Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY SWISH Oct20 Sep08 Aug19 Aug13 Jul16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  SCINTILLIO Oct27 Oct06 Sep09 Sep03 Aug21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.80 25% 3.10    
3  RUNNER Nov11 Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 Oct05 (mohan r)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
4  FRONT PORCH Nov03 Sep09 Aug27 Aug02 Jul20 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 7% 12.60    
5  BET ON BITZ Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00    
6  MESMERIZED Nov10 Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
7  DATA DEAL Nov10 Oct07 Sep21 Sep08 Aug17 (jones michael)ADAMS L 115 12.00 17% 4.90    
 
CT-2   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL TOUGHMAN Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 Mar18 Feb02 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
2  NOID Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jun23 (meehan eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun16 May21 (runco c)LEWIS M 112 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  FEARNOUGHT Nov03 Oct08 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
5  SPUNMAN Sep08 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
6  REMYS SHOWTIME Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 ★    
7  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD OF FOOLS Nov04 Oct18 Oct11 Sep22 Sep15 (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 8% 11.80    
2  WATERLOO ROSE Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 Sep10 (tobin l)LARROSA G 119 30.00    
3  LOADED SNIPER Oct21 Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 Jun18 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  RICARDITO Oct29 Oct13 Sep18 Aug26 Aug14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  LUFTY'S KISSES Nov10 Oct29 Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
6  TWEET THIS Nov10 Oct12 Sep14 Jun30 May26 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  KURT'S A KEEPER Nov04 Oct20 Sep18 Aug26   (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.00 ★    
8  MONGOLIAN HERO Nov10 Oct29 Oct07 Sep02 Jun20 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
CT-4   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASAI MAN Nov14 Nov03 Oct13 Sep23 Aug23 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 15.00    
2  NOON TIME GEM Oct10 Sep10 Sep02 Aug07 Jul02 (grullo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  YABBA DABBA DUDE Nov03 Oct13 Oct01 Sep14 Aug31 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
4  TRINGALE Nov03 Oct06 Sep09 Jul14 Jun24 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 6% 15.80    
5  BEVERLY PARK Nov12 Nov03 Oct15 Sep21 Aug26 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 0.60 64% 0.60    
6  AUBURN MILL Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Jul14 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 ★    
7  BAILEY Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 Oct01 Sep05 (simone micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 7% 14.20    
 
CT-5   11/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILLY SIMONE         (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
2  REIGN ON AND ON Oct19 Jun18 Jun04 Apr09 Mar16 (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
3  ALPINE MOON Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 May28 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  INCLUDE THE BEAST Oct07 Sep08 Jul28 Jul02 Jun11 (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 ★    
5  AYKIZ Oct17 Sep20 Jul03 May20 May02 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
6  FULL MOON LOVER Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 Aug18 Jul30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
7  MADERA Jan20         (hillegass )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 ★    
8  SECRET CASTLE Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug20 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 ★    
 
CT-6   11/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 Sep09 Aug19 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 Jul22 Jul01 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 30.00    
3  LUCYLOU WHO Oct20 May21 Apr27 Apr01 Mar17 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Nov11 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  ETERNAL HEART Oct25 Oct02 Sep09 Aug08 Jun28 (caramori caio)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 ★    
6  SISTER JOANN Oct19 Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 Jul28 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 12.00    
7  COUSIN WINNIE Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50 5% 18.10    
8  GOT ANY Oct18 Sep22 Sep12 Aug19 Jul27 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
9  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Oct13 Sep30 Sep15     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
CT-7   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN HOOK Oct13 Sep23       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Oct15 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
3  JUBA'S PARADE Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02   (casey a)LARROSA G 117 10.00 8% 11.70    
4  JUBA'S NOTION Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (casey w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  LORD OF CORK Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul02 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
7  I'M THE MONEY MAN Nov02         (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  KEEP ON SPURRIN Oct29 Oct06 Sep17     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00    
9  MUSIC LASS Oct08 Sep23       (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 20.00    
 
CT-8   11/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMMIN STILL Nov12 Oct28 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
2  FREEDOM IS RINGING Oct28 Oct08 Sep22 Jul08 Apr27 (jackson she)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
3  VICTORY GIVEN Oct28 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 Jun09 (caison l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ZAINO BOYZ Oct28 Oct05 Sep01 Jul28 Jun16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  BUCKED TOOTH Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Jul01 May27 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
6  SILVER CASTLE Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
7  GOLDEN ANSWER May18         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★    
8  ATTUCK Oct13 Sep15 Aug10 Jul21 May07 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.