Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/2)-(3/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/2)-(3/6/9/2)-(3/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/2)-(6/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/2)-(6/3/8/7)-(5/6/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(5/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(5/6/3/2)-(8/4/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(8/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(8/4/5/1)-(7/10/5/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/1)-(7/10/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/1)-(7/10/5/3/6)-(2/8/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/10/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/3/6)-(7/10/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/3/6)-(7/10/5/3/6)-(7/10/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/5/3/6)-(2/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5/3/6)-(2/8/7/5)-(10/5/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/5)-(10/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/5)-(10/5/9/1)-(10/5/3/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/1)-(10/5/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/1)-(10/5/8/9/1)-(10/5/8/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/9/1)-(10/5/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/1)-(10/5/3/7/1)-(2/5/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/5/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/7/1)-(10/5/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/7/1)-(10/5/3/7/1)-(10/5/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/7/1)-(2/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/1/6)-(2/5/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVELADY BOLT         (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
2  SECURITYLIGHTNING Sep21 Aug23       (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISSPENT Nov20 Oct13       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 67% 0.50    
4  PRAYED FOR GIRL Aug31 Aug10 Jul26     (dobber w)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
SCR  BINGO BABY Nov15         (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
6  CAVALLA Oct03 Sep05 Aug15 Jul13   (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SNOW IS FLYING Oct02         (dini mike)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
8  MY FINE AQUILINE Nov29 Sep26 Sep13     (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00    
9  QUEEN DIANA         (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CENTEYA Oct04         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
11  LA CHUECA Nov22         (lopez mario)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 20.00    
SCR  SUNNY MONDAY         (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  CLAIMED Oct19 Sep21       (damen daniel)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
SCR  FULL EXCHANGE Oct26 Sep13 Aug17     (laurin roger)FERRER C 119 2.50    
 
TAM-2   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE GOT THIS Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug12 (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
2  PICCATA PRINCE Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 Jul24 Jul07 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 114 20.00    
3  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Nov20 Aug03 Jul21 Jun14 May25 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  RED ABARRIO Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 (romero rafael)GIL CIPRIANO 121 8.00    
5  BIVOL Nov20 Nov09 Sep27 Aug31 Aug09 (kutt donna)GONZALEZ E 111 4.50    
6  DETERMINED FREEDOM Nov03 Oct26 Jan07     (smith r)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  MITHRIDATES Nov20 Oct30 Sep28 Sep21 Sep02 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BREEZE THE BAYOU Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 Jun21 Jun02 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-3   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICKELEENE Nov29 Jul20       (bowersock mari)COTTO L 122 12.00    
2  FULL BLAST         (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DABOOM Sep26 Aug22       (dimmett james)BUSH V 122 10.00 8% 11.40    
4  MIDNIGHT LEGEND Oct27 Sep26 Aug15     (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
5  C SUITE BOY Oct03 Aug22 Jul28     (contessa)GALLARDO A 122 1.00 49% 1.10    
6  IN THE WEEDS         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  SWIFT JAIME         (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 124 6.00    
 
TAM-4   12/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUXTON ROCKS Oct08 Sep23 Aug19 Aug05 Jun12 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
2  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00    
3  WOODS HOLE Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul18 Jun13 (dimmett james)BUSH V 122 5.00    
4  LADY DOMINANCE Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 May05 Oct14 (schuh tim)BRACHO A 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
5  SET THE PACE Nov23 Sep23 Sep07 Jul05 Jun02 (arnett g)HESS SARA 115 3.50 9% 10.10    
6  EAST WING Nov23 Jul26 Jun27 May03 Apr19 (marrero n)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00    
7  AUBURN May01 Apr19 Sep25 Sep08 Aug24 (lusk brian )GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 30.00    
8  ONE TOUGH DAME Aug24 Jul20 May29 Mar23 Feb24 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
TAM-5   12/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKREVENGE Oct27 Oct13 Aug24 Jul26 Jun30 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
2  ALLONS Jun07 May26 May03 Mar30 Jan26 (creel rick)ALONSO LUIS 121 10.00    
3  VERIFIABLE Nov03 Mar22 Feb11 Jun30 Jun03 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYA C Oct04 Aug15 Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 (hardesty lesli)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
5  BONMATI Oct20 Aug30 Jul20 Jul05 May26 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  JASSAI Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  EVIE DOES IT Nov23 Oct24 Sep27 Sep14 Jul07 (sacco greg)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
8  PLAY FREE BIRD Oct18 Sep13 Aug17 Jul26 Jun21 (contessa gary)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
9  AMERICAN PEACHES Nov29 Oct18 Oct04 Sep18 Aug14 (lopez mario )BATISTA A 118 20.00    
10  WEST COAST SONG Oct10 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul27 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  BOLT OF PARADISE Oct12 Sep21 Jul26 Jun30 Jun21 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
SCR  BLUE VORTEX Nov29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 30.00    
SCR  SYLLABUS Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 Aug23 Aug14 (dominguez r)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 Jul06 Mar20 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
 
