Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (4/5/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-6   Win (9/4/11/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-7   Win (1/9/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-8   Win (5/8/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   01/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U CAN DO U Dec23 May02 Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
BIG JACK Dec30 Dec02 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
POP D'ORO Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct05 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 17% 5.10    
MR LOVE MUFFIN Dec23 Dec03 Aug11 Jul03 Jun16 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00    
HEZADOOZIE Jan14 Jan02 Dec16 Sep24 Sep17 (evans justin)REYES R 124 12.00    
RENEW Dec31 Dec11 Dec02 May02 Apr15 (kato akifum)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
TUP-3   01/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPPER MILL Jan01 Nov25 Nov13 Sep21 Aug10 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 57% 0.80    
GREASE MISSLE Aug04 Jun23 Apr27 Apr06 Mar19 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
I'M TELLING MOM Dec31 Dec05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
LETS DECLARE PEACE Jan01 Oct25 Sep20 Jul24 Apr28 (gibson f)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
ASENA Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Nov13 Aug10 (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
NEVER SWAY Jan01 Dec10 Oct09 Aug09 May03 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 Jun07 May11 (lucarelli fr)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
 
TUP-4   01/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RONALD Dec31 Oct23 May11 Apr04 Mar20 (homer jason)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
MT. ZEROR Jan09 Dec27 Dec17 Oct10 Sep23 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 7% 14.30    
DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep29 Sep15 (essex charles)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.00    
PUBLIC APPEARANCE Dec17 Sep15 Aug31 Aug24 Jun15 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
CAPIAT Feb15 Jan30 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 (matt wendel)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00    
K R RULES Dec27 Dec11 Sep06 Aug11 Jul03 (koler steve)ALVARADO T 124 10.00 7% 12.40    
LUKA GRAZIE Jan02 Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 32% 2.20    
THOMPSON Dec23 Dec09 Nov14 Sep24 Apr27 (betts nancy)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL RUN Sep27 Aug24       (gleason m)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
THREE PLUS ONE Jan09         (essex charl)IRONEYES R 121 15.00    
G DAWG Jan09 Aug23 Jul27     (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
EITHERINORINTHEWAY         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
ROBARANDO         (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 21% 3.80    
BLACKSOD BAY         (tamayo isidro)REYES R 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
JUST KEN Jan01         (o'hagan colle)KHELAWAN KERRON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWISS LAKER BOY Dec06 Nov15 Oct20     (story chad)ALVARADO T 121 8.00    
BOB'S KID Jan09 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25   (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  STREET GUN Dec18 Apr25 Apr11     (schnell don)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.00    
 
TUP-6   01/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEEDSTHESKY Dec18 Nov24 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 12.00    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Nov12 Nov06 Oct16 Sep22 Sep15 (silva pa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Jan06 Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 Jun22 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SORORITY PARTY Dec28 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 (tubbs scott)ALVARADO T 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
SALLY STANFORD Jan09 Apr29 Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
SENSIBLE LUTE Jan08 Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 Nov19 (hernandez mi)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.00    
ACES OVER DEUCES Jan08 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 Apr09 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GROOVY GRAY GAL Nov29 Nov12 Oct05 Jul20 Jun22 (kemper kasey)BARNES JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTINA'S CANDY Nov26 Nov12 Apr04 Jan01 Nov25 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
10  DANGERELLA Nov17 Nov01 Oct20 Aug31 Aug24 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
11  VALLEY ECHO Jan06 Dec04 Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 10% 9.00    
12  BANGO'S HEAT Dec28 Dec19 Nov12 Sep21 Aug24 (barraza s)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   01/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Jan07 Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Sep21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
HONKY TONK HERO Dec05 Nov12 Jun09 May01 Apr03 (wolf ashl)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
REGULATION DAZED Jan13 Dec05 Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 (nunnally jenn)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
LAB RAT Dec28 Dec05 Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FORT LANGLEY Dec05 Nov26 Oct05 Sep22 Aug16 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MONTANA Dec19 Oct19 Sep27 Sep08 Jul26 (chambers mike)BARNES JOSE 122 15.00    
CLAYTON DELANEY Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 Aug10 Jul27 (peery debbie)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00    
EMPEROROFTHENORTH Jan06 Dec05 Nov26 Nov11 Sep15 (tubbs scott)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 Sep05 Aug11 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
10  JOCK TALK Jan02 Sep21 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 (krasner cindy)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 20.00    
SCR  SURPRISE FASHION Jan13 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 (rosales jorge)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   01/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM FREAKY FAST May04 Apr29 Mar21 Feb22 Apr04 (ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TOOLITTLETOOLATE Dec23 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun01 (christian b)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
JOHN DUNBAR Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 Oct04 Sep07 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
POWERIZED Dec30 Jul28 Jun16 Jun01 Apr24 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
B MINOR Dec30 Nov19 Oct17 Aug09 Jul24 (diodoro )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
MEDIMPACT Dec23 Apr25 Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
SENSICAL Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 Sep07 Aug01 (kenn)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
DIALED IN TO WIN Dec30 Dec02 May04 Apr17 Jul29 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
JIN TONG Jan09 Dec30 Dec11 Dec02 Sep07 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
10  RUN RUDOLF Jan01 Jul27 Jun01     (krasner cin)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.