Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (5/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (10/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (6/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-9   Win (12/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   03/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETTHELIQUORTALK Feb13 Jan15 Dec15 Nov03 Oct20 (anderson gon)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
2  BANGO FOR BUCKS Feb13 Jan13 Apr17 Jan30 Dec21 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOWBEIT Mar03 Jan23 Dec26 Oct26 Oct11 (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
4  HEY BATMAN Feb12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov16 Nov01 (perez serg)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
5  HOT CHICKS ONLY Feb13 Nov30 Nov10 Oct06 Aug25 (thomas jamey)CRUZ M 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  OVERLY FAST Feb11 Jan23 Dec04 Sep01 Aug24 (ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 51% 1.00    
7  STOP AND A TRES Jan23 Jan08 Dec10 Nov25 Oct19 (anderson gonzalo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMITED HEATWAVE Feb10 Jan21 May31 May10 Apr16 (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BY DECREED Feb18 Jan28 Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 (kereluk edwar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 10.00    
SCR  MY CAIRO KID Feb10 Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 Sep01 (laufenberg )VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
4  I AM FREAKY FAST Mar05 Feb05 Jan22 May04 Apr29 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUN BRYCE RUN Feb10 Jan07 Dec26 Nov29 Nov11 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
6  VORPAL Feb01 Dec08 Aug01 May18 Apr05 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
7  CAPIAT Feb06 Jan22 Feb15 Jan30 Dec09 (matt wendell)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00    
8  FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Jan01 Nov15 Feb17 Dec31 Nov18 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
9  SHAUN'S JAZZ Feb26 Feb16 Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 (perez serg)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZELAIA Dec18 Oct27 Oct11 Aug11 Aug03 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
SCR  EVEN PANDURA Feb13 Jan16 Dec27 Sep04 Aug26 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
3  DESERT RUMBLE Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 Oct27 (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Feb19 Jan24 Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 (perez serg)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 6.00    
5  PRANCE Feb26 Jan29 Jan21 Jan08 Nov30 (brown r)CORBETT W 124 2.50    
6  WILLING TO BURN Jan30 Jan08 Dec11 Sep08 Aug25 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  UNIFIED A. P. Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov14 (fulmer drew)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
TUP-6   03/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINEDANDREFINED Feb25 Feb06 Jan27 Dec26 Dec04 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 8% 11.60    
2  SMOOCHERRO Feb17 Feb03       (birdwell tena)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHARP ATTITUDE Feb19 Jan21 Dec28 May02 Apr10 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
4  AVOIR Dec27 Nov17 Oct18 Apr18 Mar04 (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  LUSMA Feb17 Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 Oct05 (alvarez sergio)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
6  TWISTED MISCHIEF Feb17 Jan06       (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
7  MUSICAL DIVA Jan27 Dec28 Dec05 Sep09 Aug26 (mcfarlan)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  ETHAN'S GIRL Aug04 Jul20 May26 May04 Mar27 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
 
TUP-7   03/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDELA EFFECT Jan29 Apr08 Mar20 Feb27 Dec18 (bratcher ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
2  KEEP IT COMING Feb26 Feb10 Dec31 Nov29 Nov11 (ortiz isa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  CASSANO Feb26 Feb12 Jan02 Nov26 Oct20 (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
4  ASPHALT ANDY Feb18 Jan23 Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIPPIN WHISKEY Feb11 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
6  WOLFRAM Feb26 Feb18 Jan27 Jan09 Nov17 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
7  BENNY BUCKETS Feb22 Feb05 Dec19 Dec05 Nov14 (tubbs scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MONGOLIAN FROST Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Jan05 Jul07 (baze t)MAWING A 124 10.00    
9  EDDIE'S WAVE Feb22 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Dec01 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
10  THOMPSON Feb24 Feb06 Jan22 Dec23 Dec09 (betts nancy)KRIGGER K 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TIME MARK Feb08 Jan05 Nov24 Oct13 Aug11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  THE RONALD Feb06 Jan22 Dec31 Oct23 May11 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 122 8.00    
3  PACIFIC THEATER Feb20 Jan07 Nov06 Oct17 Oct05 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
4  DE LA LUNA Feb17 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 May04 (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MANGIA PANE Feb22 Feb04 Jan27 Dec26 Sep15 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
6  BROWNSTONE Feb25 Feb03 Jun23 Apr13 Mar30 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  SAN ANDRES Jan23 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Oct18 (perkinson cc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
8  OUR BLOKE Feb17 Jan03 Dec20 Oct05 Sep15 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
9  CANDY'S CHROME Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 Nov11 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
TUP-9   03/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY TREASURE Feb17 Jan29 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50 ★    
2  KAMIKAZE BLUE Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 Nov27 Aug17 (marin martin)REYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEGAL MISCHIEF Feb13 Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 May02 (mendoza elo)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
4  HEY BARMAID Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Jan01 Nov21 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
5  PRINCESS JAYLEEN May02 Apr25 Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 (torres-ca)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 ★    
6  GETAWAY DAY Feb20 Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 Aug03 (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
7  GAME TO PLAY Feb25 Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 (diaz fer)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
8  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Jan29 Jan09 Dec02 Aug25 Jul07 (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 10.00    
9  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Feb22 Jan09 Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAMALONA Feb20 Dec27 Dec02 May01 Apr23 (soto anto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
11  CAN'T WANT THAT Feb25 Feb06 Jan27 Jan02 Dec11 (lavanway dayson)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
12  ALOHA KITTEN Feb22 Feb06 Jan24 Aug30 Aug09 (kowalski liz)KRIGGER K 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.