Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 8.40
TUP-4   Win (5/4/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-5   Win (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
TUP-6   Win (2/3/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
TUP-7   Win (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-8   Win (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $36.20 $36.20 28.20
TUP-9   Win (4/5/1/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTERMAKER 3 6 3 21   2nk 1hd (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20 W
DESERT BREEZE 4 2 1½ 11   1nk 2hd (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 6.00 8% 10.90 10.60 P
GUN POWDER 8 4 4 3   4 3 (schnell don)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.00 S
MANZONI 2 7 7 42   3.2 42 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 4.50 0.90  
DANCING PORKY 1 8 8 7   7 5 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 16.60  
BIG SWAG 6 1 52 52   5 66 (schnell don)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00 4.10  
NASTIKA'S SECRET 7 5 63 63   6 7 (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 5.00 12.90  
SHANKADOPOLOUS 5 3 2½ 8   813¼ 817½ (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 72.10  
 
TUP-4   02/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:122 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICAHOUSE 5 2 32 32 3 2½ 1¼ (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.60 W
SEA OF LIBERTY 3 8 8 8 6 4 2¼ (van de)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 11% 7.90 2.00 P
ZUMURUDEE 2 6 76 5 1½ 1½ 3¼ (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 6.00 18.00  
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 31 4 (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 32.60  
FORT LANGLEY 4 5 54 63 7 55 5 (cruz pearman)MOJICA O 124 8.00 31% 2.20 7.50  
NORTHCUT 7 3 4 42 43 6 6 (silva jo)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 6.00  
REGULATION DAZED 9 9 64 7 8 87 77 (nunnally jenn)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 23.80  
BEL RAGAZZO 6 7 98 9 9 7 87 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
STORMIN GALILEO 8 4 2½ 2½ 5 911½ 916¾ (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 12.00 5.40  
SCR  COASTAL WATERS               (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  SOCAL RED               (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:102 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE HOME 3 6 35 32 3½ 1½ 1 (anderson gon)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.00 22% 3.50 2.30 W
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 8 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 2 (van debbie)KRIGGER K 122 10.00 6.60  
MY MAN BIGGIE 1 5 7 67 4 43 3 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 15.00 24.80  
PACO'S PICO 7 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 31 4 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 122 5.00 22% 3.60 2.30  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 4 2 6 7 6 56 57 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 4.70  
KYSTONE 2 4 4 4 55 6 612¼ (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00 13.70  
RONAMO 5 7 5 56 8 812½ 718¼ (barraza s)CRUZ M 122 8.00 6% 14.70 11.90  
HEAT N REHEAT 6 8 811¼ 88 76 710 818½ (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 2.50 26% 2.90 4.80  
 
TUP-6   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:213 :441 :57     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBOSO 2 5 2 2   2nk 1 (silva l)CRUZ M 121 3.00 39% 1.60 3.00 W
SLEW O' MISCHIEF 8 2 1 1   1nk 2 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
DARK PASSENGER 4 7 822 816¼   7 35 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
BOTTLE CAPS 7 4 6 711¼   5 4 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 4.00 16% 5.10 3.50  
LORD STERLING 1 9 926 916¼   8 5 (essex charles)MOJICA O 121 6.00 7.90  
MAKIN MY FORTUNE 3 6 36 3   3 6 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 18% 4.70 2.80  
GHOST YA 5 8 710 410½   45 7 (homer jaso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 8.00 27.60  
THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN 9 1 5 611   9 811¾ (martinez a)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 55.50  
DUNVEGAN 6 3 4 510½   67 912½ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 12.00 5.20  
 
TUP-7   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER TRIP 7 2 3½ 31   43 1nk (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 W
JACOB YEN 8 1 42 4   2 2nk (monteverde )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70 P
PAKAS SECRET 3 5 1½ 11   1 3¼ (nunnally)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00 25.40  
SALSATION 6 3 2½ 21   33 43 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50 26% 2.80 0.80  
YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 5 4 63 5   65 5 (ortega f)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 57.60  
ASPHALT ANDY 2 6 5 6   54 6 (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
WOLFRAM 4 7 74 7   78 78 (leon alexis)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 8.00 14.90  
EL OCHO 1 8 86 8   8 818½ (dominguez her)KRIGGER K 124 20.00 65.30  
SCR  PICKING IT UP               (gleason m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50    
 
TUP-8   02/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:231 :484 1:133 1:254   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BY DECREED 1 1 11 11 11 1½ 1¾ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10 W
PURE CANE SUGAR 2 2 31 4 31 2½ 2¾ (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 41% 1.40 1.60 P
SUPERSONIC ME 6 7 75 6 42 3½ 31 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 124 5.00 1.60  
THE MAN THE MYTH 3 5 5 74 7 7 45 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
CHASIN A DOLLAR 7 6 6 52 64 43 5 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.00 20% 4.10 3.80  
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL 5 4 43 3 5 54 66 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 118 3.00 8.70  
BRINSON 4 3 21 21 21 6 7 (brinson clay)KRIGGER K 124 10.00 10.80  
SCR  BOB'S DECISION               (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 8.00    
SCR  KLINKERBRICK               (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-9   02/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:213 :443       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONZAGA BAY 4 6 1½ 1nk   12 1 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 3.00 17% 4.90 1.50 W
MISTER MCLEAN 3 3 2½ 2nk   22 2 (sanderson bru)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 5.00 23% 3.30 4.40 P
12  ISLE OF SKYE 10 4 63 64   5 33 (o'hagan )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 9% 10.20 3.20 S
CAJUN TREASURE 2 5 7 4   34 4 (hernandez mig)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 10.80  
PEDRO PEREZ 5 1 31 5   76 5 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 124 4.00 31.60  
ALMANERA (IRE) 1 9 85 85   45 6 (stead devon)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 16% 5.10 5.70  
11  DR. TROUTMAN 9 7 53 3   6 7 (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 10.70  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 7 8 99 9   1013 813 (leon alexis)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00 ######  
SEA BREEZE BOY 8 2 4 74   810 913 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 16.80  
AWESOME STORM 6 10 10 1010   911½ 1013¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 14% 6.10 28.50  
SCR  FABSTRACTION               (macvittie william )MAWING A 124 20.00    
SCR  FIGHT ME               (figueroa juan)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.