Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/9)-(4/6/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/9)-(4/6/5/3/9)-(4/6/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/5/9)-(3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/9)-(3/5/7)-(2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(2/7/5)-(4/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/5/7)-(3/2/12/7/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(3/2/12/7/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(3/2/12/7/11)-(5/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/12/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/12/7/11)-(3/2/12/7/9/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (3/2/12/7/11)-(3/2/12/7/9/11)-(3/2/12/7/9/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (3/2/12/7/11)-(5/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/12/7/11)-(5/7/6/4)-(4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(4/2/6)-(3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/4/5)-(6/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-9   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUFFIN Jun30 Jun06 Nov14 Oct10 Aug30 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
2  STAGE NAME Jun06 Oct26 Sep10 Aug10 Jul16 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 117 12.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  BOOTS MALONE Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr03 Mar18 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jul18 Jun06 May14 Nov25 Oct26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of VICTORIA'S ON FIRE by LANGFUHR)
5  DIAMOND DUST Jul28 Jul07 Jun11 May21 Oct26 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of RADIANT SKY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
6  SILENT RULE Jun06 May08 Apr07 Mar17 Feb08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  SCRIMPER Jun30 Jun06 May14 Mar31 Nov05 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
8  EXCITEMENT Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May07 Jan09 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
9  IT'S OFFICIAL Jun16 Jun04 May14 Apr07 Mar03 (juarez lorenz)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
 
TDN-2   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKSTATION Jul18 Jul03       (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of JUMPIN JETT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  MOONLIGHTER Jul18 Jul03       (gorham )PILARES P 118 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DRILLIT by DRILL)
3  NO MORE CENTS Jul18         (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of KAJAWA by CROSS TRAFFIC)
4  MARK MY WORDS Jul18 Jul03       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
  (by APTITUDE out of BALL GOWN by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  CROWN THE BUCKEYE Jul18         (maker m)DE CRUZ 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by YAUPON out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  GUNNER GLORY Aug05         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of FANCY FEELIN by JIMMY CREED)
7  WATER INTO WINE Jun07         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
 
TDN-3   08/14/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILENT RULE Jun06 May08 Apr07 Mar17 Feb08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 1.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  GENEROUS LOVER Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 May03 Oct26 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  SONNET Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Oct28 Sep26 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  KETTLE KISS Aug07 Jul16 Jun16 Jan23 Jan07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
5  LIONISTIC Jul18 Jun09 May20 Oct26 Sep23 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RACE LADY by BERNARDINI)
6  HERE'S THE SPIDER Jul31 Jul18 Jul06 Jun11 May23 (fernandez edwar)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
7  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jun21 Jun09 May20 Aug27 Aug10 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
TDN-4   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS ELECKTRA Jul18 Jun17       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FORCE OF PASSION by LIMEHOUSE)
2  STRIKING LADY Aug06 Jul17 Jun17     (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
3  NAVA'S GOLD Jul03         (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  KONTIKI Jul18 May26 Apr23     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 1.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
5  DYNAMIC VISION Jul18 Jun25       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DYNAFORMER out of INSIGHT TO HOPE by COPELAN)
SCR  BLUE TAIL FLY Jul18 Jul03       (cowans d)AVILES YAN 118 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VERTRAZZO by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  DUNN'S RIVER Jul17 Jun17       (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
TDN-5   08/14/2025 6600ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE NOMORE Jul14 Jun23 Dec17 Oct23 Oct03 (tooley jennife)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
2  FAIR AND SQUARE Jul02 Jun11 May16 Oct26 Sep25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
3  VILLIAN Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May03 Dec17 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 4.50 32% 2.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
4  I WANNA WIN Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of HARLAN CAT by HARLAN)
5  FULL SPECTRUM Jul03 Jun16 May12 Apr22 Oct26 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  PRIVATE MOMENT Jul14 Jun23 May26 Nov21 Nov06 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of SISTER DESIREE by VISION AND VERSE)
7  GENERAL MATHIS Jul14 Jul01 Jan04 Dec26 Nov21 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 12.00 8% 11.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of DYNATAP by TAPIT)
8  TANTRUM Jul02 Jun06 May05 Nov25 Oct26 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
9  SILENCE Jul15 Jun06 May26 May03 Mar13 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
10  SWING STATE Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May17 Apr28 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOUTH BAY COVE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
11  EKATI'S WAY Jul15 Jun16 May17 Oct26 Oct03 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
12  SUPERWOLF Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr03 Mar18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
TDN-6   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIP HIP HOORAY Jun06 May14 Apr05 Oct26 Oct08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  GEAUX YOSHKA Aug03 Jun30 Jun04 May17 Feb05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
3  BIG PRANKSTER Oct18 Sep01 Aug21 Jun28 May25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
4  GUNNER GABRIEL Jun30 Jun03 Jun22 Jun07 May10 (dacosta)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORTISSIMO Jun21 Jun06 May09 Oct26 Sep24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  CHOCTAW ZIP Jun30 May27 Apr26 Mar30 Mar08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIMPLY VALID Jun30 Jun07 May13 Mar13 Dec28 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SHADOWY Jun21 Jun06 May03 Apr12 Jun22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEWED Jul15 Jun21 May29 Aug07   (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
2  DEVOUTLY Jul07         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 10% 8.60    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LOVEYOU EVERYBODY by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  VESPER MARTINI Jun21 May12       (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
4  REASONS WE DRINK Jul07 Jun21       (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May22 Feb27 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
6  MAMMA IN THE CLOUD Jul07         (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 5.00 6% 17.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAMMA WHITE SOCKS by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  TAMPA TEACHER Jul19 Jun29       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
 
TDN-8   08/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS Jul17 Jun30 Jun17 Jul30 Jul08 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
2  DULCE VICTORIA Jun17 Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 Aug26 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 12.00    
3  MISS SHADY Jul07 May21 Apr11 Apr02 Mar12 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  TRITONE GAL Jul17 Jun09 May21 Jun03 May09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
5  THEODOROPOULOS Jul17 Jun30 May28 May13 May05 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIGHT TRAPPE May29 May19 Apr22 Apr12 Mar30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-9   08/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY'S EMPIRE Jul30 Jul10 Jun26 Mar25 Mar04 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RADIO SILENT Jul30 May20 Apr29 Apr03 Mar24 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
3  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May26 Sep03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  MOR CRAFTY Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 May27 Apr29 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
5  STRIKE ONE Jul16 Jun26 Jan27 Dec19 Aug28 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
6  COASTLAND Jul19 Jun06 May16 May03 Aug10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  VENTURE ON Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun07 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.