Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRWAY LANE Aug30 Jul05       (watkins m)OUZTS W 121 4.00 ★    
2  DEVILISH TAIL Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun01 (esquivel jesus)RIVERA BRYAN 116 3.00 ★    
3  CALL WEST Aug11 Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 May31 (nocero carmi)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
4  CUT GLASS Aug23 Aug11 Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  COLOMBIANO Aug30 Aug11 Jul26 Jul08 Jun08 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-2   09/14/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CULLUM ROAD Aug22 Jul09 May21 Apr23 Mar26 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  CHANTRY FLATS Jul17 Jun18 Mar19     (newton troy)FELIX E 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  PERFECT PAINTING Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jun17 May21 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 8.00    
4  ARTEMUS EAGLE Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 May20   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 116 10.00 ★    
5  KANTPAYTHETOLL Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 May21 May12 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 3.50 7% 14.20    
6  CARMEL BAY Aug24 Jun29 Jun17 May13 Apr29 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 121 6.00    
7  BARRISTER TOM Sep01 Jun19 Jun05 Feb26   (ewing michael)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTED Aug22 Jul22 Jul13 May19   (cannon steve)OUZTS W 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  SUBDUED Sep07 Aug18 Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 ★    
3  BRODYTHEOXMAN Aug22 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jun24 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  ESTILO VARONIL Aug05 Jul06 Jun11 May07 Apr03 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50 ★    
5  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Aug22 Jul22 Jun17 May10 Mar26 (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON RUNNER Aug24 Jul26 Jun26 Mar10 Feb11 (castillo richa)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 ★    
2  FABIOLA PRINCESS Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 Jun10 (coyle d)OUZTS W 123 3.00 ★    
3  HAIL TO HELEN Aug31 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 Apr28 (johnston reb)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
4  BLUE GRASS ANNA Aug25         (fletcher kev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
5  DREAM MUSIC Sep07 Aug04 Jul28 Jul06 Jun21 (chapman k)MCKEE J 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  MYSTIC MISS Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jul08 Jun08 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 8.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   09/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Aug10 Jul15       (chapman k)MCKEE J 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
1A  OCEAN HONEY Aug04 Jul18       (chapman k)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
2  INQUIETA Aug10 Jul31       (gutierrez faustio)FELIX E 122 4.00 ★    
3  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Sep07 Aug18 Jul04 Jun23 Apr29 (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 6.00    
4  SOUTHERN MESA         (royal madelyn)BRACHO A 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  LEAD PERFORMER         (davis christoph)MOJICA JR 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  WICKED FROST Aug10         (greenhill je)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
7  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Aug23 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04   (reece claire)AYALA ISAIAS 122 20.00    
SCR  QIA         (waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
9  TIA FRIDA Sep07 Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 (fernandez)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIRWAR Aug11 Jul29 Jul06 Jun24 Jun02 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  D'MONEY HONEY Aug23 Aug11 Jul29 Jul05 Jun21 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Aug23 Jul29 Jun21 Jun02 May11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  ARMY SCOUT Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 Jul05 Jun21 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 123 3.00 ★    
5  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 May25 May11 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 121 4.00 ★    
6  ORB OF THE BORO Aug24 Aug12 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
 
BTP-7   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEERLESS COURT Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 Jun30 May18 (hiles a)MCKEE J 117 4.50 ★    
2  FALCONS FURY Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 May20 Apr19 (wilson j)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 ★    
3  FLAT FUN Aug22 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 May26 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  RAISON KARTER Sep05 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jul05 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  GRAN ROJO Aug16 Jul21 Jun28 May25 May12 (jordan rick)FELIX E 123 12.00    
6  COME SEE ABOUT IT Aug18 Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  KENTUCKY COOL Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 (fernandez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00    
 
BTP-8   09/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON MISS Jul29 Jul05 May18 Apr29   (jennings joe)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 30.00    
2  TRUST FUND BABY Sep07         (mickelson judy)BUSH V 125 20.00 9% 10.40    
3  OUR LADY NELSON Aug30         (fletcher kev)HALDAR J 122 12.00    
4  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Aug27 Jul27 Jun30 May21   (castillo richa)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  VERY WEALTHY Aug29 Aug07 Jul08 May20 Apr22 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
6  MAPLELINE Sep06 Aug05 Jun22 Jun01 Mar19 (burnett armst)BRACHO A 125 20.00    
7  SUPER WEST Aug24 Aug06       (green troy)OUZTS W 122 15.00    
8  KENTE KLARKE         (platt noah)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00 7% 13.90    
9  BIKINI Aug10 Jul09 Jun09     (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50    
10  SWAGGY G         (allen-canch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 20.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  OLIVIA'S JOY Aug17 Jul03 May21     (gilliam b)OUZTS W 125 10.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Aug14 Jul17 Jun12 May08 Apr17 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.