Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO OUTLAW Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 121 6.00 ★    
2  THE FIVE B'S Oct21         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00 ★    
3  MARVINS' WARRIOR Oct21         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
4  HALO MOON Oct21 Sep25       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  MORO MAFIA Sep24 Sep13 Jul23 Jun19 May15 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 116 12.00    
6  ALWAYS LOGAN         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 121 15.00    
7  DOUBLE EDGE SWORD         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 10.00    
8  WELCOMETOARKANSAS         (breaux samuel)STOKES J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRITE OUTLOOK Oct28 Oct06       (chatters benard)STOKES A 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
10  EASY EDDIE A Oct22         (fuselier jon)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
SCR  TRIPLE RED ACES         (landry r)THORNTON G 121 12.00    
 
DED-2   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMISTIC Jul01         (mojica a)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
2  OH SNAP Oct21 Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 May19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
3  GENERAL EISENHOWER Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 May25 Apr22 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  FUNNY ACTOR Aug18 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00 ★    
5  COACH HUDSON Aug27 Jul30 Jul13 Jun08 May20 (rochau l)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
6  VEGAS GUY Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 Jul09 Jun16 (diodor)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
7  TRAELEE Oct19 Aug27 Aug03 Jul09 Jun01 (segura kearney)STOKES A 120 8.00    
8  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Oct21 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Jul31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00 ★    
9  SONIC CITY Oct21 Sep13 Aug02 Jun25 May14 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
10  WARRIORS HAVEN Oct21 Jul04 Jun16 May29 May15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  AUTOCRATIC Oct21 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 118 20.00    
SCR  COUNTERFEIT Oct22 Jun20 May29 May08 Feb23 (thomas lee)BACA L 117 6.00    
 
DED-3   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROSKA Aug10 Jun17       (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 121 8.00    
2  BEULAH K         (snodde)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 17% 4.90    
3  ONECALLTHATSALL Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 121 4.00    
4  MARINA Nov02         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  COUNTRY LADY Oct08 Aug20       (thomas lee)BACA L 121 5.00    
6  MARDI GRAS ALARM         (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 121 8.00 13% 6.70    
7  GRACE'S SOLDIER         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 116 12.00 17% 4.90    
8  WHERE'S AUNT J Nov05 Oct08 Sep20     (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 ★    
 
DED-4   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIES TICKET Mar18 Mar06       (johnson henry )COTTO L 118 20.00    
2  BLUE CHEESE Oct08 Aug20 Feb05 Jan05   (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 116 6.00 ★    
3  DREWMAZING Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 Mar12 (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 116 8.00    
4  DONNIE BOY Sep12 Aug16 Jul03 Jun04 Feb26 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 116 15.00    
5  TOUCHDOWN JOE Jul16 Jun09 May20 Mar01 Feb05 (noel dane)BIRZER E 118 15.00    
6  QUARTER RAT Aug24 Jul27 Jul02 Jun02 May19 (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 116 8.00    
7  GUITAR DOCTOR Apr13 Mar24 Feb25 Feb11   (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 111 4.50 ★    
8  FIESTY FIST Jul28 Jul09 Jun09 Apr16 Mar26 (flint steve)MAGNON H 116 4.00 ★    
9  HOME VISIT Mar01 Feb05 Jan15     (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 116 2.50 13% 6.70    
10  INTO WISHING Oct13 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul05 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 12.00    
SCR  CPRIORITY Oct15 Sep10 Aug15 Jun07 Jan15 (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 10.00    
SCR  JACK BOB AND LARRY May08 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11   (johnson b)POMPELL L 116 4.00 61% 0.60    
 
