Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(9/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(9/6/7/4)-(6/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (9/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/7/4)-(9/6/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/7/4)-(9/6/7/4/2)-(9/6/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/7/4)-(6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7/4)-(6/7/2)-(8/2/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(8/2/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(8/2/10/9)-(1/7/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/2/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/9)-(8/2/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/9)-(8/2/10/9)-(8/2/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/10/9)-(1/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/9)-(1/7/4/9)-(11/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/9)-(1/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/9)-(1/7/4/9)-(1/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/9)-(11/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/9)-(11/2/8)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (11/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/2/8)-(11/2/8/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/2/8)-(11/2/8/12)-(11/2/8/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/2/8)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/2/8)-(2/3)-(12/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(12/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(12/9/1)-(7/8/1/9/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (12/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/9/1)-(12/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/9/1)-(12/9/1)-(12/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/9/1)-(7/8/1/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/8/1/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/9/2)-(7/8/1/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/9/2)-(7/8/1/9/2)-(7/8/1/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROSPERO (IRE) Aug08 Jul06 Sep22     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
2  JUST NATE Jul11 May31 Jan24 Nov01   (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of AVA PIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CARC BROTHERS         (atras rob)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of ENRAGE by ALGORITHMS)
4  DENIZEN Sep26 Jul12 Jun07 May18   (sharp joe)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of PROUD REUNION by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  TRAITOUR Sep12 Aug12 Jul26 Jun08 Apr04 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  SUSPICIOUSLY NAMED Oct23 Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 Jul26 (savoie she)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of LITTLE MARYRUTH by BADGE OF SILVER)
7  WESTERN RUN (IRE) Nov01 Aug28 Jul13 May26 Apr19 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
 
FG-2   12/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SYVESTAR Sep08 Jul01 May27 Mar01 Jan24 (wilson shane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
2  PURRRFECT RHYTHM Nov06 Sep23 Aug20 Jul28 Jul04 (gibson jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 6.00 ★    
3  TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Nov14 Sep15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul04 (govea cesar)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
4  SPINNING ACES Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 May23 Apr12 (dandridge co)MURRAY M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Oct25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun20 May16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 20.00    
6  CREEKSIDE Aug11 Jun07 Dec19 Nov15 Oct19 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
7  CITY OF LOVE Nov25 Sep10 Jul29 Jun23 May25 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOU GOOD Aug22 Aug09 Jul03 May23 Apr05 (david b)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00    
9  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 Jun06 May01 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
FG-3   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUS MAKES CENTS Aug26 Jul14 May20 Mar19 Feb22 (duhon joseph)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
2  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Aug30 Jul05 May15 Mar16 Feb01 (munoz yovani)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIAM'S MIST Oct15 Aug07 Jul12 Jun13 May14 (bourgeois k)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50    
4  COUNTRY BELLE Sep23 Aug30 Jun28 May03 Mar23 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SIENNA BREEZE Oct30 Aug29 Aug15 Jul04 Jun07 (rosier ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
6  MO FOR US Oct16 Sep02 Apr19 Mar29 Jan30 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
7  MIKA ELLA PIKA Aug30 Jul17 Jun28 May30 May07 (ney john)MURRAY M 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
 
