Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7)-(10/11/5/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/11/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/11/4/7)-(6/8/11/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7)-(10/11/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7)-(10/11/5/3/4)-(5/11/3/6/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (10/11/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/5/3/4)-(10/11/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/5/3/4)-(10/11/5/3/4)-(10/11/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/11/5/3/4)-(5/11/3/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/11/5/3/4)-(5/11/3/6/1)-(7/2/1/10/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (5/11/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/3/6/1)-(5/11/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/3/6/1)-(5/11/3/6/1)-(5/11/3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/11/3/6/1)-(7/2/1/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/11/3/6/1)-(7/2/1/10/4)-(6/12/11/2/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (7/2/1/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/10/4)-(7/2/1/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/10/4)-(7/2/1/10/4)-(7/2/1/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/1/10/4)-(6/12/11/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/12/11/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/11/2/1)-(6/12/11/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/11/2/1)-(6/12/11/2/1)-(6/12/11/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY BAY RAE Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 Apr18 Mar28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  SHARP ATTITUDE May02 Apr10 Mar14 Feb23 Apr22 (owens ko)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00    
3  MANHATTAN CHERRY Nov30 Jul07 Jun16 Apr03 Feb29 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
4  BIG BEAUTY Dec09 Apr03 Mar19 Feb06 Jan29 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
5  MUSICAL DIVA Dec05 Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  SHE'S MY NIECE Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (brown jared)MOJICA O 119 6.00 21% 3.90    
 
TUP-4   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIA Dec05 Jul28 Apr07 Feb22 Jan05 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
2  SHE'S SO SHINY Dec09 Aug30 Jun28 Jun07 Mar03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00    
SCR  PINK ACE Jun13 May10 Sep02 Aug10 Apr22 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
4  CHARMANT E Dec05 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SING A HAPPY SONG Nov30 Nov19 Sep05 Aug01 Apr28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  IN THE VAULT Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
7  HIGH GUNNER Jun01 May01 Mar25 Mar04 Feb06 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 7% 13.50    
8  AVENTAPP Dec09 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 May18 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
9  MS FLASHY HARBOR Dec03 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 Jul06 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 15.00    
 
TUP-5   12/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Nov26 Nov12 Sep01 Jan26 Oct29 (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
2  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Dec05 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep07 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
SCR  SURPRISE FASHION Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  ITS A BOY Dec11 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 Apr27 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLY NIGHTLY Dec11 Nov30 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 (ga)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
6  COASTAL WATERS Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Sep12 Aug29 (homer jason)REYES R 124 6.00 55% 0.80    
7  ALABAMA SLAMMER Dec17 Nov27 Nov05 Oct29 Sep29 (silva pablo)MONTALVO C 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Nov26 Nov12 Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  THE GOLDEN EGG Dec19 Nov27 Nov11 Sep07 Aug31 (l)ROJAS EDUARD 124 15.00    
10  DEFENSOR FORTIS Dec10 Nov18 Aug17 Aug03 Jul27 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
11  INESPERADO (FR) Dec09 Sep12 Aug10 Jul03 May25 (fuente)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  ARISTOCRACY Dec16 Dec02 Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBONEL Dec18 Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 (gutierrez)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
2  LOOKOUT PASS Dec18 Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
3  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Dec12 Nov13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Aug04 Jun24 Jan31 Sep12 Aug15 (v)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUPITA Dec18 Mar04 Feb13 Feb06 Jan29 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANCING NURSE Dec12 Nov15 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
7  PURR TIGER Dec12 Nov21 Nov13 Sep26 Sep01 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 15.00    
SCR  KNOW BARAA         (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
9  ULTRA GAME Oct13         (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
10  DAVID N RAYS CANDY Nov23 Sep28 May10     (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 60% 0.70    
11  OOPS (GB) Dec12 Oct19 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-7   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED JOULE Dec10 Aug18 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  O C RHAPSODY Nov12 Sep15 Jul04 Jun15   (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00    
3  SENSIBLE LUTE Dec10 Nov29 Nov19 Sep13 Aug17 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Dec10 Nov29 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 121 20.00    
5  SPORTY NUGGET Aug16 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 Jan26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 50% 1.00    
6  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Nov24 Nov10 Oct12 Jul14 Jun21 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRESNO CHILE Nov24 Oct26 Sep14 Jun21 May27 (peery debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
8  VANDULIE Dec09 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 124 3.50    
9  BANGO'S HEAT Dec19 Nov12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug15 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
10  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
11  SORORITY PARTY Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun15 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
12  CALIFORNIA DIVA Dec09 Nov29 Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   12/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER FALCON Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep21 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 9% 9.90    
2  AQUACAT Dec09 Nov30 Nov12 Oct24 Oct08 (adams h)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  WELLSWORT (IRE) Dec09 Nov19 Nov01 Sep21 Aug17 (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 3.00    
4  WODETON (FR) Nov12 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 Jul12 (fuentes ruben)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STREET BEHAVIOR Dec16 Dec05 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
6  LAB RAT Dec05 Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Aug12 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 10.00    
7  WAR CHEST Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 57% 0.80    
8  CLUB MESQUITE Dec03 Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
9  PICAHOUSE Dec12 Nov27 Nov11 Oct05 Sep21 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
10  DENNARD Dec09 Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 Sep29 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-9   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN NINJA Dec16 Nov29 Apr23 Apr08 Nov04 (so)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 14% 6.40    
2  HATAGASAL Nov29 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun14 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  MOBLEY Dec16 Nov29 Sep14     (carlson d)IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
4  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Dec16 Nov29 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 (nelson amy)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
5  GOTHAM'S FINALE May31 May18 May04 Apr09 Jan29 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
6  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Dec16 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Sep21 (silva p)HUGHES RASHEED 121 3.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM Dec03 Nov18       (s)ROJAS EDUARD 121 10.00    
8  R D STIMULUS Dec19 Sep23 Sep06     (baze ro)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
9  PAISLEES PROMISE Nov14 Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 Jul07 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00    
10  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Apr23 Mar28 Feb29 Apr05 Mar12 (o'brien dann)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
11  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Dec19 Nov29 Oct07 Sep24 Mar04 (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 14% 5.90    
12  BIG MOONIE Dec03 Nov14 Oct16 Sep02 Mar18 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.