Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(2/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/1)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(5/7/2)-(6/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(6/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(6/8/2)-(7/5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2)-(6/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2)-(7/5/6/3)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/4)-(3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/4)-(3/4/1)-(7/2/3/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(7/2/3/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-9   WIN (7/2/3/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6/9)-(7/2/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6/9)-(7/2/3/6/9)-(7/2/3/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST ACE Oct23 Oct08 Sep11 Aug12 Jul16 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T POKE THE CAT Oct23 Sep24 Sep17 Sep10 Jul15 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
SUPERB SURPRISE Jul29 Jun24 Jun11 Nov07 Aug28 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
OLD MAN WINTER Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 4.00    
SUTTON BREEZE Oct23 Oct14 Sep30 Sep11 Sep01 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 118 8.00 19% 4.40    
MARTINKELLY Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug05 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 118 5.00    
 
FL-2   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Oct22 Oct01 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 (grusmark k)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE SHE'S SHADOW Oct16 Oct01 Jul10 Jun25 May28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
SOL EMPERATRIZ Oct07 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 121 6.00    
LADY LAWRENCE Oct08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (reed lis)DAVIS A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRAB THE GLORY Oct15 Aug10 Jul11 Apr11 Mar28 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 2.00 15% 5.60    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Oct15 Jul01 May14 Apr30 Mar14 (wadams de)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00    
IMPERMANENCE Oct07 Jul30 Jul01 Jun05 May13 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00    
 
FL-3   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABE HONESTLY Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Dec29 (johnston rob)COA J 124 5.00    
CAPTAINOFMYHEART Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MASS APPEAL Oct01 Sep16 Aug21 Jul16 Jun10 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
MAX FOSTER Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
HONOR AMONG MEN Oct22 Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jul08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
GONNA BE DANCING Oct21 Sep25 Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
SON OF DARKNESS Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 8% 11.20    
 
FL-4   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASSEY HALL Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 Jul08 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
BENCH WALK Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 15.00 7% 14.20    
PERUVIAN BOY Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Mar02 Feb08 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
SCR  UNCLE MILTIE Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 124 6.00    
SCR  PLAY BALL Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug12 (loaiza ilmar)BROWN DALTON 124 8.00    
GIMMEDAMONEY Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 Aug12 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
DOUBLE VISION Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug20 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug20 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
FL-5   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T BEAT ME May20 Apr29 Mar22 Mar03 Jan06 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
1A  SHARPAZ Sep24 Sep03 Aug07 Jul22 May29 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
C J'S GRAND SLAM Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jun26 May29 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
BRACIOLE Oct23 Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Jan12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOLEY MATRIMONY Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
POP COYER Oct16 Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 Jun19 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
STEWIE Oct04 Sep10 Aug28 Jun26 Jun12 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
LIMIT UP Aug21 Jul08 Jun11 May27 May07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
FL-6   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIOUS MO Oct22 Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
TOMMY THE TORCH Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Jul31 Jun27 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 3.00    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 Aug11 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
INVALUABLE WILL Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep16 Sep04 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
DOUBLE SHOT Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  NORGAY Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 5.00    
 
FL-7   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BUTTERFLY Oct09 Sep16 Dec08 Oct06 Aug16 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
PRACTICAL RACHEL Oct22 Sep24 Aug13 Jul24 Jun06 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00    
BUSTIN TIME Oct11 Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 May14 (dav)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 10.00    
MA MI JO DREAMS Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 May14 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
IXODES Oct02 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 10.00    
JACKSON AVENUE Oct16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul04 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 4.00    
SHE'S A FREUD Oct16 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
FABULOUS FOX Oct22 Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Jul28 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
FL-8   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBRACEABLE GAL Oct14 Sep17 Aug14 Jul22 Jun18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 Jul02 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
MISS BETTY Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul11 (kintz matthew)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 69% 0.50    
GONE AND FORGOTTEN Oct21 Sep26 Sep17 Sep02 Aug02 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 7% 14.10    
COLLECT DATTT Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 Aug04 Jun16 (johnston rob)COA J 124 15.00    
SCR  NO CHALK Sep21 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul08 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  CUZ UR PRETTY Oct09 Sep17 Jul22 Jun10 May07 (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.00    
TRUE EMPRESS Sep17 Aug28 Jul22 Jun15 May24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
 
FL-9   11/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O K GAME ON Oct22 Oct09 Sep30 Sep16 Jul31 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
SIGHT UNSEEN Oct23 Nov21 Nov08 Oct09 Sep25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
ANGELIC MISSION Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Oct15 Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul16 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
KODIAK BROWN Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00    
SEATIGER Oct09 Sep30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
JACOBA Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (pet)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
TOWN JAK Oct22 Oct09 Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
INTERSTATE Oct01 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (lopez arcadio)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.