Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/2/6/7)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(4/7/2)-(8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(8/1)-(8/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(8/6/5)-(5/4/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/5)-(5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5)-(5/4/8/7)-(2/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/7)-(2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/7)-(2/9/6)-(8/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/6)-(2/3/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/9/6)-(2/3/9/6)-(2/3/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/9/6)-(8/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (8/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/10)-(8/1/3/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/10)-(8/1/3/9/10)-(8/1/3/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   09/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS READY Jul12 May03       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
SWEET LITTLE LILA (IRE) Aug08         (russell britt)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
  (by PALACE PIER out of SASSY LITTLE LILA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
ALIBI         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FOOLS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
OSCAR BOUND Aug07         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of SOUL OF HOLLYWOOD by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
BRAMBLE BLAST Aug17 Jul27       (dini mike)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MEMORIZED Aug10         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ZIGGY'S BOY out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
GERMANTOWN Aug02         (pletcher)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BEACH DIVA by MALIBU MOON)
 
BAQ-2   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIT N GLITTER         (hennig m)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
ROUGE GRANDEUR         (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 27% 2.70    
BIG HELEONORA Jul31         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  ZUBY         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00    
OP OVERLORD Aug07         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
MAPPY Aug21 Aug08 Jul05     (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PEACE OF GOLD Aug06 Jul19       (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STYLISH GEM Aug13 Jul05       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC RETURN Jul10 Jun07 May09 Apr25 Mar22 (kantarma)SANTANA JR 121 8.00    
SOHANA May23 Apr05 Jul17 Jun14 May10 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Jun26 May16 Apr18 Mar23 Jan24 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
COLLECT THE DATA Jul24 Jan18 Dec17 Oct22   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 34% 2.00    
JACKSON'S DIXIE Jun27 Jun06 May23 May02 Apr19 (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
SCR  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Aug01 Jul23 Jul13 Jun27 May15 (kantarm)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 6.00    
ARMY GAL Jul11 Jun06 Apr27 Mar08 Mar02 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-4   09/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NESHIKA Jun29         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KISS IS A KISS by BROKEN VOW)
1A  MAKEALITTLELOVE         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of YOUMAKEMEBLUSH by VIOLENCE)
MIAMI STYLE Aug09 Jul11 May22     (orseno f)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of LEXINGTON PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
FLYING PHOEBE Aug06         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of PRINCESS PHOEBE by DEFER)
MY BOSTON BEAUTY Aug09 Jul17       (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of SQUIBNOCKET by VERRAZANO)
CARA'S DREAMCHASER Aug20 Jul31       (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
CONSIDERATE CITY         (ferraro james)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CONSIDERATE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  MIA SOPHIA Aug13 Jul24       (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
MY DEVINE ONE Aug13 Jul31       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of KATHRYN THE WISE by UNCLE MO)
HANNA'S HIDEAWAY Aug09         (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of GOODBYE BROCKLEY by COSMONAUT)
 
BAQ-5   09/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOKEN BLUNTLY Aug16 Jun12 Dec29 Nov07 Oct17 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
TYPHOON FURY Aug17 Jun27 May02 Oct18 Sep27 (charlerie grego)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
SCR  SIDE EYE Jul26 Jun27 May16 Aug31 Aug01 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00    
SCREAMING UNCLE Jun28 Jun14 May16 Apr23 Apr05 (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00    
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 May16 Apr17 (brown r)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
JAVA BUZZ Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 May02 Apr11 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  TOOLPUSHER Aug03 Jul23 May16 Apr25 Nov03 (dunham bernard )RUIZ ELISEO 123 20.00    
DEVIL IN DISGUISE Jul10 Apr17 May19 Mar31   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  STORM THE STREETS Jul12 Jun01 Apr13 Mar13 Feb20 (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  RANGER BATTALION Aug14 Jul12 May08 Mar26 Feb08 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60    
SCR  TIZMARKUS Aug14 Jul18 Jun21 May29 Apr27 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 6.00    
SCR  TRUST ISSUES Aug17 Jul23 Jun12 May11 Apr16 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCALA DREAM Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 Apr26 Apr06 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
CONCORDE SPIRIT Aug13 Jul22 Jun29 May18 May08 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
GLINT Aug09 Jul17 Jun19 May08 Apr13 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Jul05 May31 May13 Apr12 Mar16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
AMUNDSON Aug20 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Apr26 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug20 Jul05 Jun08 May09 Apr13 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
THRILL OF IT Jun29 May09 Mar12 Feb23 Jan11 (terranova )RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAKESCHARGESMILING Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Mar19 Jan15 (david ca)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 18% 4.60    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jul17 Jun29 Jun13 Apr17 Mar21 (romero )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALU Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 Jan17 Jan02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.00    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug30 Apr05 Mar16 Jan19 Dec27 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.00    
GALLANT GRETA Aug23 Jun22 Apr24 Feb28 Jan12 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
RED BURGUNDY Aug06 May17 Dec15 Nov17 Oct20 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 3.50    
TOUR JETE Aug29 Jun20 May15 Nov15 Oct26 (morey e)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00    
SCR  LATEST EDITION Aug06 Jul18 Jun20 Feb07 Jan10 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00    
BERNT AGAIN Aug22 Aug06 Jul11 Jun20 May15 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SNOWY EVENING Aug24 Aug06 Jun20 Jun04 Nov15 (donk david)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
CAN'T FOOL ME Aug03 Jul19 Jun04 Nov07 Sep26 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Aug15 Jun22 May02 Jul21 Jun23 (lee joseph)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 6% 16.70    
10  NORTH END LADY Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 Apr13 Mar22 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGHT TO SEE Apr23 Feb15 Dec29 Dec13 Nov24 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
BABY SASSICAIA Aug15 Jun06 Apr18 Nov10 Sep22 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
FORTUNA MIA Aug17 Aug01 Jun08 Apr27 Mar28 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 7% 14.10    
LOOKS FIRST Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 (samsundar rosh)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
MOON CACHE Aug17 Jul12 May16 Apr19 Mar22 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S COOL Jul31 Jul11 May24 Apr18 Apr03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00    
SCR  BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jul27 Mar29 Feb27 Jan31 Dec29 (smullen heath)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
CARARRA Jun22 May26 Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
BEIRA Jul23 Jun21 May02 Apr11 Mar09 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
10  ADRIAN Aug01 Jul06 Jun19 May17 Apr12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  PURLOIN Jun19 Jun05 Apr23 Jan23 Jun06 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.