Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY DANCER Sep28 Aug26 Jul28 Jul13 Jun01 (march willi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.00 18% 4.70    
SHE AINT NO JOKE Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep12 Sep06 (ceccat)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 5.00    
RICKI TORNADO Nov02 Sep27 Aug10 Jul26 Jun24 (montano wilfr)CEDILLO MAURO 111 4.00    
PRETTY LOUD Nov09 Oct25 Oct18 Oct05 Sep27 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
EL DUQUE Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 Aug02 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 10.00 13% 6.50    
DIAMOND MONEY Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Sep14 (romero osca)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 21% 3.90    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Aug23 Aug08 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00    
 
MNR-2   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT ATTACK Nov09 Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 Sep19 (silva pab)DIAZ I 121 1.60    
BIRDIE BLUE Oct23 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
SCR  EMPEROR'S SONG Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep15 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50 23% 3.30    
SHANNON'S GIRL Nov02 Sep13 Aug15 Jul13 Jun28 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.00    
SUGAR BRITCHES Oct23 Sep25 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (baird john )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
ALGODONAL Oct12 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
ORBIT MARS Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 Sep02 Jul22 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
 
MNR-3   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTH A PEEK Oct26 Oct05 Jun14     (delong )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 0.80 46% 1.20    
IAMTHEBESTTOO Oct18 Sep12 Aug08 Jul20 Jul10 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 8.00    
SHEZAGOLDGETTER Oct25 Oct10 Sep04 Jul13 Jun28 (wither)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
S S ENERGY Nov06 Oct26 Oct16 Oct05 Sep19 (cain crys)CORREA L 123 4.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  TRIPLE GALA Oct19 Sep29 Jun04 May12 Apr28 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
ULTRA DIVA Oct18 Sep12 Jul20 Jun28 May22 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
 
MNR-4   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A TART Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.60    
MIA PROMESSA         (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 1.80    
JIMA'S GOLD Nov02 Oct18 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 (norris stephani)CCAMAQUE M 123 15.00 7% 13.60    
DEWYALOVEMENOW Nov08 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 Aug24 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
ARCTIC TRIUMPH Sep25 Sep08 Aug22     (zircher robert)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
BEE WINGS Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 (noland a)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
MNR-5   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUGGESTED Nov02 Oct05 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
JAMMING CAMERON Oct30 Aug30 Jul20 Jun20 Jun08 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
SAMURAI SAINT Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug12 (esquivel je)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
SCR  SYNCLINES TRIP         (march willi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
DRIVE BY LAYOVER Oct15 Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Nov02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep01 Aug16 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
QUALIFLY Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Sep05 Jun27 (es)DA FAUSTO 120 1.20 48% 1.10    
BLACK CANDY Oct25 Oct09 Sep22 Sep13 Jul03 (tomczak)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-6   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER STICK STAIR Oct17 Oct03 Sep04 Aug25 Jul27 (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 4.00    
WILLYMAR Oct24 Oct16 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 8.00    
CONTENT (IRE) Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Jan15 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 27% 2.60    
SCR  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Nov01 Oct19 Oct06 Sep03 Aug24 (tomczak mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
LITTLE LUCERITO Nov06 Oct19 Oct11 Sep16 Sep05 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Sep13 (bernardini j)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SPICE IT UP Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 Jul05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-7   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWIZEE Oct19 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03   (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
TEMPLEMENT Oct24 Aug15 Jul05 Jun08 May07 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
VACATION SECRET Oct24 Oct08 Aug30 Aug14 Jul18 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 120 5.00    
YOGURT Oct04 Sep22 Aug22 Jul21 Jul05 (short d)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00    
MAKESCENTSTOUS Oct24 Sep16 Aug15 Jun25 Mar21 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.00 53% 0.90    
MY LOVELY GIRL Oct22 Oct02 Sep23 Aug06 Jul28 (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACENZA Nov02 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (ceccato sha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 13% 6.60    
SAN NICOLA PRANCER Oct23 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 Jan08 (mcfall robe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
BOUJEE KITTEN Oct31 Oct19 Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 (langley c)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
SWEET TOOTSIE LU Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 (jackson d)YARANGA Y 118 20.00    
SCR  OUT ONA LIMB Oct24 Oct05 Sep15 Sep06 Aug06 (hay r)PAULING RAKEEN 120 8.00    
TEQUILA SUNSET Oct31 Oct26 Sep16 Aug05   (va)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00    
VICIOUS VELMA Jun21 Jun05 May09 Mar17 Feb24 (inman )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION Oct23 Oct07 Sep10 Aug18 Jun30 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
WICKED VALENTINE Nov02 Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 Aug21 (mcdonald will)CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00    
10  VIVE EL MOMENTO Nov02 Sep28 Sep15 Aug29 Aug22 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 113 6.00 7% 13.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.