Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/5)-(5/4/1)-(4/7/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/7/5/6)-(5/4/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6)-(5/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/6)-(5/4/1/8)-(9/3/2/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/8)-(9/3/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/8)-(9/3/2/7/5)-(10/7/2/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-5   WIN (9/3/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/7/5)-(9/3/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/7/5)-(9/3/2/7/5)-(9/3/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/2/7/5)-(10/7/2/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/7/5)-(10/7/2/9/8)-(9/1/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-6   WIN (10/7/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/2/9/8)-(10/7/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/2/9/8)-(10/7/2/9/8)-(10/7/2/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/2/9/8)-(9/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/6)-(9/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/6)-(9/1/4/6)-(9/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD IN THE WIND Nov13 Oct17 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  SHORT OF DINERO Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 6.00    
3  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Oct23 Jul11 Jun19 May31 May03 (stowers michelle)FLORES E 120 4.50    
4  BRACCESCA Oct31 Oct03 Jul11 Jun12 Apr28 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
5  PEACE OUT Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct04 Sep01 (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  STYLE TO FOLLOW Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 Oct11 Sep07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WARRIOR'S MISS May15 Mar01 Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-2   12/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST MONEY Nov11 Oct21 Aug14 Jul27 Jun24 (bravo-estrada)RIVERA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HE'S ON FIRE Nov16 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep20 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
3  MEMORY BOUQUET Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 Aug23 Aug16 (kreiser c)FLORES E 123 4.50    
4  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Nov16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep15 Aug31 (siculietan)GONZALEZ L 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  LOOKIN AT ROSES Nov13 Oct19 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (preciado guada)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  ALVY Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun22 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.50    
SCR  CURLINGTON Nov06 Sep27 Aug30 Aug01 Jul05 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
 
PEN-3   12/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RHUMJAR Nov17 Oct12 Sep15 Sep02 Aug10 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 121 4.50    
SCR  BONDED (IRE) Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 (martin )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 20.00    
3  JACKIE A Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 Aug21 Aug06 (fields kevin)CORA D 121 20.00    
4  BERKS Nov11 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 Dec22 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 49% 1.00    
5  ALWAYS GAMBLING Nov13 Oct26 Sep13 Jul28 Jul20 (singh somraj)FUENTES ERICK 114 3.00 8% 10.80    
6  WINNING DRIVE Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SYNONYM Nov09 Sep20 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SMOKIN' ALONE Nov20 Nov04 Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 121 30.00    
SCR  GOOSE HUNTER Oct14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug26 Aug07 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
10  MARTINI MARTIN Nov19 Oct24 Jul05 Jun08 May07 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 121 8.00    
11  TUBTIMSIAM Nov15 Oct20 Aug17 Jul26 Jul19 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPID RESPONSE Sep18 Aug02 Jun26 May24 May03 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  GUARDIAN PRINCE Nov07 Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 Jul17 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
3  FAST FREEZE KAZ Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 Jun13 May10 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
4  SASSY LAD Oct30 Oct12 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
5  LLOYD Oct06 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jun29 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  PALM ISLAND Oct28 Sep23 Aug16 Jul13 Jun09 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00    
SCR  DARK TIMBER Nov16 Oct30 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
8  LILTONYTWOPHONES Nov07 Aug07 Jun19 Jun04 May02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TARSUS WARRIOR Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Nov07 Oct16 Sep28 Sep13 Jun12 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00    
2  DOUBLE NICKEL Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep21 Sep13 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Nov15 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
4  UNCLE GEORGY Nov10 Sep18 Aug16 Jul10 Jun18 (meister w)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
5  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Nov08 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOS DE OROS Nov18 Oct21 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
7  LUCKY LINUS Nov15 Oct24 Aug16 Jul25 Jul08 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
8  HAVE NO REGRETS Nov15 Oct21 Sep25 Sep03 Aug09 (martin f)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
9  JOEY TICKLES Nov03 Sep12 Jul12 Jun24   (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-6   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASKED HEROINE Jul05 Mar13 Feb14 Jan31 Dec28 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 121 20.00    
2  CATALINA CRUZIN Oct23 Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  LADY LANCER Nov14 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (sepulveda carl)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
SCR  HUSHEMUP Nov07 Oct13 Sep13 Jun18 May16 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
5  PASSING BAYOU Nov01 Oct16 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 10.00    
6  SOMETHING SILLY Nov14 Oct07 Sep19 Aug07 Jul24 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
7  NATURE TRAIL Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug13 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 125 3.50 12% 7.30    
8  ZIFFY BUG Nov07 Oct23 Sep19 Sep11 Sep04 (kravets bru)ROBLES O 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  DISCO FLASH Oct29 Oct12 Sep20 Aug21 Jul31 (padilla o)AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.50 9% 9.80    
10  MO TRAFFIC Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 Jul24 Jun15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   12/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERMONDSEY Nov14 Oct23 Sep11 Aug16 Jul05 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  CALL ME NOW Nov20 Oct19 Sep18 Aug30 Jul12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00    
3  RUDY RUDY RUDY Nov08 Oct20 Sep27 Sep20 Aug31 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 3.50    
4  SPOOKY ONE Nov14 Nov01 Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
6  MIGHTY MINION Nov13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  WE DONT NEED ROADS Nov13 Oct24 Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
8  BOOK MARKER Nov13 Oct10 Sep09 May23 May10 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 12.00    
9  OVER AND THUNDER Nov13 Oct23 Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.