Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/1/2)-(4/6/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/1/2)-(4/6/8/1/2)-(4/6/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/8/1/2)-(10/6/8/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/1/2)-(10/6/8/2/4)-(8/3/5/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (10/6/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/2/4)-(10/6/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/2/4)-(10/6/8/2/4)-(10/6/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/8/2/4)-(8/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/2/4)-(8/3/5/6)-(10/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/6)-(8/3/5/6/4)-(8/3/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/5/6)-(10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/6)-(10/4)-(2/1/5/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/4)-(10/4/8/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/4)-(10/4/8/9/5)-(10/4/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4)-(2/1/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/4)-(2/1/5/3)-(4/9/2/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(4/9/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(4/9/2/8)-(6/10/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/8)-(4/9/2/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/8)-(4/9/2/8/10)-(4/9/2/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/2/8)-(6/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/8)-(6/10/5)-(10/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/5)-(6/10/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/10/5)-(6/10/5/8)-(6/10/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/10/5)-(10/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/10/5)-(10/4/2/3)-(9/11/8/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/3)-(10/4/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/3)-(10/4/2/3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/2/3)-(9/11/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/11/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/8/10)-(9/11/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/11/8/10)-(9/11/8/10)-(9/11/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKED TOOTH Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Jul01 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00 7% 13.30    
2  UNNAMED SOLDIER Oct14 Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jul01 (jones william)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROLL DEM BONES Dec01 Nov07 Oct14 Aug16 Jul20 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
4  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Dec16 Oct28 Sep17 Jul16 Jul08 (pickett g)CULLUM W 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
5  SCOTTY SILVER Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 Sep01 (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 122 10.00    
6  GRAND FIBER Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep14 Aug04 (mangual manolo)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  SHACKLED May05 Apr08 Mar10 Feb04   (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 6.00    
8  FU MAN SUE Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Apr13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 8% 11.50    
 
CT-2   01/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMELIZED Dec02         (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
2  LOCKDOWN VANNA         (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 12.00 6% 14.80    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
3  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Dec02         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MAKIN FAITH by MAKIN)
4  PLAYING FOR TWO         (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 18.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LET'S PLAY TWO by GRAND SLAM)
5  GOLDEN SALLY Dec15 Dec03 Nov16 Oct21 Sep15 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of FOR SALLY by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  SMOKIN LADY         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
7  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Dec02         (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of IGOTTHEMONEYHONEY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
8  POLISH THE DIAMOND         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 7% 12.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
9  XPOSED SECRET Dec02 Nov11 Oct21     (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of MORE SWEET SECRETS by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
10  STRYDA Dec17         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MARYLAND'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CT-3   01/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUFTY'S KISSES Dec01 Nov19 Nov10 Oct29 Oct21 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
2  TOP HAT TREASON Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
3  TAPPIN FOR GLORY Dec14 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  BOSSY CAT Dec20 Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 ★    
5  JAMMIN STILL Dec07 Dec01 Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 (caison l)CECIL Y 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
6  LIQUID LOUIE Dec02 Nov02 Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 (jackson she)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASK NEAL Dec02 Nov17 Oct02 Mar30 Mar01 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
8  DEVOTED KITTEN Dec06 Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 Sep01 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
CT-4   01/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Dec02 Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 Sep17 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
2  AWESOME MOON Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02   (jones michael )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
  (by MONSTER MASH out of KISSES FOR ROMEO by MALIBU MOON)
3  ODINA Dec02         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
4  JUMPIN JACK BRASS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by JUMP START out of BIT OF BRASS by DIXIE BRASS)
5  JUBASLILBALLERINA         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  ELLIES AT WINDSOR         (casey w)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
7  S S FRONTIER ANGEL         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  GREY FLAMINGO         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FLAMINGO KEY by INCLUDE)
9  VAN HOOK Nov19 Oct13 Sep23     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 ★    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
10  LA MADDALENA Dec17 Dec02       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of OUT OF GOODBYES by OUT OF PLACE)
 
