Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3)-(3/4/2/1)-(2/5/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
GP-2   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(2/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(2/5/6/3)-(5/4/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
GP-3   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(5/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/3)-(5/4/7/6)-(3/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-4   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(3/5/2)-(4/9/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/9/8/2)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/2)-(4/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/2)-(4/9/8/2)-(4/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/8/2)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/2)-(2/1/4)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/6/4)-(2/10/6/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
GP-8   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(2/10/6/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-9   WIN (2/10/6/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/4/3)-(2/10/6/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/4/3)-(2/10/6/4/3)-(2/10/6/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AREACODEFIVEOONE Jan02 Oct13       (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  POP ROX Jan16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep28   (depaulo mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PERFECT CONNECTION         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY MEGHAN Jan02 Dec14       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 6.00    
5  MADELINE'S PROMISE Jan12 Nov23 Oct24     (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
6  GEAUX AMY Jan12 Sep29 Sep06 Aug09   (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 13% 6.80    
7  UNITED FOREVER Jan12 Dec22       (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  ALLURING SERENITY Dec26         (allinson vernon )RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
SCR  MELLE MEL Dec05 Nov02 Sep28 Jul31   (giddings mel)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
 
GP-2   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Dec01 Nov02 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  JET WINGS Jan12 Dec15 Nov28 Nov08 Apr11 (maragh aubrey)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 15% 5.60    
3  NATE THE GREAT (GB) Dec01 Jul07 Apr27 Mar03 Apr29 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  COMPETITIVE SAINT Dec15 Nov15 Oct12 Sep06 Jan26 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  LOYAL LOUIE Jan19 Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 Apr21 (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
6  BELLA FUTURE Jan19 Dec15 Oct12 Aug17 Jul20 (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
7  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Dec27 Dec01 Nov10 Oct12 Aug17 (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 122 4.00    
 
GP-3   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART JENNY Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Oct11 Sep22 (christ)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
2  FAIRHOPECURLY Dec19 Oct20 Jun28 May12 Feb08 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 115 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  INTO TOURING Jan03 Nov17 Oct11 Sep06 Mar22 (walder pete)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOVE PARADOX Aug04 Jul27 May04 Apr05 Feb10 (alter happy)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
5  SPLURGE Jan03 Dec12 Nov08 Oct11 Sep06 (miller herbert)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
6  SPIRIT OF VICTORY Jan10 Nov24 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
7  REASSESS Dec20 Dec05 Nov18 Sep29 Sep05 (negrete javi)MORELOS E 122 4.50    
 
GP-4   01/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($41K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRVIN STAR Jan09 Dec21 Nov22 Sep20 May13 (nunez eduar)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00    
2  UNCAPTURED DOVE Dec21 Nov22 Oct12 Sep07 May03 (fawkes david)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
3  REGAL QUEEN Nov22 Jun20 May20 Apr17 Dec06 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 115 20.00    
4  MAJESTY'S SONG Nov30         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
5  TIZ READY Dec21 Nov29 Jul07 Jun02   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  MOLLY'S A BULLET Oct11 Aug25 Jul26 Jul06 Aug27 (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAC TO MOORE Jan09 Oct15 Sep16 Jul27 Jul04 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 13% 6.40    
8  SHE'S A HOTTIE         (spatz b)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
 
GP-5   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT SPARK Jan03 Dec20 Nov24 Nov08 Oct13 (miller herbert)PEREZ EDGAR 122 2.50    
2  CAJUN ANTHEM Jan08 Dec12 Nov22 Nov09 Oct04 (smullen heathe)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  WEST BANK Jan08 Dec13 Nov16 Oct26 Sep15 (ramsey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  BROWN EYED BEAUTY Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Oct12 Sep28 (dakin a)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00    
5  CANDI GIRL Dec19 Nov16 Oct18 Aug30 Jul23 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  JUST TAKE NOTES Jan05 Dec20 Oct27 Sep13 Aug11 (rodriquez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 20.00    
SCR  GRATIA Jan08 Dec01 Nov09 Aug11 Jul27 (dakin a)NICHOLLS MIA 115 30.00    
 
GP-6   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($94K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRAWFORD         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPPED by TAPIT)
2  KEYTOTHEPARK Nov09 Sep14 Jul20     (carroll jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 8% 12.30    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of INHERITANCE by TAPIT)
3  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE Oct26 Sep08 Aug12     (wilkes r)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of TOO MUCH DETAIL by OVERANALYZE)
4  KEEPSAKE Nov24 Oct12       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TOP QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  BLUEBERRY HILL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SLOANE SQUARE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  FLO GO         (dye steven)HUSBANDS J 111 30.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of TRANS CONTINENTAL by E DUBAI)
7  WORKOUT AFFAIR Nov28         (vassilieva k)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TIZ AFFAIR by TIZNOW)
8  NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN Dec29 Sep13 Aug03     (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
9  TARATEL Nov08         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SCARLET STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
 
GP-7   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER SUCCESS Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  AWESOME CRUSADER Dec05 Nov16 Oct20 Aug17 Jun27 (ramirez luis )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  PASCHAL MOON Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 Sep02 Aug07 (young )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
4  DR OSERAN Dec29 Nov15 Oct04 Jul13 Jun07 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  MISTER KELLY Dec29 Dec05 Nov15 Sep12 Aug29 (winebaugh c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
SCR  SULTAN THE GREAT Dec26 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 (moubarak nad)MORELOS E 122 2.50    
7  DINOS DIXIE Nov27 Oct10 Sep05 Aug18 Jul28 (campbell joel)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00    
 
GP-8   01/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($96K) 3 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEED Dec27 Nov17 Sep01     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  DECADENT Dec29         (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
SCR  EARLY ON Dec29 Aug30 Aug04     (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 113 30.00    
4  FEDE Jan01 Nov30 Nov10 Aug09   (de cerd)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
5  QUINN'S PROMISE Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 Sep14 Jul29 (romans dale)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
6  PARADISE CITY Jan01 Dec07 Oct18 Sep06   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  LITTLE SQUEEZE Nov17 Oct20 Aug23 Jul27   (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 120 12.00    
8  BEAUTY REIGNS Dec07 Nov08       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
 
GP-9   01/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND RIDER Jan04 Nov23 Nov26 Nov07   (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 122 12.00    
2  GOES THE CLOWN Dec24 Nov02 Oct05 Aug10 Jul13 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  FREAKAZOID Dec27 Dec07 Oct26 Jan28   (preciado gua)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Jan03 Dec01 Oct15 Aug31 Aug13 (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEED RUNNER Dec07 May05 Mar23 Feb03 Dec08 (sweezey kent)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
6  DRINK N WINK Dec20 Dec01 Oct26 Sep08 Aug09 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
7  DEVILSGOTACAUSE Jan18 Dec21 Oct10 Aug31 Jul24 (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
8  TWO BEERS BY TEN Jan03 Dec01 Oct24 Oct02 Aug24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  ETON Jan11 Dec01 Oct09     (young jennifer )PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00    
10  WALLEY WORLD Oct06 Apr27 Feb09 Nov19 Oct13 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.