Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/5/2)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/2/5)-(7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/5/3)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/1)-(7/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/3/6)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Jun26 May21 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
2  DIVINE FASHION Jun18 May28 May03 Apr08 Mar05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Mar28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  TAKING CHARGE DESI Jun23 Apr29 Mar22 Feb23 Jan29 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
5  MISS FUSSY PANTS Jun18 May28 May07 Apr22 Apr05 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 16.70    
6  BIG GINGER May26 Apr23 Mar18 Feb26 Jan13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 5.00    
7  DREAMING OF AUDREY Jun23 May21 Apr29 Mar22 Mar06 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELISH THE RIDE Jun24 Jun10 May28 May04 Nov30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  MISTER MOBIL Jul01 Jun21 Jun02 May14 May03 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 ★    
4  BRIGHTER DAY Jun24 May28 May14 Apr02 Jun05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
5  MOMMA K'S BOY Jun23 Jun10 May26 May03 Oct01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  ANIMO ROBERTO Jul01 Jun04 May21 Jul30 Jul04 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
7  SHAKE THE FROST Jun20 Jun10 Jan30 Dec27 Nov21 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLAY CHARLIE Jun18 Mar03 Feb06 Jan07 Dec23 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  OFFICE CHATTER Jun16 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 1.40 ★    
3  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jun10 May22 Apr22 Mar24 Feb28 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00    
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY Jul01 Jun10 Dec16 Nov18 Nov06 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
5  SUGAR LOVES IT Jun10 May22 Nov13 Oct29 Oct01 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
TDN-4   07/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Jun21 Jun06 May22 Feb27 Feb04 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
2  S'MOR CRAFTY Jun21 Oct26 Oct09     (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 6% 16.10    
3  RENEWED Jun21 May29 Aug07     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 68% 0.50    
4  MOON DREAMS Jun21 May22 Mar20     (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
5  PEEKABOO MOM Jun23 Jun11 May27 Apr21 Sep12 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  DESTINY'S TOT Jun23 Jun11 May07 Apr07 Mar24 (romero os)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EKATI'S WAY Jun16 May17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep17 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 8.00    
2  SILENCE Jun06 May26 May03 Mar13 Jan23 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
3  I WANNA WIN Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr30 Oct26 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWING STATE Jul01 Jun16 May17 Apr28 Apr12 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
5  HENRY MAC Jun06 May14 Jan13 Nov25 Aug10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  VILLIAN Jun21 Jun06 May03 Dec17 Nov25 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 3.00 ★    
7  SPELLCAST Jun06 May05 Oct03 Sep03 Jul29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-6   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jul02 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Oct09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  MON CAMO Jun12 May05 Nov18 Sep24 Sep09 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00    
3  FAT DADDY Jun30 Jun10 May26 May06 Apr21 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
SCR  BREEZY MONEY Jan09 Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
5  SEEING RED Jun12 May14 Apr29 Apr08 Feb27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
6  HITSVILLE Jun26 Jun02 May06 Apr08 Mar11 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAISE N GLORY Jun27 May21 May12 Apr24 Mar31 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 8.00    
2  SACRED CONNECTION Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 May03 Apr22 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
3  KRICKLE May10 Mar26 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 (west m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 6% 15.30    
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Apr08 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00    
SCR  DEVRA WARRIOR Jun24 Jun01 May13 Apr27 Apr07 (poole jami)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
6  KOZEM Jun23 May26 Apr27 Nov24 Nov11 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
7  CLOUD STORAGE Jun24 May22 May07 Apr23 Mar26 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
TDN-8   07/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARTSTEIN Jun24 Jun11 May17 Apr24 Apr03 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PECKS NOT BAD Jun24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May01 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
3  NAMBITI Jun24 Jun07 May17 Apr24 Dec05 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 ★    
4  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Jun17 May20 Apr29 Mar31 Jan27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
5  SOCIAL HISTORY Jun24 May28 Apr03 Mar25 Mar04 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  BABA LOOEY Jun24 Jun11 May26 May07 Apr10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
7  WEEKEND BUZZ Jun24 Jun04 May17 Apr24 Apr10 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
8  VENTURE ON Jul01 Jun17 Jun07 May13 May05 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.