FG-4   12/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREASEPAINTGROUCHO Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21   (rosin w)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
2  RESTORE (FR) May08 Mar19 Feb13 Dec19 Oct19 (stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLLY CORBIN by WAR FRONT)
3  FIRST SAMARITAN Oct29 Aug16 Jul17 Apr05 Mar23 (robinsjr )HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LAINE'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  JUS SURPRISE ME Jan18         (cohn g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
SCR  URBAN RULER Oct12 Sep07 Jul03 May26   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of GOODYEARFORROSES by AZAMOUR)
6  PRINCE BEN Sep15 Aug31       (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SIERRA VISTA by ATRAF)
7  FLAWLESS BEAST Apr19         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of JEANNIE S by SKY MESA)
8  VALIANT HUMOR Nov08 Oct22 Sep21 Aug23 Jul06 (radosevich )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
9  FILM AT ELEVEN Oct06 Sep11 Aug24 Apr24 Mar06 (courville ricky)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of THIS JUST IN by WAR FRONT)
10  BE REAL Nov12 May11       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CURLIN out of ISLAND SAINT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FG-5   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. NIKO Oct24 Sep17 Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  TEXAS TOWN Sep08 Sep21 Aug05 Feb11 Dec08 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
3  JOSAN Oct31 Sep01 Aug09 Jul03 Jun06 (morrell cynthia)REA HUNTER 113 15.00    
4  GUILE Mar18 Feb28 Jan17 Dec19 Nov22 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  CHECK ME OUT Aug28 Jul18 Jun06 May07 Apr23 (cuccia j)VIVES SOFIA 118 6.00    
6  RED MOSCATO Oct30 Oct23 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 (lopez elias)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00    
7  UPTURNED BRIM Aug14 Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 May21 (degeyter )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
8  MY LIAM Nov08 Oct24 Sep06 Aug22 Aug16 (ramirez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
9  ASHAAB Oct22 Sep01 Aug14 Mar15 Jan31 (hellum lanc)LEDET THEODRICK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   12/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BATTLE DRUM (FR) Sep19 Aug27 Jul26 Jun27 May18 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
2  MARY'S BOY BOLT Oct29 Oct04 Sep04 Aug09 Jul19 (hartman c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 30% 2.40    
3  ARIES HONOR Sep16 Jul30 Jul03 Jun06 May25 (zeringue w)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
SCR  BOY BOY Nov20 Apr23 Nov08 Oct12 Sep07 (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
5  HARD SCHOLAR Oct27 Sep10 Aug20 Jul14 May15 (catalano m)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
SCR  HAMMER OF JUSTICE Nov16         (russell brit)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00    
7  C MAC DA BOSS Oct25 Sep09 May17 Apr19 Mar13 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
8  BOLT FROM ABOVE Oct04 Aug15 Jun06 Mar14 Dec21 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  MAKI MONARCHY Sep26 Sep07 Aug08 Jul16 Jun15 (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
10  JACK RABBIT Nov04 Sep30 Aug24 Jul03 Apr29 (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00    
11  SHARP STRIKE Nov04 Aug25 Jun26 May07 Mar12 (simpson da)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 38% 1.60    
12  DATE THE PRINCE Sep09 Jul11 Apr04 Feb15 Jan30 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  CASH APP MIKE Nov20 Nov02 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (simonovich da)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
14  NO TAKE BACKS Nov09 Oct23 Oct07 Mar02   (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
 
FG-7   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL SHIPMAN Oct31 Oct03 Sep15 Aug16   (pomier chase)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 12.00    
2  PAVING Aug23         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 117 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  SPECIAL SAUCE Oct23 Sep28       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00 30% 2.40    
4  UNFAITHFUL ROSE Oct22 Sep12 Aug16     (west w)MCMAHON J 117 5.00    
5  LUV YOUR NEIGHBOR Oct12 Sep10       (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
6  COLLECTIVE BEAUTY Sep07 Aug28 Aug05     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 2.50 ★    
 
FG-8   12/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN MY HEAD Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 Sep10 Jul30 (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by BLOFELD out of TILAKA by CAL NATION)
SCR  PREPPED Oct26         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KOALA QUEEN by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  LEONARDO Oct08         (atras rob)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
  (by SMOKE GLACKEN out of AMADAY by DAYJUR)
SCR  MATCHING FUNDS         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by PHONE TRICK out of IOYA by NASKRA)
SCR  ACES HONOR Oct29 Sep17       (west w)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of TOO COOL TO DANCE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  STRONG Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 Jun20 May23 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
  (by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY out of SWEET GOLD by GILDED TIME)
7  WHATEVER Oct29 Oct08 Sep10     (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  SHUGGY Oct26         (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ZELLDA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  FAKE SMART Oct24         (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPINNING WHEEL by GREGGIE'S WHEEL)
10  RIDE OR FLY         (walsh bre)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SELECTIVE by MI SELECTO)
11  PRINCETON Sep06         (schultz li)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of HOLIDAY'S JEWEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  CARSON STREET Nov07 Sep28 Sep04     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
FG-9   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELL THE BUFFALO Oct30 Jun20 Jun02 Apr05 Mar09 (duhon paul)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
2  ILLY SIMZ Aug03 Jul13 Mar09 Feb14 Feb01 (simonovich da)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPICY NOODLES Jun14 Mar28 Mar14 Feb17   (broussard )ALBERT S 122 20.00    
4  MADAME MARKIEVICZ Oct13 Sep10 Jul25 Oct07 Sep21 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
5  D' ARGONAUT Oct30 Oct19 Oct09 Aug30 Jul20 (rodriguez ed)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50    
6  MAIZ'N MONEY Oct10 Aug25 Jul30 Jun05   (broussard jervon)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
7  AMORA Aug18         (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
8  DIAMOND TIARA         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
9  MS. BRANDI SHAW         (broussard je)MURRAY M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOM'S HANDS Jul11         (faul jason)RIQUELME J 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.