Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Nov04 Oct08 Sep23     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  BEST VIRGINIA Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Jul22   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 ★    
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Sep17 Sep02 Aug12     (casey w)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  JUBA'S PARADE Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (casey a)LARROSA G 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  AWESOME MOON Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02   (jones michael )ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
6  GOLDEN SALLY Dec03 Nov16 Oct21 Sep15 Sep02 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
7  NO DENYING DENIS Nov24 Nov11 Oct21     (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 ★    
8  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Nov24 Nov11       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  JUNIPER GRACE Nov24         (montil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
10  AFLEET PENGUIN Sep23         (runco c)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
 
CT-2   12/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER JOANN Nov19 Oct19 Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
2  WHALE OF A TIME Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug04 Jul14 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 9% 10.60    
3  ETERNAL HEART Oct25 Oct02 Sep09 Aug08 Jun28 (caramori caio)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
SCR  GOT ANY Nov19 Oct18 Sep22 Sep12 Aug19 (pearson micha)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
5  COUSIN WINNIE Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 16% 5.10    
6  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Nov19 Nov11 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 3.50 9% 9.80    
7  JACKS SISTER JILL         (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
8  NATURAL SONDE         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00 ★    
 
CT-3   12/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROMATIC LASS         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  LITTLE O LITTLE E Nov24 Nov03       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
3  BANK CARD Nov24         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 123 20.00    
4  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00 ★    
5  PHANTOM QUEEN         (greaves verno)THORPE DARIUS 123 10.00 ★    
6  LADY GANGSTER Dec04 Nov24 Nov03     (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 12.00    
7  LAS VEGAS BLVD         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50 ★    
8  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Jul28 Jul07 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00    
9  BLUE MOUNTAIN Nov24         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
10  VALUED ENERGY Nov30 Oct20 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
 
CT-4   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL TOUGHMAN Nov30 Nov19 Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
2  FIT BUT FAT Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep02 Aug11 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRINGFELLA Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 3.00    
SCR  THE MAN TO SEE Dec03 Oct23 Oct15 Jul15 Jun04 (dowling willi)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
5  EISELE Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 Aug11 Jul11 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  REY O REYES Dec09 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Sep21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 ★    
7  RAYO NEGRO Nov17 Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 8.00    
8  JOHNNY SWISH Nov19 Oct20 Sep08 Aug19 Aug13 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
9  SALTY J J Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 Jul08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
10  HENRY STANDINGBEAR Nov24 Oct20 Sep02 Aug06 Jul01 (roman-salon n)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
11  SKIP THE BULL Dec04 Nov16 Oct26 Oct01 Sep23 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   12/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI GUSTO ES Dec09 Nov04 Oct19     (rodriguez a)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  SWEET T         (mckee d)BAEZ M 116 12.00 ★    
3  RUNAWAY ROAD         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 7% 13.50    
4  TRICKY STRONG Aug20 Jul17       (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 ★    
5  RIDUNCULOUS Nov04         (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
6  ASTRAL RIDE Oct16 Aug21 Jun11 May12 Mar27 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
7  MY SLICK NICK Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 Aug31 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
8  BROTHERFROMANOTHER Nov25 Nov08 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
9  NOBLE PRESENT Dec09 Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 Oct13 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
10  A THOUSAND IDOLS Nov25 Mar11 Feb25     (pickett crys)LEWIS M 116 10.00    
 
CT-6   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 ★    
2  DIVINING DANCER Dec03 Nov24 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
3  JUSTINTHENICKOTIME Aug21 Jul27 Jun17 Apr21 Apr01 (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  INGREIDO Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Oct13 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00    
5  BADGER TOOTH Nov27 Nov05 Oct28 Oct06 Sep09 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
6  LUNAR IMAGE Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00    
7  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov29 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
8  HEARTNESS Nov24 Oct19 Oct08 Sep22 Jul20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
9  FEARNOUGHT Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct08 Sep22 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
10  GOT FLOFFY Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
11  HIGH PRINT Nov26 Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 Sep17 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  AMICALOLA FALLS Nov21 Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
CT-7   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUNK Nov07 Oct26 Sep29 Sep05 Jul29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep07 Aug27 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 123 15.00    
3  CHENTI Nov30 Nov18 Oct14 Sep24 Aug30 (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  SHANNONRUN Oct22 Oct05 Sep13 Apr28 Feb26 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 123 5.00 ★    
5  TARAASHOQ Oct27 Oct14 Aug30 Aug23 Jul01 (ramos a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 ★    
6  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Dec08 Oct26 Oct01 Aug31 Aug17 (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
7  CHERRYS CROSS Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep09 Aug26 (huet k)CULLUM W 124 20.00    
8  GOLDEN METTLE Nov30 Nov16 Jul21 Jun04 May12 (hamlin kath)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  CRYPTIC CODE Nov16 Oct15 Aug17 Jul23 May03 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 123 15.00    
10  NTH POWER Nov16 Oct26 Sep24     (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
11  WEST VIRGINIA BOY Dec06 Oct20 Sep29 Aug14 Jul29 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00    
 
CT-8   12/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOSE THE CASE Nov24 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul07 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
2  ALLEN CAN DO IT Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 (casey a)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARK DID IT Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50    
4  CHARLIE POTATOES Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 Jul07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
5  RIDICULOUS Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00    
6  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  WICKED MAD Nov24 Nov05 Oct21 Sep02 Aug20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
8  MORE PLEASE Nov24 Nov03 Oct05 Sep21 Jul29 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
9  BUTTONED UP Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
10  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Nov24 Oct21 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
CT-9   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARITABLE VISIT Sep30 Sep24 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 6% 15.40    
2  AUTS REVOLUTION Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  MAKE WAY Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 Sep29 Aug27 (barber dona)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
4  LOST IN MANHATTAN Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  MY SACRED PLACE Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 Aug27 (hanagan g)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
6  THE IRON BANK Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep30 Sep15 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
7  GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Oct26 Aug27 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
8  MY CANDY BIZ Nov17 Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
9  INDIANA RED Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 Apr23 Mar19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 7% 13.20    
10  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Nov16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 (hurley ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.