Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(5/7/4/1)-(6/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(6/3/2)-(2/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/4/14/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/4/14/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/4/14/5)-(5/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/1/4/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/14/5)-(2/1/4/14/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/14/5)-(2/1/4/14/5)-(2/1/4/14/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/4/14/5)-(5/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/14/5)-(5/7/2)-(6/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(6/1/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/6/4)-(10/3/8/12/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(10/3/8/12/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/3/8/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/12/7)-(10/3/8/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/12/7)-(10/3/8/12/7)-(10/3/8/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPORTIVO         (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50    
MY SATISFACTION Dec27 Nov08 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  EL MUCHACHO ALEGRE Jan01 Nov27       (gardea abr)URDANETA J 120 5.00    
PALACE REVOLT Oct22 Oct07 Sep10     (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 12.00 27% 2.80    
FLY COMMANDER Oct05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
SPURIOUS Jan15 Dec29 Dec07 Nov14 Oct04 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
BATTLE WARRIOR         (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
TAM-2   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADES JAY Dec04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
DONTBESOOGROUCHY Jan04 Dec18 Dec04 Jun22 Jun08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00    
A BIT OF CAPTAIN Jul24 Jun29 May10 Mar03 Feb04 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
BIG LOUIE Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 (dye steven)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00 12% 7.00    
INDIO MARA Mar22 Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 Nov24 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
UNCAPTURED STAR Jan08 Dec21 Oct13 Sep29 Sep06 (dobber arnoud )MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
JONNY B GONEY Sep12 Sep02 Aug11 Jul03 Jun09 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
 
TAM-3   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTARO Dec21 Nov28 Nov01 Sep20 Aug18 (rodriguez juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
EL PRINCIPITO Dec28 Nov29 Oct12 Jul05 Jun16 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAYBROOK Jan11 Sep29 Sep01 Jul27 Jul05 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
SAM STORMY Dec21 Dec04 Sep28 Sep11 Aug29 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  SONG RUNNER Jan05 Dec18 Nov20 Jul14 May09 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
WILLIE BIRD Jan04 Dec01 Oct13 Jul28 Jun22 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
DEFIANT MALICE Jul07 Jun14 May04 Apr07 Mar23 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 10.00    
 
TAM-4   01/24/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYLASTREDCENT Jan01 Dec13 Dec04 Sep25 Sep07 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
VINO VELOCE Jan05 Dec21 Dec06 Oct05 Aug19 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
MOON ROSE Jan03 Dec22 Dec04 Aug30 Aug04 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE UNLIMITED Jan03 Dec22 Dec06 Aug29 Aug17 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00    
SPRING SPINNING Jan12 Dec22 Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 (alessi jam)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 30.00    
NAA DUDETTE Dec22 Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 (waltke e)HESS SARA 113 6.00 15% 5.90    
HUMOR SENSE Jan03 Dec21 Nov20 Nov03 Oct13 (ochoa gerar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
POLA OF TROUBLE Jan03 Dec22 Dec04 Nov20 Sep29 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
 
TAM-5   01/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSICALS FINALE Dec28 Dec06 Nov21 Oct04 Sep20 (contessa c)SPIETH S 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
SOUL SECRET Jan04 Sep27 Aug08     (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
LOOP OF HENLE Jan03         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
LOVELADY BOLT Jan05         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 15% 5.90    
QURBAAN D ORO Dec28 Dec07 Nov20 Sep26 Sep12 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
GIFTBOX SURPRISE Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 Sep08 Jul19 (kutt m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
SCR  LA CHUECA Dec11 Nov22       (lopez rober)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
TINY TEARS Dec28 Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
SCR  CENTEYA Dec28 Oct04       (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 4.00    
10  THUNDER PRINCESS Jan05 Nov14 Oct03 Aug15 Jul21 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
11  ANNA JEAN Jan05 Dec24 Dec07 Nov20   (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
12  ENDLESS FASHION Jan12 Dec07 Nov29 Oct25 Sep26 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
SCR  HIT SONG Dec22 Nov17 Nov02 Sep05 Aug13 (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00    
14  NOTIPTONI Dec28 Nov23 Oct03 Sep15 Aug22 (duffy sean)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00 7% 14.30    
 
TAM-6   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAIT A SEC Jan01 Dec20 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 (hernandez enri)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
RED ELEANOR Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 Oct24 Sep30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
MY CAJUN LADY Jan12 Nov07 Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  IDEAL BREEZE Jan01 Dec20 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (guciardo k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.00    
SAVE THE BEES Jan01 Dec04 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
AFTER A FEW Jan08 Dec20 Nov02 Oct19 Aug17 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Oct20 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 111 10.00 16% 5.30    
MORETASTIC Jan01 Dec18 Nov04 Oct20 Oct04 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
 
TAM-7   01/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A KEEPER Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct04 Sep04 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  PURE MAGIC GIRL Dec29 Dec04 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 (lopez mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
SCR  ROTONDO Jan01 Sep28 Aug30 Aug03 Jul06 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct11 Sep27 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
SCR  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Jan01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 (delgado h)CASTANON L 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
WHISPERING SEA Dec13 Nov01 Oct17 Sep07 Jul19 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  CLOUDY BAY Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct23 Sep27 (moysey chels)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
SCR  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Dec18 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug17 (einhorn skip)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GLORY Dec11 Oct27 Oct13 Sep07 Jul27 (lightner)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
SCR  ERA Dec18 Dec04 Sep14 Aug28 Aug15 (ward dennis)FERRER C 120 8.00    
11  CLEOPATRA'S NILE Jan05 Dec19 Nov24 Oct27 Oct04 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
SCR  HEARTBURN Jan01 Oct18 Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec13 Nov27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 (yanez r)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/24/2025 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOUVEAU         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SURPRISE AGAIN by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
CHANTALS HOPE Dec28 Oct25       (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
DIMENSIONALITY Jan01 Nov21 Nov02     (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
WHIRLAWAR Jan01 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
FLIGHT OF FANCY Dec07         (mott i)CENTENO E 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FEATHERED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HOLDING COMPANY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CURLIN out of MORNING DREAM by SHAM)
COTTAGE GARDEN Dec24 Nov06 Oct15     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 3.50    
  (by FROSTED out of COUNTRY CHARM by DEHERE)
 
TAM-9   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jan08 Dec22 Dec13 Oct14 Sep19 (dimmett james)FERRER C 122 15.00    
ERIC THE SALESMAN Jan03 Jul27 May04 Apr21 Mar29 (roque eli)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
CALLIHOO Dec08 Feb03 Jan21 Jan13 Nov17 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
FORT ATTITUDE Dec22 Dec13 Nov16 Nov01 Sep13 (yanez reyna)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Jan12 Jan04 Sep25 Sep13 Aug16 (alessi james)CAMACHO SAMY 122 30.00    
DIVINING STONE Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Nov03 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Dec06 Nov27 Oct12 Sep27 Aug01 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jan12 Dec27 Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
NATIVE THUNDER Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Oct11 Sep07 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 15.00    
10  RONIC Jan05 Sep22 Aug19 Jul26 Jul06 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.60 57% 0.70    
11  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jan08 Dec22 Nov20 Sep15 Aug16 (cahill ste)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00    
12  OLD TOWN ROAD Jan05 Dec18 Apr28 Apr17 Mar09 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENRYTHETHIRD Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.