Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/1/3)-(4/2/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/1/3)-(4/2/6/1/3)-(4/2/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/6/1/3)-(7/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/1/3)-(7/1/4)-(1/6/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-2   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(1/6/4)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(2/1/5)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/3)-(7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(7/5)-(4/5/1/8/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(4/5/1/8/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(4/5/1/8/7)-(7/2/4/3/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/5/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8/7)-(4/5/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8/7)-(4/5/1/8/7)-(4/5/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8/7)-(7/2/4/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/2/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL Jun30 Jun16 May27 May05 Apr11 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  IAN GLASS Jul02 May29 May08 Apr22 Apr13 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug20 May23 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET AS SIN Jul02 Jun07 May17 May06 Apr06 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
5  MORE LOVE Jun12 Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00    
6  MIGHTY LES Jun26 Jan16 Nov11 Oct30 Aug19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 8% 11.40    
7  SO DIALED IN Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
8  WILLTORUN Jul02 May17 Apr12 Feb24 Jan30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
9  AYE AYE SIR Jul10 Jul02 Jun18 Apr30 Nov11 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   08/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIT CHECK Jun24 Jun07 May19 Apr30 Dec10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul14 Jun02 May12 Sep16 Jul22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 2.50    
3  RED SEVEN Jun23 May29 Apr23 Jan10 Dec06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00    
4  WINDY VALLEY Jul14 Jun18 May19 May06 Apr12 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OH EYE SEE Jul09 Jun24 Mar12 Feb22 Dec07 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
6  ROLLIN FREEDOM Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 Oct08 Sep23 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
7  INSTIGATION Jun25 Jun07 May19 Aug07 Jul22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-3   08/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE NEST Jun30 May03 Mar19 Jan23 Dec05 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.80 57% 0.70    
2  VENTURE ON Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun07 May13 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
3  HEY EUGENE Jun30 May28 May07 Apr19 Mar23 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
4  CORNER OFFICE Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 Dec18 Nov26 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUTINY Jun30 Jun16 May21 May12 Apr30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
6  THAT'S THE WAY Mar19 Feb26 Dec18 Nov25 Sep26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
TDN-4   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SGT YORK Jul07 Jun16 May29 May12 Oct02 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  THIS TIME Jul07 Jun06 May03 Apr08 Sep11 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  KICKSTART Jun16 May29 May12 Apr22 Feb27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00    
4  MOR STORMY Jul07 Jun24 May17 Apr30 Mar30 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 117 2.50    
5  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Jun21 Jun06 May12 Apr22 Apr03 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  MY VALENTINO Jul14 Dec16 Nov14 Oct29   (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Jul01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Jul11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE Jun18 Mar15 Feb14 Jan31 Dec06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 4.00    
3  DANCE MY WAY Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr11 Mar28 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 6.00 21% 3.90    
4  SWEET UNIQUE Jun09 May22 Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  KEY TO SUCCESS Jul08 Apr06 Mar14 Jan31 Dec27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
6  ONE SMOKIN' RITA Jun26 Jun11 May14 Apr23 Mar28 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIESHA Jul14 Jun03 Apr28 Mar30 Mar21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  NUBLADA Jun21 Nov25 Nov04 Aug30 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
3  BELLE BOTTOMS Jul14 Apr28 Mar20 Mar05 Dec30 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 5.00    
4  DOLCE MARIE Jul16 Jun26 Jun11 May19 Apr24 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
5  DERBY DAY KISS Jan29 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOASTMASTER Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May19 Apr30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50    
7  OFFICIALLY YOURS May12 Apr24 Mar18 Feb27 Jan29 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 63% 0.60    
 
TDN-7   08/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUST FOR LIFE Jun21 Jun03 May03 Jan16 Dec09 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  OKLAHOMA JOE Jul16 Jun21 Jun10 May28 May07 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 5.00    
3  MOMMA K'S BOY Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 May26 May03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
4  K KID Jul01 Jun04 May17 Apr28 Apr07 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  MR. PENNY PINCHER Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jan31 Jan04 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May17 May03 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
7  WETZEL Jul08 Jun25 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jul16 Jun18 May22 Apr22 Apr10 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Jul03 Jun09 May08 Apr22 Mar26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
10  SIGHT UNSEEN Feb27 Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 Nov19 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDECESSOR Jul12 Jun19 May26 Mar28 Mar08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TOBAGO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  BOLT'S TREASURE Jun23 May29 May08 Apr25 Apr04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
3  DON CORLEONE Jul16 May08 Apr09 Mar01 Feb02 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 123 15.00 6% 16.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
4  DAYTONA GOLD Jun30 Jun10 Oct26 Sep22   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 12% 7.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  ISLAND BOSS Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 Apr24   (canegata james)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ALWAYSINSTILETTOS by BANDINI)
6  Z BOSS Jun23 May29 May08 Apr24 Apr12 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COSMIC ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
7  BOUND TO SUCCEED Jun26 May03 Feb15 Oct13 Aug11 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EMPRESSOF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  NYDINI Jan08         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ASPEN HILLTOP by BERNARDINI)
9  IT'S LAST CALL Jun23 May29 May08 Apr02 Mar20 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.