Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(2/5/1)-(5/3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/3/7/2)-(6/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(6/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/2)-(6/1/2/8)-(2/6/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/8)-(2/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/8)-(2/6/9/4)-(5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/4)-(2/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/4)-(2/6/9/4)-(2/6/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/4)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/4)-(5/4/2)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/3/1)-(4/7/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   04/02/2025 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDY Feb08 Dec27 Dec03 Nov24 Nov10 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
SCR  CURIOSITY KILLS Aug21 Jul29 Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
PALMARY Feb03 Jan25 Dec26 May22 Apr27 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.50    
SWEET BELEN Mar12 Feb03 Jan25 Dec16 Nov20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
CASTLE TOY Jan30 Jan10 Dec06 Nov01 Oct24 (meyers shane)STOKES J 128 1.20 36% 1.80    
SCR  OFFICE CHATTER Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 128 15.00    
GOLDEN NOLE Aug28 Dec06 Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-2   04/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMA PRINCESS Jan29 Dec01 Nov18 Oct23 Oct13 (bouali wajdi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANTONACCI GIRL Mar06 Feb01 Jan25     (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.60 71% 0.40    
SEXARITO Mar09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov03 Oct15 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 Jan02 Oct05 (ccamaque marco)DIAZ R 126 4.00    
LITTLE MISS MUNNY Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FROTHY Mar17 Jan29 Jan05 Dec21 Nov03 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   04/02/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG LAMBROS Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 Nov29   (leitch daniel)CEDILLO MAURO 122 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SEVEN FEATHERS by STEPHANOTIS)
WORK RELEASE Mar08 Dec21       (hancock dana)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
DAREDEVIL DOUG         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of KIMALLOSA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  NERO RAY Jan30 Jan13 Dec28     (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MR. FREDERICKSON Mar19 Jan30 Jan13 Dec14   (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SENTIENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
MY BABY BULLET Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 (langley josh)HALDAR J 122 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
FINALLY FRIDAY         (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
BRAVE WORDS Jan23 Dec19 Dec07 Sep12 Aug22 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 122 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BRAVE MICHELLE by MR. GREELEY)
 
MVR-4   04/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Dec09 Aug26 Aug05 Jun25 May27 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 126 4.00 15% 5.50    
RAGS SPECIAL Mar23 Feb26 Feb08 Jan11 Nov01 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
TABLOID CITY Mar13 Feb13 Jan01 Oct31 Oct10 (west aar)MARTINEZ A 126 2.50    
RIESENBERG Mar05 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 126 6.00    
IT'S LAST CALL Mar20 Feb04 Jan06 Dec23 Dec02 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.50    
TRAP LINE Mar15 Jan23 Nov06 Sep20 Aug26 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 3.00 59% 0.70    
GAISGEACH Mar04 Feb03 Jan16 Nov18 Nov05 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
KLIMTSTER Mar20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 Jan06 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVIN'S EXPRESS Mar10 Jan30 Jan02 Dec17 Nov21 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 126 10.00    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Mar06 Feb03 Dec05 Jul27 May22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar20 Mar06 Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
SPIN DOCTOR Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 Dec16 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL MARRO Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 Nov26 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.50    
BEAT THE DEALER Mar10 Feb11 Jan23 Nov19 Oct19 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
BAD BOY BOOGIE Mar10 Jun27 Jun12 May22 Mar13 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 126 12.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 Sep21 Aug30 (bates l)BRACHO A 126 15.00    
PLAY BALL Mar10 Feb11 Jan23 Dec19 Nov19 (castillo jabdie)HERMAN NOEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-6   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARANTINA Feb26 Jan28 Jan08 Dec27 Nov19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
SCR  HOWIZEE Sep14 Aug12 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS SHADY Mar12 Feb12 Jan28 Jan09 Dec27 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 3.50    
HALF BIRTHDAY Mar19 Feb26 Jan28 Jan08 Oct22 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 12% 7.60    
PRANCIPANTS Feb28 Jan15 Dec26 Dec11 Oct19 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 67% 0.50    
TATTERED HEART Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Jun24 Jun03 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00    
C F V TU BRUTUS Mar14 Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 Dec19 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 126 5.00    
 
MVR-7   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE ROSE Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec23 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
KISS ME QUICK Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 Dec04 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
WORK'N ON A BUZZ Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Aug30 Jul22 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
IMA MOM Mar18 Dec19 Oct28 Sep18 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
KISS VALENTINA Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 Dec23 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
MINESTRESS Mar18 Aug03 Jul17 Jun07 May22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   04/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAC'S EMPIRE Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 20.00    
C V DYNAMIC Mar11 Jun19 Jun07 May10 Apr11 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50    
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Jan27 Dec27 Dec10 Oct26 Sep19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
REIGNING DREAM Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec27 Nov25 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec27 Nov21 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
EARL'S STORMY WIND Mar18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 20.00    
BRIGHTER DAY Jun05 May13 Apr22     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
CARSON N SPENCE Mar18 Feb26 Feb11 Jan09 Dec10 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.