Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/5/3)-(8/4/9/7/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(8/4/9/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(8/4/9/7/5)-(1/7/2/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/4/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/7/5)-(8/4/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/7/5)-(8/4/9/7/5)-(8/4/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/9/7/5)-(1/7/2/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/7/5)-(1/7/2/9/5)-(5/4/8/9/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-4   WIN (1/7/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/9/5)-(1/7/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/9/5)-(1/7/2/9/5)-(1/7/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/9/5)-(5/4/8/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/9/5)-(5/4/8/9/10)-(9/4/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/4/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/9/10)-(5/4/8/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/9/10)-(5/4/8/9/10)-(5/4/8/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/8/9/10)-(9/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/9/10)-(9/4/3)-(4/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/5/3)-(9/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/3)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3)-(4/7/6/1)-(5/7/8/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1)-(5/7/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/7/8/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/10/2)-(5/7/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/10/2)-(5/7/8/10/2)-(5/7/8/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK ACE Dec07 Nov05 Aug13 Jul12 Apr27 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOLLY'S GUITAR Dec18 May02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 117 10.00    
3  KATIES FACTOR Dec20 Nov15 Nov02 Oct17 Aug10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 60% 0.70    
4  AMY D Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  RAISE THE ALARM Dec18 Oct29 Oct11 Aug10 Jun27 (bryant geor)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00    
6  SARAH'S COURT Nov29 Nov13 Oct29 Aug15 Jul18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 2.50    
7  EARLY DAWN Oct26 Aug14 Jul13 Jun08 Nov16 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
 
DED-2   01/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZONG TOUGH Nov23 Nov09 Sep25 Aug26 Jul17 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
2  BILOXI Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  ABSAROKA Dec28 Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 (arey anthon)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
4  SILENT POWER Dec21 Dec05 Oct30 Oct12 Aug24 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
5  EMERALD EXPRESS Nov29 Sep20 Oct13 Sep29 Jun30 (cano mun)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  UNFATHOMED Dec19 Dec04 Nov23 Aug01 Jun27 (ramirez-rodrigu)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
7  DYNAMIC SUN Nov27 Nov15 Oct16 Aug14 Jul11 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.50    
 
DED-3   01/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT FIRST LIGHT Dec12 Nov08 Jun28     (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 15.00    
2  MO SISTER Dec19         (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
3  REAL SILK Dec27 Dec07 Oct25     (duhon paul)VARGAS P 121 15.00    
4  PERFECT DEAL Dec27 Nov16 Oct25     (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  ACADIANA Dec19         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEAL BREAKING DAME Dec19 Dec06 Nov08     (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 116 10.00    
7  BAYOU CHICK         (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 11% 8.40    
8  FULLY BLESSED Dec19         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  WON BRIGHT LIGHT         (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
DED-4   01/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID SHELLEEN Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 May27 May13 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 4.00 55% 0.80    
2  UNBOWED Nov17 Oct06 Aug21 Jul16 Jun28 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
3  LOVER BOY Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Sep21 Sep06 (gonzalez is)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00    
4  POMEROY HAZE Dec19 Dec04 Oct25 Sep06 Aug23 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 6.00    
5  UPTOWN SOCIAL Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Aug28 Aug07 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GLOBAL STAGE Dec11 Nov14 Oct30 Sep26 Sep14 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
7  MAGIC CASTLE Dec28 Dec06 Sep05 Aug07 May03 (winslow janine)THORNTON G 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
8  SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) Dec19 Dec04 Nov09 Jun28 May17 (ramirez-rodrigu)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00    
9  BLACK CANDY Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov19 Nov03 (west henry)ARANA KELVIN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   01/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIEND'S DO CARE Nov27 Nov14 Oct19 Sep10 Aug27 (zeno benja)RAMIREZ JR 119 20.00    
2  MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Jan18 Jan06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct20 (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 124 15.00    
SCR  JOSEPH H Nov07 Jul05 Jun21 May02 Apr11 (giangrosso rus)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
4  SAUCY ARGUMENT Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 Aug24 Jul27 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
5  YAKETY YAK Jan02 Dec11 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 (flugence he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  SPRY CHARLIE Dec07 Nov26 Nov07 Aug23 Jul19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
7  LACEY'S KAT Dec20 Nov26 Nov16 Jul04 Jun13 (toups brent)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
8  AUTUMN ROB Dec18 Nov29 Oct19 May01 Apr19 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
9  TUCKER THE GRUMP Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov21 Oct10 (zenon shelton)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GLORIA'S BOY Dec27 Dec07 Jun21 May18 Apr20 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLER VITE Nov14 Oct26 Sep09 Aug14 Jun01 (richard russell )FUSILIER C 124 3.50    
 
DED-6   01/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN CARLOS Jan02 Dec20 Nov30 Nov14 Oct19 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 112 8.00    
SCR  CRAKEN JAX Jan05 Dec05 Jun01 May10 Mar09 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00    
3  LOUDERMILK Dec13 Nov06 Aug14 Jun08 May15 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAXIMUS FREEDOM Dec04 Oct23 Aug05     (gelner scott)BARRERA J 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  GUITAR DOCTOR Dec11 Oct23 Sep11 Aug16 Jul20 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 ★    
6  BAY BAYBE Dec27 Nov02 Aug23 Aug01 Sep11 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
7  ALL ABOUT CROGE Nov27 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug04 (tillis e)DEONAUTH P 120 20.00    
8  TRIPPLE D RULLER Dec04 Oct30 Oct16 Aug24 Jun15 (toups brent)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
9  MOTOR CITY Nov23 Nov01 Jul06 Jun14 Apr20 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
DED-7   01/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDDINGANDLEE Dec20 Nov30 Oct25 Aug09 Jun28 (arey anthony)THORNTON G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PITCH AND RUN Jan04 Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 May04 (dunn he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Dec20 Dec07 Nov09 Jul12 May22 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00    
4  MIDNIGHT HALO Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Jul25 (ramirez-rodr)BARRERA J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CHAD'S FLASH Dec12 Nov16 Aug15 Jul30 Jul03 (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 8.00    
6  HEAVENLY DEAL Jul16 May29       (johnson b)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
7  TITANIUM DEAL Dec20 Nov21 Sep04 Aug22 Jul12 (richard rus)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  GOBOT Dec06 Nov13 Oct29 Sep17 Aug07 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
9  A MILLION STARS Dec12 Aug13 Jun10 May04 Jul09 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED ON THE HEAD Dec18 Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Oct07 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 124 20.00    
2  RIP RULES Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Aug10 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  B D PRIMARY OURS Dec18 Nov22 Jul05 Apr25 Feb01 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 116 6.00    
4  WAY TOO TOUGH Jan03 Dec07 Nov20 Oct16 Aug17 (averett ronnie)ARANA KELVIN 116 10.00    
5  ALL IN GOOD TIME Sep17 Jul15 Jun19 Jun08 Aug27 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  KNIGHT'S GOLD Dec18 Nov16 Oct23 Jul25 Jun15 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 3.00    
7  SUMMER REUNION Nov22         (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
8  ALINES VALENTINE Nov23 Aug23 Jul13 Jun14 May23 (meche shane)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 12.00 12% 7.00    
9  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jan03 Dec12 Nov26 Oct19 Sep17 (patt jr)PEREZ CARLOS 116 4.00    
10  A G'S GEM Dec18 Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 Sep23 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  MIDDLEOFTHEFAIRWAY         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.