Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/2/7/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6/4)-(3/2/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6/4)-(3/2/7/6/4)-(3/2/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6/4)-(7/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6/4)-(7/2/1/4)-(5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(5/3/2)-(2/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/6)-(2/5/4)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/4/6)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(5/4)-(6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEVICHE Jun16 May26 May05 Mar19 Feb26 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00    
2  DIVINE FASHION Jul15 Jun18 May28 May03 Apr08 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  STACY ATTACK Jul07 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  SHARP AZ CAN BE Jul16 Jul07 Jun11 May20 Apr28 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWILIGHT VISION Jul01 Jun11 Nov19 Oct21 Sep26 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
6  TAYYARA Jul10 Jun24 Apr28 Mar21 Aug19 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIMELY SECRET Jun15 Apr28 Mar26 Feb28 Feb06 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
8  LIAM'S LASS Jul07 Jun09 Nov18 Sep05 Aug15 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
9  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jul09 Jun30 Jun03 Feb04 Jan13 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 20.00    
 
TDN-2   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERNON'S BEST Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 Apr22 Apr10 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOBIL MISSION Sep04 Aug15 Jul22 Jul01 May29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  SEEKING FREEDOM Jul17 May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
4  SO CO MANHATTAN Jul07 Jun17 Feb26 Jan27 Dec26 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MERGER Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50    
6  MISTER ZAZU Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr29 Mar26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
7  AKIMBO Jun25 May20 Apr30 Oct09 Sep04 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-3   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMMA IN THE CLOUD Jul07         (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAMMA WHITE SOCKS by COURAGEOUS CAT)
2  RENEWED Jul15 Jun21 May29 Aug07   (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
3  DEVOUTLY Jul07         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LOVEYOU EVERYBODY by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  KINGDOM TRAILS Jul07 Oct09       (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of TROUT RIVER RED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  REASONS WE DRINK Jul07 Jun21       (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  VESPER MARTINI Jun21 May12       (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
 
TDN-4   07/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jun16 May20 Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  DON'T CROSS JACK Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr08 Oct16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  C J ALL THE WAY May26 Apr24 Mar17 Jan29 Jan09 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 2.50    
4  BREEZY MONEY Jan09 Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 7% 12.60    
5  FIRST CITIZEN Jul09 May26 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
6  IT'S FATE Jun29 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 Oct10 (sweazey sco)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BROADWAY JONES May26 Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANES HEART Jun17 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
2  VECCHI Jul09 Jun21 May28 May07 Oct23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
3  WHY KENNY WHY May29 May19 Apr30 Mar27 Feb26 (casalinova t)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00    
4  DRILL'S BOY Jun17 May28 May07 Apr23 Mar27 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAMBLER Jul03 May27 Apr22 Sep11 Aug21 (ccamaq)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
SCR  IRONCLAD ALIBI Jul09 May27 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-6   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSECUTOR Jul14 Jun26 Jun10 May28 Nov14 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 2.00    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE May22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 Oct08 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
3  SUSIE'S KID Jul03 Jun17 May21 Apr30 Jun04 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00    
4  INTO GOLD Jul10 Jun25 May22 May03 Mar31 (szczep)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
5  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jun12 May22 Apr30 Mar30 Mar11 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Jun17 May12 Apr21 Apr07 Mar03 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
 
TDN-7   07/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIVATE MOMENT Jul14 Jun23 May26 Nov21 Nov06 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
SCR  SO THAT'S THAT Jun21 May28 May07 Feb11 Jan15 (poole m)NUNEZ Y 115 6.00    
SCR  C V DYNAMIC Jul03 Jun21 May14 May03 Apr02 (gonzalez agusti)BOCACHICA O 119 10.00    
4  BLUE NOMORE Jul14 Jun23 Dec17 Oct23 Oct03 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 27% 2.80    
5  ROMANIAN PRINCE Jun07 May12 Apr23 Mar18 Dec09 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  FULL SPECTRUM Jul03 Jun16 May12 Apr22 Oct26 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 117 2.50    
SCR  RED CHIPS Jul14 Jun21 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
8  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Jul14 Jun24 Jun12 May14 Dec09 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00    
 
TDN-8   07/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIV'EM THE BIZ Jul01 Jun04 May07 Apr10 Oct30 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jun30 Jun12 May21 Apr21 Apr10 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 2.00    
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT Jul01 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 123 4.00    
4  OAKEN Jul01 May26 May05 Apr10 Mar25 (castillo jabd)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
5  OAKS HONEY May12 Mar31 Feb05 Dec05 Aug22 (kocija)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 16% 5.20    
6  WILDCAT BILL Apr03 Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  SPIN DOCTOR Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May21 May13 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY May12 Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 Mar06 (kocijan marcu)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.