CT-5   01/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIM'S JUBILEE Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Jul23 (reggetts st)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  DIXIE YODELER Nov30 Nov18 Oct07 Sep29 Sep12 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  SARAH'S WARRIOR Nov26 Nov10 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IHEARTRAINACOMN Nov18 Oct06 Sep10 Sep01 Aug11 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 ★    
5  TENNIS TAP Nov24 May04 Apr15 Mar18 Mar03 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 4.50 7% 12.90    
6  EX RATED Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
7  HOW IS SHE Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 Sep08 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
8  BAYS CASTLE Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
 
CT-6   01/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBAY Dec17         (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANGFORD BAY by LANGFUHR)
2  CUPID'S SONG         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VINCE'S VALENTINA by GRAND SLAM)
3  ASTRAYAL Dec17         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HEART ASTRAY by GONE ASTRAY)
4  HE'S CLEVER         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
5  GETTIN SPICY Dec17         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
6  ROCKIN CHAIR Dec09         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
7  CURB THAT TIGER Dec17         (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
8  SHADE TREE CORNER         (larrosa analia )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of BIRCH CIRCUIT by JIGGS COZ)
9  WINDSOR'S STAR Dec14 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
10  MISSIONARY Nov26 Nov05 Oct15     (casey w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 ★    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of MISSION TRUE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
CT-7   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL EQUIPPED Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 Oct26 Oct08 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
2  SARGENT KOBE Dec14 Nov26 Oct27 Oct19 Sep23 (lane j)LEWIS M 113 10.00    
3  REATA'S CASTLE Dec16 Nov23       (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
4  THEWITCHISGONE Nov30 Oct26 Sep21 Aug12   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
5  WITH SECRET ENERGY Dec08 Nov05 Oct26 Sep29 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
6  JUBA BOUND Dec08 Oct27 Oct06 Sep16 Aug19 (casey a)BOCACHICA O 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
7  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Dec04 Oct19 Sep21 Sep09 Aug27 (jones michael)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
8  ROCKET'S CASTLE Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 Sep15 Aug27 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 ★    
9  JAXJAXXORJACKS Dec16 Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 Oct26 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
10  PERSONABLE Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ROYAL PAIN Dec16 Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar16 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  SEATTLE SAILAWAY Dec16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14   (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
SCR  THUNDERINREADYRICK Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 Sep30 Aug11 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHARLIE Dec22 Dec09 Mar10 Feb24 Jan26 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
2  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Nov19 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun16 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  SPUNMAN Nov19 Sep08 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOT FUDGE SONDE Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 Aug06 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  NOID Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Dec16 Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
7  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  STRONG HEART Dec13 Nov30 May15 Apr16 Mar25 (johnson jen)RAMGEET R 124 30.00    
9  ALLEN CAN DO IT Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 124 10.00    
10  DEBIT CARD Dec09 Nov20 Oct18 Sep16   (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.00 45% 1.20    
 
CT-9   01/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVE EL MOMENTO Dec11 Nov23 Nov15 Nov02 Sep28 (gotera juan )MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
2  PLATINUM FROLIC Nov23 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul02 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
3  GOSSIPING Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
4  PARTY MONSTER Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Oct01 Sep17 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
5  SWEET ANNABELLA Nov30 Nov17 Sep30 Aug08 Jul19 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
6  SARAH BELLUM Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 Aug18 May25 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
SCR  PRACTICALLY THERE Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
8  AWESOME INCENTIVE Nov30 Oct29 Oct19 Sep22 May07 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
9  HELLUVA LADY Dec10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug13 Jul15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 24% 3.20    
10  SKYFLY Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  ESPERANNNA Dec31 Dec02 Oct28 Oct21 Sep24 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  SOME IS NINE Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 Oct27 Oct20 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00    
SCR  MISS COREY Dec19 Dec03 Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 Aug07 Jun11 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.