TAM-6   12/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUISING DEREK Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jul13 Jun11 (mazza w)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
2  EJTIMAA Nov29 Nov05 Apr12 Mar22 Feb17 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  SAN COSTANTINO Nov29 Sep24 Sep06 Aug12 Jul25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
4  OSPREY Nov20 Oct12 Sep02 Jul26 Jul02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
5  DUNE ROAD Nov27 Oct15 Oct03 Sep16 Aug21 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00 7% 14.30    
6  EVERDOIT Nov20 Oct24 Sep11 Aug17 Jul27 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00    
7  OCEAN OF STORMS Nov29 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 Aug02 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
8  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Nov20 Nov01 Sep29 Aug04 Jul13 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
TAM-7   12/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Oct23 Oct01 Sep24 Sep17 Aug21 (torres r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SILVER STYLE Oct24 Sep26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul18 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
3  AWESOME PRINCE Oct11 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
4  WOKE UP IN LOVE Nov20 Oct10 Sep26 Sep16 May20 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
5  NUTSIE Nov11 Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
6  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Nov20 Oct17 Oct04 Sep21 Sep04 (posadas pedro)FERRER C 120 8.00    
7  DESANTIS Nov27 Oct30 Oct12 Oct05 Sep18 (ramirez ricard)COTTO L 120 5.00    
8  RUMOHR REIGNS Oct27 Sep14 Aug09 Oct08 Sep16 (smith ro)CASTANON L 120 6.00 ★    
9  CHAMPAGNEONME Nov06 Oct05 Sep25 Aug29   (lopez mar)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  COURT AND SPARK Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 60% 0.70    
 
TAM-8   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICIAN STONE May29 May17       (marrero nesto)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FENWICK Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Dec02 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.00    
3  LIEUTENANT STAN Nov29 Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 Jul12 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
4  RUSSIAN HAMMER Nov27 Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
5  ESTILO MAGICO Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 Aug02 Jun07 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 25% 3.10    
6  EE YAH Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 Jun20 Feb11 (ocasio osvaldo)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
7  INDULGE Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Sep20 Aug10 (simone m)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 8% 12.30    
8  BURN JAKEY BURN Sep21 Aug04 Jul05 Jun10 May11 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
9  HAP'S VICTORY Nov27 Oct24 Sep26 Sep07 Jun18 (barrett grantle)BAYS BROOKE 113 20.00    
10  D COLDEST Nov01 Oct11 Feb03 Jan14 Nov18 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  LUKAS PRINCE Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Jul21 Jun23 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   12/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABOO MISCHIEF Jul27         (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
2  INTO AMORE         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EMBELLISH THE LACE by SUPER SAVER)
3  LADY ABERDEEN Oct11 Sep14 Sep04 Jul27 Jul05 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HIGHLAND PRIDE by LION HEART)
4  THE GODDESS FACTOR         (o'connell kat)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
5  PALACE LIGHTS Sep29         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LITTLE CYCLONE by CITY ZIP)
6  GROWTH RATE Jun15 May02 Feb24 Jan27 Aug20 (smith rob)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
7  AMATA Oct12         (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of YOU'RE BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
8  SOUNDTRACK Nov20 Sep26 Sep13 Jul28   (arnett j)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PARTY GOER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  ANNULLED         (pletcher t)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of SINDY WITH AN S by BROKEN VOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.