Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(5/3/8/6)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/6)-(4/1/3)-(3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/6/2)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/3/6)-(5/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/3/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/6/3)-(6/3/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/9)-(6/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/9)-(6/3/8/9)-(6/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST U TURN Feb21 Feb09 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
LUPO'S LEGACY Oct22 Dec07 Nov18 Nov03 Aug20 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
HEART OF AN ANGEL Aug05 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May17 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TONIGHT Jul05 Jun22 Feb14 Jan24 Dec27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 3.00    
GUNNER'S GOLD Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May22 Nov25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 10.00    
GOLDEN AL Jul17 Jul02 May13 Jan02 Dec20 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 4.50    
QUARANTINO Jul17 Nov30 Nov09 Oct06 Sep25 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
THISISRIDICULOUS Jul02 Jun11 May22 Apr24 Apr01 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MAN Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May22 Apr12 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
TAKE DICTATION Jul14 Aug28 Aug10     (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
EILEEN'S DESPERADO Jun25         (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  LUCKY CAT Jun01 Aug23 Jul25     (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
CITIZEN Jul29 Jun20 May24 Apr25 Apr12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
MARAVICH May13 Apr29 Apr13 Dec21 Oct14 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRINSIPITO Jul18 Jun01 May03 Apr13 Aug17 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
UNION SWAG Jun25 May20 Apr24 Nov25   (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
TDN-3   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPTER AND VERSE Jun21 Apr04 Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.80 29% 2.50    
FREEDOM PRINCESS Jul16 Jul07 May05 Mar31 Mar17 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50    
TO MUCH STYLE Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May27 Apr18 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLEW CROWN May05 Feb12 Jan12 Sep09 Aug14 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.00 35% 1.80    
DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 May22 Mar26 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 3.50    
KATE WINS Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 Mar18 Mar01 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 115 10.00    
 
TDN-4   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE STEP Jun17 May20 May03 Oct19 Oct02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Jun10 May21 Apr07 Mar22 Mar06 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHESS NOT CHECKERS Jul15 Jun26 May21 Apr29 Apr03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 Apr11 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
NOT TODAY Jun21 Sep12 Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 (ray kevi)FERNANDEZ R 121 6.00    
DROPPING LEMONS Jul30 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May17 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
TAKING CHARGE DESI Jul15 Jun23 Apr29 Mar22 Feb23 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   08/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Apr02 Jan27 Dec27 Dec10 Oct26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
SWAYBACK MOBIL Jul14 Jun21 May28 May07 Mar18 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
MAMAS HOME COOKING Jul14 Jun12 May20 Dec09 Nov21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
GUESS AGAIN Aug01 Jul17 Jul01 May28 May16 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00    
TEMPERED DREAM Jul14 Jun21 May28 May07 Oct26 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50    
SMOOCHER Jun17 May28 Mar04 Dec23 Nov07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   08/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MARRO Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr21 Apr02 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
GILLIGAN Jun10 May26 Apr29 Mar17 Feb27 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
DON'T CROSS JACK Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr08 Oct16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
BREEZY MONEY Jan09 Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
MONTEREY PENINSULA Jul17 Jun12 May13 Apr29 Mar31 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 26% 2.90    
STAR WEAVER Jul09 Jun30 Jun11 May21 Apr26 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICARO Jul10 Jun23 Jun10 May20 Oct30 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 115 6.00    
KNICKS GLORY Jun30 May08 Mar02 Jan25 Dec29 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 117 1.60    
BOHEMIAN STYLE Jul09 Jun21 Jun11 May19 May04 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 15.00 6% 16.00    
COOL COUPLE Jun23 May13 Apr22 Apr05 Mar19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 61% 0.60    
CALL IT A NIGHT Jul10 Jun23 Mar24 Mar05 Feb08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
STREETS OF WAR May03 Apr05 Mar22 Mar14 Feb28 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 5.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-8   08/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHALFANI May26 Apr29 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (skelton t)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
K P SILVER BULLET Jun30 Jan27 Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
OUTKISSED Jun16 Jun04 Mar01 Jan28 Jan02 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
FIRST CITIZEN Jul09 May26 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 15.00    
MSHINDI Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 May26 May03 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 3.50    
PRACTICAL MAN Jun30 Jun10 Oct02 Sep16 Aug27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 54% 0.90    
SAHM TEQUILA Jun09 May20 Apr29 Mar15 Feb14 (lopez jr)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jun16 May20 Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
C J ALL THE WAY May26 Apr24 Mar17 Jan29 Jan09 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.