Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY CHARMER Sep28         (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
TRAPPE THE GOLD         (sanchez ji)HOLMES GAGE 113 6.00    
C J ALL THE WAY Sep24 May28 May04     (lovell michel)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.50    
KOSELIO         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
WHITE PIGEON Sep20 Aug30       (sanch)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 12.00    
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 Jun19 May22 (barnett c)COURT K 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
IND-2   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER MOON ROAD Sep01 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 May22 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.00 39% 1.60    
HEAVENLY TRIP Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Mar09 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 (haran jo)RODRIGUEZ C 119 6.00    
LITTLE MIGHTY MAN Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 (martinez a)PRESCOTT R 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
TAOS Oct02 Sep18 Sep13 Sep01 Aug12 (paquett)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
HIGHEST PRAISE Sep13 Sep01 Aug22 Aug04 Jul06 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 10.00    
 
IND-3   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND EXCHANGE Sep13 Sep02 Aug10 Jul18 Jul07 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
EXPECT THE BOSS Sep20 Aug17 Aug09 Jul23 Jul03 (miller )DE CRUZ 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
RAP STAR Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul06 (winebaugh cheryl)PRESCOTT R 118 5.00    
SCR  STRIKE UPA WISH Sep27 Aug22 Jun23     (raper ron)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
GUEST IN MY HEART Jun30 Jun01 May22 May06 Apr24 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50    
SCR  SWEET GINGER Sep30 Sep15 Aug09 May12 Apr20 (hancock d)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Sep20 Aug17 Aug06 Jul12 May27 (martinez a)PEREZ E 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
IND-4   10/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPSY ROSE LEE Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
MAPLELINE Sep14 Sep06 Aug05 Jun22 Jun01 (burnett a)BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LAYLA'S SONG Sep22 Aug21 Jul12 Jun25 Jun12 (leonard george )HOLMES GAGE 113 8.00    
COUNTRY JEWEL Sep10         (medina robert)PARKER L 120 10.00    
TWISTED GARTER Sep06 Aug23 Jul18 Jun27   (holden j)RIVERA BRYAN 110 15.00    
CAJUN KID         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
AKEDAH Sep12 May04 Apr20 Mar10   (egbert j)RODRIGUEZ C 120 30.00    
INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Aug25 Aug11       (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
SCR  SHRIMPIE Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun17 May20 (luce ni)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
10  SAKONNA Aug24 Jul04 May30     (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 16% 5.50    
 
IND-5   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMOJI PRINCESS Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 Jul10 (schlenk k)PRESCOTT R 118 12.00    
HASHTAG WINNER Sep25 Aug06 Jul07 Jun22 Mar20 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00    
TWO CARROT RANSOM Sep07 Jul13 Jun20     (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
MEXIA Sep23 Aug20 Jul22 Jun07 May28 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  ROYA Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 Aug06   (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00    
JUDY'S MARKET Sep28 Sep12 Aug26 Jun30 Jun01 (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
HARLANS PRINCESS Aug16 Jun20       (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
SHE WANTS MORE Aug04 May20 Mar04     (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 122 4.00    
 
IND-6   10/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SHORE Sep09 Aug22 Jul12 Jun29 Jun11 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
BIA BOLT RUNNER Feb17         (gonzalez lil)RAMOS D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
REVELING Sep09 Aug25 Jun24 Jun17   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Sep05 Aug05 Apr30 Mar11   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
MS MERRABEL Sep16 Sep02 Aug17 Aug05 Jul19 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00    
SCR  TIZ PENNEY Sep09 Aug22 Jul21 Jun24 May12 (pasley i)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00    
SCR  RE ANTE Sep21 Sep09 Aug25 Jun30 Jun07 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 115 15.00 51% 1.00    
CYCOLOGIST Sep15 Aug22 Aug10 Jun29 May27 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 6% 16.40    
SPLIT DECISION Aug31 Jul07 Jun09 May18 Mar11 (ewing a)HOLMES GAGE 111 8.00    
10  PRINCESS D'ORO Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Jan15   (greenhill jeff)PARKER L 122 12.00    
11  INVESTMENT INCOME Sep03 Jul28 Jun04 Mar11   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
12  VERKLEMPT Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 Jan23 Jan07 (holden j)MORALES JOSHUA 118 30.00    
SCR  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER Sep22 Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 Jun30 (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
SCR  READY AT MIDNIGHT Aug17 Jun25 Jun10 May13 Mar25 (young r)PEREZ E 122 12.00    
 
IND-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS BLOSSOM Sep21 Aug30 Aug09     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE SKIES Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Jul12   (patrick gary)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
ADDICTED TO LOVE Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 Jul12   (roggenkam)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00    
CHIMES Aug09 Jun22       (lauer michael)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
B FLAT OUT Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 May30   (phillips terry)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
CASTLE MAGIC         (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 3.50 9% 10.50    
FLAT OUT CALI         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
CRICKENBERGER         (maker j)PARKER L 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
IND-8   10/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPSTER Sep15 Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 Jun19 (garcia genaro)HOLMES GAGE 111 15.00    
MATTHEWSTHIRTYFOUR Sep20 Aug19 Jun08 Mar10 Feb12 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
BIG BLUE Sep23 Aug27 Jun02 May12 Mar20 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
NOMADIC FIGHTER Sep07 Aug23 Aug15 Jul29 Jul10 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 10.00 9% 10.40    
GROOM LAKE Sep28 Aug27 Jun22 Feb20 Jan29 (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
DRIVEN ONE Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 Jun01 May07 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00    
KING OF STING Sep22 Sep06 Jul02 Jun18 May19 (sharp joe)PARKER L 118 8.00    
MOON DOG Sep18 Aug17 Jul19 Jun19 May30 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Sep16 Apr30 Feb10 Jan21   (casse nor)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00    
10  KILLER BEE Sep14 Aug31 Jul21 Jun21 May31 (wisner j)MOJICA O 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
11  SKYLINE Sep23 Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Jun24 (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00    
12  ASCENDING MOON Sep24 Aug27 Jul21 Jun23 May07 (davis christo)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
SCR  ROUNDER Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 Jul07 Jun07 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
SCR  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Sep13 Jun24 Jun18 Jun03 May27 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.