Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/3)-(5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/4/3)-(1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/3/2)-(2/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/8/5)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(2/5)-(8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/4)-(9/7/2/6/4) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-7   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/4)-(9/7/2/6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/7/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/6/4)-(9/7/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/6/4)-(9/7/2/6/4)-(9/7/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET LAUNCHER Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
2  HEIDI N SEEK Aug22 Aug03       (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 121 5.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
3  DISCO MUSIC Aug02 Jul05 Jun27 May15 Oct06 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
4  ANYGIVENDAY Aug19 Jul29       (cline c)OUZTS W 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SATURDAY'S CATCH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  KETTLE COALMINE         (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
6  EARL'S STORMY WIND Aug22 Aug03       (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of BRICK BY BRICK by GRAND CIRCUS PARK)
 
BTP-2   09/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVES OF LIBERTY Aug22 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
2  COUSIN MINNIE Aug07         (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.50    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
3  MIDNIGHT GODDESS         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
4  COME ON ARLENE Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07   (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
5  THISTLE QUEEN         (cline c)MURGIA A 119 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of SINFUL DELIGHT by BLAME)
 
BTP-3   09/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CLIFFHANGER Aug22 Aug02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 125 4.00    
2  CARSON N SPENCE Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 Jun05 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50    
3  KETTLE KING Aug23 Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 May21 (mauro juli)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHAKE THE FROST Aug23 Jul06 Jun19 Jan18 Dec18 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  MR. HIGH POCKETS Aug23 Aug15 Jul05 Jun27   (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-4   09/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY'S GIFT Jul12 May24 Mar27 Mar13 Feb24 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Aug06 Jul09 Jun19 Jun08 May23 (woodbury judy)MURGIA A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRERY TALE Aug03 Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 May18 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 14% 6.40    
4  READY PURSUIT Aug04 Jul20 May16 Apr27 Mar14 (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 123 5.00    
5  EL BOHEMIO Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 Sep01 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50    
6  IMPROBABLE STORY Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/06/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UME Aug09 Jun18       (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 121 3.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
2  TOURING WITH NETTA Aug09 Jun11 Apr26     (ward dean)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by TOURIST out of WAYNETTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  CANT FAKE THE HATE         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STORM RISING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  COURT COSTS Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 124 6.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
5  TIZ OBLIVION         (knippenber)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 8.00 12% 7.20    
  (by TIZNOW out of INTO OBLIVION by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  UOME May28 May10       (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 121 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DISTINGUISHABLE by AMERICAN CHANCE)
SCR  I'LL TAKE PERFECT         (reed r)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
8  STORY CHANNEL Aug21 Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Jun01 (monday kevin)JURADO EDDIE 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OPEN STORY by OPEN FORUM)
 
BTP-6   09/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LATE DATE Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 May31 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00    
2  LESOTHO Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 Jun05 Aug12 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.00 57% 0.80    
3  MS. DEBBIE ALAN Aug21 Oct30 Sep27 Sep05   (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00    
4  SHADY BABY Aug21 Jul25 May15 Mar27 Mar12 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
5  LACY QUEEN Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 May24 (aguirre jua)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   09/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS TEN K Aug21 Jan26 Dec23     (caramori caio)SOSA LAUREANO 124 8.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
2  CAT'S SYMPHONY Aug17 Jul11 Jun04 May04 Apr13 (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 ★    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
3  JOYFUL CROWN (IRE) Aug24 Jul11       (ramos rafae)JIMENEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  ELLE'S DANCER Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 Apr17 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GYPSY ANGEL ROW by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  SKYLAROSE Jul13 May30       (o'neill dou)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 ★    
  (by SKY MESA out of PISTOL PACKIN ROSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  REAL QUEEN Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 Mar27 Mar06 (cristel mar)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  MY WORD May09 Apr17       (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  BRIC A BRAC Jun21 May31 Jan25 Dec14 Nov09 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
 
BTP-8   09/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELOPER Aug14 Jul24 Jul08 Jun22 Mar25 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.50    
2  MIRO MOGO Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 (nocero carmin)SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
3  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE) Jul12 Jun15 Jun01 May09 Apr11 (barrett roddi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
4  FABULOUS PHILLY Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May30 May03 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZERO CLICK Jul27 Jul14 Jun14 Apr30 Mar29 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
6  POISED Jul10 Jun17 May22 Apr17 Mar01 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 119 15.00 6% 14.60    
7  KACHOW Jul18 Jun26 Jun01 Apr23 Mar30 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
8  LANDY Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 May17 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 6.00    
9  PATRIETTIC Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.50 33% 2.10    
10  MORNING REFLECTION Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.