DED-5   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOODY RAFAELA Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 20.00 5% 18.00    
2  SWEET STORMY ELLE Oct29 Jul11 Jun27 May17 Apr20 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
3  AWESOME ARCH Oct29 Oct06 Sep19     (reeves jeffery)THORNTON G 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  LA DANTA Oct20 Jul27 Jun29 May20 Apr30 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
5  TRICKY MOM Oct29 Oct07 Aug27 Aug12 Jul08 (toups brent)MAGNON H 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
6  SLIDE Oct15 Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 (senegal dalton )POMPELL L 120 10.00    
7  CHAOS MAGIC Nov03 Sep08 Aug14 Jul03 May29 (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 5.00    
8  FEDERAL COURT Oct26 Jul25 Jun25 Jun12 Jun04 (kanhai joseph)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00    
9  NOT SO SWEET Oct08 Aug25 Jul23     (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  SUGAR STAR Oct29 Oct14 Sep26 Aug13 Jul08 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 10% 8.80    
 
DED-6   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEY HARBOR Oct20 Sep21 Aug25 Jul31 Jul09 (g)DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
SCR  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Oct12 Sep27 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 (g)DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
SCR  SI ES GOYA Sep18 Aug30 Jul10 Jun27 May22 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 44% 1.30    
3  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Oct14 Aug08 Jul04 Jun19 May21 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 ★    
4  MIAS MOONBEAM Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 Jun10 Mar25 (larrosa a)STOKES J 117 8.00    
5  SPEEDY FELLAR Aug06 Jul24 May20 Mar26 Mar19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00 23% 3.40    
6  WISE GUY Oct08 Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul06 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 5.00 ★    
7  GOLD NOTE Oct14 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Aug21 (hibdon n)COTTO L 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
8  MEDITATE (IRE) Nov04 Oct27 May21 May07 Feb26 (lara jorge)BARRERA J 109 6.00    
9  TWO MIKES N DOC G May14 Apr13 Feb26 Feb10   (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
 
DED-7   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL RAISE YOU Oct19 Oct05 Aug29 Aug02 Jul14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  PICKENS Nov05 Oct20 Jun05 Mar04 Feb19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.50    
2  PEPPER JACK Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 Aug12 Jul27 (g)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
3  MUCHO MARVIN Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
SCR  ALTERANA Nov03 Oct12 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 (charles keith)MELANCON G 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  DIXIE STREET Oct13 Sep18 Aug21 Aug02 Jul24 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 118 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  TRIPPER JOHN Oct07 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
7  CRUSADER EXPRESS Apr16 Mar16 Mar03 Feb20 Feb04 (landry)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
8  YES BAB Oct26 Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 May21 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  FAREWELL TIME Oct29 Oct05 Aug27 Aug10 Jun25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
DED-8   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY HOPPER Jun16 Jun04 May11 Mar05 Feb11 (ludwig b)MCMAHON J 117 12.00    
2  MISTY DAY Feb02 Jan07       (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  SCARLETT O'HARA Sep21 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 Jun04 (alberto antonio)STOKES J 117 8.00    
4  ROLL BABY Mar23 Feb25 Jan20     (asmussen steve)THORNTON G 118 5.00 ★    
5  MY SISTER ANNETTE Sep11 Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 May14 (schultz rob)FLORES S 117 5.00 ★    
6  ICY CHARLIE Oct19 Oct05 Feb05 Jan07   (thomas lee)BACA L 117 3.00 35% 1.80    
7  TRACK SMART Oct04 Sep04 Jul31 Jul11 May07 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
DED-9   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACHANCETOWIN Oct29 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 Jun22 (segura kearney)STOKES A 117 12.00    
2  TIDDLY Oct27 Sep20 Jun19 May23 Mar23 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
3  GILDED APPLE Oct29 Oct06 Aug20 Aug03 Jul13 (demouchet ri)TAYLOR BETHANY 117 10.00 8% 11.60    
4  FLEW BY YOU Oct28 Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  SABER QUEEN Oct28 Aug29 Aug01 Jun25 Jun07 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 ★    
6  AMERICAN REBEL Oct21 Aug11 Jul13 Jul01 May28 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
7  ENDURING PEACE Oct27 Oct06 Apr08 Mar18 Jan27 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.00 15% 5.70    
8  RACHIE RACH Oct29 Oct13 Sep20 Jul18 May09 (dixon tim)FLORES S 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.