Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/8)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8)-(4/1/3/7)-(5/7/1/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(5/7/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7)-(5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/7/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/9/4)-(5/7/4)-(4/6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(4/6/1/7)-(5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/8/1/7)-(4/6/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/7)-(5/7)-(8/1/9/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(8/1/9/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/1/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/10)-(8/1/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/10)-(8/1/9/10)-(8/1/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESTINANO Jul17 Jun26 May24 Jan18 Dec20 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
SCR  TOOLPUSHER Nov03 Oct20 Aug26 Aug10 Jun08 (dunham b)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
KISS THEM DEADLY Nov06 Oct27 Sep20 Aug30 Jul17 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
BILL OF RIGHTS Nov12 Oct24 Sep29 Aug03 Jul27 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
PENTATONIC Nov06 Sep23 Aug07 Jun11 May22 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
STRIDER'S SLIDER Nov06 Oct08 Sep18 Aug16 Aug02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
BAZINGA D Nov07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun04 May16 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
FILTHY RICH Nov06 Aug28 Jul10 Jun11 May09 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISSOLUTE Oct25 May12 Nov12 Oct13   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
LITTLE LIA Sep14 Aug25 Aug09 Jun16 May18 (martin ra)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
CHARM ALARM Mar07 Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 23% 3.30    
PROFITUNITY Nov01 Sep28 Aug28 Apr20 Mar27 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  NORMANDY LIFE Nov01 Sep23 Aug28 Aug01 Jul11 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  NICOLE'S JOURNEY Nov01 Jul05       (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
ARUMA Nov06 Oct05 Sep04 Aug28 Aug01 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MADELINE'S GROGU Oct25 Aug24 Aug03 Jul17 May26 (spina charles)CORA D 121 6.00    
FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Jun23 May15       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00    
10  UNDICI Nov05 Sep04 Aug22 Jul09 Jun12 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
 
PEN-3   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Chocolate Town Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD VINE Nov01 Aug26 Aug16 Jul19 Jun26 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by RED VINE out of PRASLIN by EVEN THE SCORE)
MY REDEMPTION Sep02 Aug16 Jul15 Jun24 May10 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
  (by MILWAUKEE BREW out of MY LIST by BANKER'S GOLD)
CLASSIC UNION Nov06 Sep23 Jul17 Jun24 May08 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 123 4.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DIXIE'S COMFORT by DIXIE UNION)
JAYJAYDEE Nov01 Oct09 Sep14 Aug16 Aug08 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUMP START out of MISS HOLICONG by FIRST SAMURAI)
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Oct19 Aug30 Jul24 Jul05 May31 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
MARKET MAVEN Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Jul23 Jun23 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 8.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MY SONATA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
BYK Nov02 Sep27 Aug30 Dec29 Nov25 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MYKINDASAINT by SAINT BALLADO)
HOMETOWN HERO Nov06 Oct03 Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 119 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Oct30 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12 (lingenfelter thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SANTIN'S ANNA by CONCORD POINT)
10  WISH FOR PEACE Nov06 Sep24 Aug16 Jul24 Jun25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of PALOMA MESA by SKY MESA)
 
PEN-4   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Susquehanna Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAN POINT Nov01 Aug30 Jul11 May24 May02 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 119 12.00    
  (by OXBOW out of FLEET SPECIAL by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  PAULA'S SURPRISE Oct24 Sep24 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 (kravets bruce )HIRALDO JOHN 123 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
STASSI Nov08 Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 Jul11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
SOCIAL LADY Nov01 Oct20 Sep05 Jul11 Jun16 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of GRAEMY by GRAEME HALL)
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Nov05 Oct16 Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
SCR  ADIOS MEISTER Nov21 Oct10 Sep20 Aug15 Jul24 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 15.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LADRONA by BODEMEISTER)
DOCTOR ABBIE Nov01 Oct17 Sep21 Aug17 Jul24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
FILTERED LIGHT Oct25 Oct09 Aug30 Jul26 Jul04 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LEAFY SHADE by NEW APPROACH)
 
PEN-5   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Shamrock Rose Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC JO Oct30         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DAHTESTE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
QUERY Nov14 Oct23       (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  VANAKA Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 Sep14 Jul11 (ashby lynn)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 15.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of INDIVIDUALISTIC by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
DIXIELAND BELLE Oct14         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIXIE SERENADE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
QUERCUS Nov14 Oct23       (kravets bruce )HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BELLFLOWER by CHEROKEE RUN)
ICONA MAMA Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jul22   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CLASSE SIGNORA by BERNSTEIN)
MANDY'S MISS Oct03         (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of CODE VARIANCE by AWESOME AGAIN)
DADOO Oct22         (reid ro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BREE'S GOT HEART by COLONEL JOHN)
IRACEBETH Oct23         (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of THAT JONES GIRL by SMARTY JONES)
10  QUIVIRA CRANE Sep28         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
 
PEN-6   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Nov13 Oct24 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 6.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Nov01 Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 (agnew naois)INIRIO J 125 10.00    
NAUTICAL NATURE Oct24 Aug15 Jul11 Jun06 Mar06 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 12.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul06 Jun09 May19 Mar15 Feb29 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 4.50    
BLAZING RED May23 May03 Mar30 Feb23 Jan30 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 125 2.50 65% 0.50    
DR RAGS Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 Sep04 Aug12 (fields kevin)CORA D 125 3.00    
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON Nov13 May29 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (smith tho)HERNANDEZ A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S CAUSE Oct23 Oct02 Sep24 Aug19 Jul31 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 5.00    
 
PEN-7   11/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR ON TAP Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 (kulp brando)RAMOS O 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  BRADY Nov08 Oct25 Aug21 Jun11 May17 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.00    
SCR  ON THE CHILL Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 Aug01 Jul17 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
SNIP THE ROSES Nov08 Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 (fields kevi)INIRIO J 123 20.00    
DOUBLE O OTTO Oct31 Oct07 Sep24 Mar27 Mar12 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50    
SCR  BLACKWATER FALLS Nov03 Oct17 Jul21 Jun14 May31 (bryant l)MENA E 123 20.00    
SCR  DUKE OF DOOLY Oct31 Oct17 Oct09 Sep19 Aug31 (sepulveda)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
STORMQUIST Nov15 Sep02 Jul12 May27 May12 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
DELETED VIDEO Nov08 Oct25 Sep16 Aug30 Jun29 (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TOWN KISSER Nov07 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRYSONS OPTION Oct31 Oct09 Jul27 Jul03 May26 (iannotti thomas)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 May12 Apr26 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.