 Jul27 Jul13 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
6  TEMPRANO Dec09 Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 Sep26 (beavin judy)BIRZER E 117 6.00 6% 14.60    
 
DED-8   01/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASEBALL LOVER Nov30 Nov03 Oct05 Aug18 Jul15 (mojica a)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PROUD ZOE by PROUD ACCOLADE)
2  PRIZELESS Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 Oct19 Aug17 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 ★    
  (by LANGFUHR out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
3  SIMPLY WICKED Dec17 Nov24 Oct07 May21 Apr16 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of SIMPLY SENSATIONAL by GOLD TOKEN)
4  HYPERBOLIST Dec23 Dec02 Nov04 Aug04 Jun17 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LOOKINFORCHANGE by GILDED TIME)
5  SUPER OCHO (CHI) Nov05 Oct01 Sep04 Jun22   (sanchez)GONCALVES R 118 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by DUBAI SKY out of BERRY BLOSSOM by GRAND REWARD)
SCR  MIDNIGHT FIRE Dec10 Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 Jun08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MEILI by FORESTRY)
7  EMPIRE OF GOLD Nov22 Sep25 Sep01 Jul16 May30 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 118 3.00 17% 5.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EMPIRE DIVA by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  PICKENS Dec10 Nov24 Nov05 Oct20 Jun05 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EBONY RUN by EL CORREDOR)
9  SCRAPPY ARTIE Dec01 Oct07 Aug13 Jul28 Jun30 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SMART N LONELY by SMARTY JONES)
 
DED-9   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN ANNIE Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Sep27 Aug24 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
2  UMATILLA Dec08 Sep17 Aug26 May05 Apr16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
3  MORO DANDY         (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 6.00 ★    
4  SERENGETI SIX Dec19 Dec08       (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
5  WHY KENZLY Dec09 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 (godfrey edmond)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00    
6  PIECE OF ME Dec10 Nov18       (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.00    
7  PENNIE'S MAGIC Dec19 Nov18 Oct19 Sep06 Aug27 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 6% 15.90    
8  TOLATETOOWAIT Dec08         (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
9  CALIFORNIA CALI Dec21 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 Jun29 (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50 ★    
10  IT'S TIME BABY Dec21 Nov22 Nov03 Oct13 Aug24 (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.