Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1)-(6/3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/4/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/6/1)-(6/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/6/1)-(6/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/8/4)-(7/6/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/3/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/8/4)-(2/3/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8/4)-(2/3/7/8/4)-(2/3/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/7/8/4)-(7/6/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/8/4)-(7/6/2/9)-(2/9/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/9)-(2/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/9)-(2/9/1/3)-(4/5/1/7/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/1/3)-(4/5/1/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (4/5/1/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7/12)-(4/5/1/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7/12)-(4/5/1/7/12)-(4/5/1/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING PORKY May04 Apr25 Apr11     (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 ★    
2  MANZONI Feb03 Dec27 Dec04 Sep27   (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
3  BUTTERMAKER Feb04 Jan16 Nov25 Oct11 Sep05 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DESERT BREEZE Feb04 Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Apr11 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 6.00 8% 10.90    
5  SHANKADOPOLOUS Jan16 Sep20 Aug15     (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
6  BIG SWAG Feb03 Aug17 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00    
7  NASTIKA'S SECRET Jan16 Oct06 Sep15     (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
8  GUN POWDER Jun01         (schnell don)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jan30 Jan08 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZUMURUDEE Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 6.00    
3  SEA OF LIBERTY Jan30 Jan07 Dec18 Nov29 Nov10 (van horne )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
4  FORT LANGLEY Jan22 Dec05 Nov26 Oct05 Sep22 (cruz pearma)MOJICA O 124 8.00 31% 2.20    
5  PICAHOUSE Jan27 Jan15 Jan07 Dec28 Dec12 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  BEL RAGAZZO Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec16 Nov26 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NORTHCUT Jan13 Jul08 Jun25 Apr08 Jan29 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50    
8  STORMIN GALILEO Dec07 Dec01 Nov08 Nov01 Oct11 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 12.00    
9  REGULATION DAZED Jan30 Jan22 Jan13 Dec05 Sep13 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
SCR  COASTAL WATERS Jan30 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
SCR  SOCAL RED Feb06 Jan15 Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB) Feb06 Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
 
TUP-5   02/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN BIGGIE Jan25 Dec02 Nov17 Mar18 Feb15 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 15.00    
2  KYSTONE Jan29 Jan09 Dec31 Dec11 Oct13 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
3  RACE HOME Oct19 Oct06 Apr17 Mar18 Oct21 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  MR LOVE MUFFIN Jan22 Dec23 Dec03 Aug11 Jul03 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
5  RONAMO Jan29 Jan01 Dec11 Nov18 Sep28 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
6  HEAT N REHEAT Jan29 Dec18 Nov10 Oct04 Sep21 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  PACO'S PICO Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Dec17 Mar01 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
8  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jan25 Dec31 Dec11 Sep15 Sep07 (van debbie)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD STERLING         (essex charles)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
2  REBOSO Jan16 Jan01 May04 Apr11   (silva l)CRUZ M 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  MAKIN MY FORTUNE Jan28 Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 Aug25 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 18% 4.70    
4  DARK PASSENGER Dec17 Oct27       (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GHOST YA         (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 8.00    
6  DUNVEGAN Jan16         (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 12.00    
7  BOTTLE CAPS Jan28 Jan16 Jan01 Oct13 Sep29 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
8  SLEW O' MISCHIEF Jan28 Sep01       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Jan01 Nov17       (martinez o )MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
 
TUP-7   02/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL OCHO Jan21 Dec11 May12 Apr20 Mar28 (dominguez h)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
2  ASPHALT ANDY Jan23 Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 Sep01 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAKAS SECRET Jan23 Dec27 Nov26 Sep14 Sep07 (nunnal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
4  WOLFRAM Jan27 Jan09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 (leon alexis)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
5  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jan23 Nov14 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 (ortega jesus)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
6  SALSATION Jan29 Jan05 Mar29 Mar04 Feb24 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  POWER TRIP Jan23 Dec27 Oct26 Sep15 Aug11 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  PICKING IT UP Jan27 Jan05 Nov16 Oct05 Sep06 (gleason tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50    
9  JACOB YEN Jan23 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Sep14 (monteverd)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   02/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BY DECREED Jan28 Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Nov13 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PURE CANE SUGAR Jan14 Dec26 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 41% 1.40    
3  THE MAN THE MYTH Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 Nov20 Sep28 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KLINKERBRICK Feb03 Jan14 Dec12 Nov29 Nov20 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
SCR  BOB'S DECISION Jan31 Jan03       (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 8.00    
6  BRINSON Jan23 Dec27 Nov07     (brinson clay)KRIGGER K 124 10.00    
7  MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Aug11 Jul13 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 118 3.00    
8  SUPERSONIC ME Jan14 Oct29 Aug28 Aug10 Jul03 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
9  CHASIN A DOLLAR Feb02 Jan03 Dec07 Aug30 Apr11 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-9   02/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMANERA (IRE) Jan30 Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Sep29 (stead devo)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  FIGHT ME Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 Apr22 Apr11 (figueroa juan)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
3  CAJUN TREASURE Jan30 Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 Nov20 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
4  MISTER MCLEAN Jan13 Dec26 Dec04 Sep03 Jul10 (sanderson b)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  GONZAGA BAY Jan30 Dec31 Nov13 Aug03 Jul08 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  PEDRO PEREZ Nov03 Oct19 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 124 4.00    
7  AWESOME STORM Jan21 Dec26 Nov25 Nov12 Oct12 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 14% 6.10    
8  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Jan30 Jan08 Dec28 Dec05 Nov15 (leon alexis)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
9  SEA BREEZE BOY Dec18 Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
SCR  FABSTRACTION Jan21 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Oct18 (macvittie willia)MAWING A 124 20.00    
11  DR. TROUTMAN Jan25 Jan14 Dec27 Nov16 Oct19 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
12  ISLE OF SKYE Jan14 Dec27 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 (o'haga)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 9% 10.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.