Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(1/5/4/8)-(4/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/8)-(4/5/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/8)-(4/5/3/7)-(7/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(7/2/5)-(3/9/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(3/9/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(3/9/4/7)-(7/6/2/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/4/7)-(7/6/2/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/9/4/7)-(7/6/2/5/10)-(4/5/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/6/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5/10)-(7/6/2/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5/10)-(7/6/2/5/10)-(7/6/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/2/5/10)-(4/5/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5/10)-(4/5/2/6)-(7/3/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(7/3/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIONIC KAT Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 12.00    
2  PENNY POLKA Oct01 Aug13 Jul30 Nov17 Oct14 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60    
3  LAST GLIMMER Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jul10 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Oct01 Sep16 Aug13 Jul30 Jun11 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
5  MY JANNET Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Aug05 (kleine berna)ALENCAR WALBER 119 4.00    
6  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Oct02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ZEE         (buhrow d)JIMENEZ S 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
2  ROCK TUNE Oct03 Sep24 Sep11 Apr29 Mar18 (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 4.50    
3  BOLD NICKY Oct03 Sep23 Sep04 Jul01 Jun17 (buhrow j)RODRIGUEZ O 124 10.00    
4  IMFREEFALLIN Sep20 Aug23 Jul31     (sharp j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
5  LENA KAHLENA Jul29         (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 114 3.00 13% 6.60    
6  TERRITORIALITY May02 Mar30 Mar16     (gowan william)ALLEN D 124 6.00    
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jul04 Jun25 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.50    
8  SUNSET VIBES Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTALOO KANGAROO Sep24 Aug26 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
2  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Jul09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
3  MOMENTOUS MISS Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 Jul11 Jun22 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  GARNET AND GOLD Sep24         (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  ARGUMENTAL Sep16 Nov01 Sep15 Apr30 Mar24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
6  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 Apr28   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
7  MEET IN SECRET Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 May17 (brafford mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVADEER Oct01 Sep17 Aug12     (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00    
2  DYNO WAR         (morey e)ALLEN M 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  COMPLEX CAT Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 May14 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
4  BAYTOWN BULLEIT Sep11 Aug15 May09 Apr26   (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
5  BAYTOWN FURY Sep09 Aug25       (mcentee paul)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARROLL'S HONOR         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 4.00    
7  STIFLING HEAT Oct01         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  STREET HOCKEY Oct06 Jun23       (schoenth)GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERY LITTLE BIT Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 May22 Oct25 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
SCR  SOLAIR Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50    
3  QUEEN WIGGY Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  MAGIC LIFE Oct07 Sep26 Sep04 Aug18 Jul24 (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
6  I'M HEADING EAST Sep26 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 Jun11 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 3.50    
7  DOWN TO EARTH Oct07 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (ruberto )RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILD LOOKER Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
9  CHEROKEE CHATTER Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug21 Aug14 (carr-roz)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
PID-6   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul18 Jun07 (gotera )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
2  UNDERTOW Oct03 Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 Jul17 (pickett cryst)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
3  OUTSTANDING DEBT Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul23 (maver ed)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
4  COUNTRY RUCKUS Oct08 Sep25 Aug07 Dec26 Sep21 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 122 15.00    
5  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Sep25 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 Jun24 (russell ran)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
6  BLAMEITONMYMOMMA Oct03 Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  SMART JOKER Sep25 Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 Apr03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
8  THOUSAND LOVES Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug07 (kleine berna)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
SCR  ON HIS TOES Oct03 Aug27 Jul17 May15 Apr24 (winters mich)HALDAR J 122 15.00    
10  BACKDOORPARTY Oct03 Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEGRA GATA Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 Oct20 Oct06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
2  FRACING NASTY Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 May07 Mar28 (reed r)WHITACRE B 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
3  GREEN CHILE Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul10 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
4  ROCK N REWARD Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
5  CLOUD IN THE WIND Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 10% 8.80    
6  CUPID MISSED Sep24 Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Sep24 Sep03 Aug19 Jul31 Jul04 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 10.00    
8  MY BEST DAY EVER Oct01 Sep11 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST WATCH ME NOW Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (miller henry )WALKER M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUMMERFEST Oct08 Sep20 Aug31 Jan03 Dec06 (urieta j)GALLARDO A 124 10.00    
3  ENJOY THE MUSIC Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  JUPITER BLUES Sep07 Aug23 Apr06 Mar09 Feb04 (bowersock ma)AYALA J 124 5.00    
5  WROTE IN STONE Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Jul30 Jul15 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00    
7  THE SINNER IS YOU Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Jun26 Jun10 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 May22 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 124 15.00    
9  UBIQUITOUS Oct08 Sep26 Jul28 Jun27 May04 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
10  LITTLE BIG Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  PORSUPUESTO Oct10 Aug30 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 117 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.