Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/7/3)-(4/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(4/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(4/7/1)-(1/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(1/4/6/2)-(2/3/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(2/3/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(2/3/7/1)-(9/1/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(9/1/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(9/1/6/2)-(7/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/2)-(9/1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/2)-(9/1/6/2)-(9/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/2)-(7/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/2)-(7/1/4)-(1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(1/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M THE CABANA BOY Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 May29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
2  BOURBON WARRIOR Jul13 May17 Apr21 Mar17 Jan25 (antus lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHANGE THE HOUR Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
4  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Jul24 Jul07 Jun26 May29 Nov12 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  DISCO CENTS Aug12 Jul16 Jul09 Jun04 May22 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50    
6  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Aug19 May23 May09 Apr12 Mar13 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  TWELVETWO Aug12 Jul24 Oct19 Oct02 Sep19 (herrington cally)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
 
PID-2   08/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONT DU GARD Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 Jun12 May20 (schaber deb)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00    
SCR  WROTE IN STONE Jul30 Jul15 Jul04 Jun05 May20 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50    
3  BAKENEKO Jul30 Jun22 May25 May04 Mar24 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  PATRIOT DRIVE Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun12 Oct10 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 8.00    
5  JO JO HANS Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
6  SIR TERRE Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun05 May02 (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00    
7  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Aug14 Jul15 Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PID-3   08/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUINAMOUS Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May22 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAST GLIMMER Aug13 Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
3  MY JANNET Aug14 Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 Apr28 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
4  EMPIRES PRINCESS Aug17 Jun21 Jun02 May16 Apr20 (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  PRISCILLA'S COVE Aug12 Jul15 Jun11 May04 Apr05 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 2.00    
6  CUPID MISSED Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 May20 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00    
7  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Aug19 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
PID-4   08/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT ONE Aug13 Jul19 Jun17 May22 Nov10 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 118 1.40 59% 0.70    
2  CARMEL SUNRISE Aug13 Jul08 Jun18 Feb11 Jan20 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
4  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 Apr13 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
5  READY SHE IS Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
6  SWEET NOLA Aug07 Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  JULIETTE FALLS Aug13 Jul10 Jun11 May22 Sep19 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   08/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT CRUISER Aug06 Aug23 Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  YADI Aug19 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  THALBERG Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
4  JEN'S SONG Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 May21 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
5  KHOZANDO Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May29 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 4.00    
6  RICHARD HOOTY Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 Oct19 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.50    
7  ARAK Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (gilmartin bre)WALKER M 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
PID-6   08/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROARING JUSTICE         (oliver victoria)MARTINEZ W 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CAT FIGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
2  HIGHTAIL FOX         (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of FOXSTER by OXBOW)
3  HIGHS N LOWS Aug12 Jul24 Jul08     (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
4  GRAND MORNING (IRE)         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
5  RANSOM MONEY Aug12 Jul24       (connelly tere)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of C C'S PAL by ALEX'S PAL)
6  IT'S NOT OVER YET Aug14         (reed lis)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  THE BOY'S WARRIOR         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of INCIARTE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LITTLE THUNDER         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of CIRCULAR RAINBOW by CIRCULAR QUAY)
9  DRUNKLE Aug12 Jul09       (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
PID-7   08/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLAIR Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 Dec27 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT Aug14 May22 Oct25 Oct02 Sep05 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
3  NORMANJITO (FR) Jul08 May16 Apr06     (walsh br)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
4  CAROLINA SUN Jul18 Jan10 Dec09 Nov03 Oct15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CARLOTUK May27 Oct24 Oct11 Jul24 Jun28 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
6  LIFE ADVICE Jun24 Jun06 May14 Apr18 Mar23 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
7  HEAVEN RULES Aug15 Jul31 Jul08 Jun26 Jul10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
PID-8   08/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 1.40 57% 0.70    
2  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Jul30 Jul10 Feb21 Jan22 Aug10 (antus lawre)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul30 Jul17 Jun17 May29 Mar14 (antus lawrence)LOPEZ DERECK 115 30.00    
4  SCENIC VIEW Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 May28 May21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 ★    
5  LOIS Aug05 Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 Dec05 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND Aug13 Jul30 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
7  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug13 Jun25 Jun10 May28 Oct16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
8  SPECTACULLARI Aug08 Jul19 May04 Apr02 Mar14 (boyer jr)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00    
9  STRAIGHT MADNESS Aug12 Jul22 Jul10 Jun11 Oct25 (wilson arian)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.