Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(3/7/5)-(3/1/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(3/2/6)-(5/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/9/7)-(7/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/7)-(5/9/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7)-(5/9/3/4/7)-(5/9/3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/7)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7)-(7/6/2)-(4/2/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/10/5/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(4/10/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/10/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/5/3/1)-(4/10/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/5/3/1)-(4/10/5/3/1)-(4/10/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL SENSE Jul20 Jun15 Jun06 May16 Mar22 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
2  GRAN ANDREWS Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 May09 Apr27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 62% 0.60    
3  RAGTIME RICHES Jun29 May24 Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00    
4  TAPIO (IRE) May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Feb21 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  INDIMAAJ Jul19 Jul06 May25 Apr24 Mar14 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 6.00 ★    
6  ROAD SLEW Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
7  ADVANCE CASH Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 May11 Mar13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
CT-2   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M FRIESAN Aug01 Jul06 Jun15     (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
2  SPEEDY N SMART Aug04 Jul26 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00    
3  DICE ARM Aug01 Jun15 May30 May10 Apr14 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
4  TIZZ THE G Jul20 Feb15 Dec15 Nov24   (pickett cry)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 30.00    
5  MAKAAN Aug01 Jun15 May30 Apr12 Feb09 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MADAM LEOTA Aug01 Feb03 Dec16 Oct13   (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 8.00    
7  NO BODY LIKES ME Aug01         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
CT-3   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLE CANDY Aug15 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  CUT HIM LOOSE Jul26 Jun08 May16 Apr18 Mar08 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.00    
3  DREAM LEADER Jul25 Jun29 May30 May02   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  PALACIO Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May16 Apr27 (tobin edwi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 20.00    
5  SWIPE THAT CANDY Jul26 Jul13 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jul26 Jul13 May30 May16 May04 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 7% 14.20    
7  UNUSUALLY LUCKY Jun28 Mar15 Feb14 Nov04 Aug03 (mcclure)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
8  LUZIA Jul26 Jun20 Nov29 Sep23 Aug25 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   08/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BABY GIRL Jul12 Jun13 Jun06 May03 Apr12 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
2  TIDBIT Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 116 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  QUEEN NEFERTARI Jul04 Jun13 May23     (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 117 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Jul25 Jun13 May24 May03 Apr12 (rofe jean)LEWIS M 117 1.40    
5  EXTRA DIRTY Aug01 Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr12 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
6  RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Jul12 Jun13 Mar02     (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  LOVELY DRAMA Jul11 May18 Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   08/22/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID REASON Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 Jun06 May09 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 Jul04 Jun01 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
3  LA RUNA Feb23 Feb04 Jan18 Dec08 Oct28 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 ★    
4  DING DING Jul04 May09 Mar20 Feb22 Feb02 (sanderson s)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 ★    
5  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Aug02 Jul18 May09 Mar09 Feb16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.20 69% 0.40    
6  RIVER REWARDS RVF Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 30.00    
7  GREEN GABLES Jul04 May09 Apr17 Mar13 Feb29 (adorno )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Aug02 Jul03 Jun16 May17 Apr19 (martinez a)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
9  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Aug02 Jul18 May09 Mar20 Feb14 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 10% 9.40    
10  SULTRY SALLY H Aug02 Jul18 Jun23 Jun16 May12 (vick timot)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FROSTED CUPP Jul27         (jackson l)CULLUM W 119 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of WILD MOMENT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  BLOOD BROTHER Jul04 Jun16 May23 May09 Feb22 (viands stace)LEWIS M 114 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  HURRICANE JIM Jul27         (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 119 30.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of LAST SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  WELL SPOTTED Apr12 Feb17 Feb01     (viands r)BOCACHICA O 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUST LOVELY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  TOUCHED UP Jul13 Jul04       (jones micha)ROBLES O 114 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ENHANCED by MALIBU MOON)
6  YANGARRA Aug15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 May26 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
7  ROMANTIC WARRIOR Jul12 Jun21       (lewis r)MAWING A 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
SCR  ADIOS PLUMA Aug17         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 1.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TAR AND FEATHER by AWESOME OF COURSE)
9  NO BRAKE NEEDED Jul27 Jun13 May26 Apr12 Mar07 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 2.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CT-7   08/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILMARY CASTLE Jun08 May17 Apr18 Feb15 Jan31 (bourne)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
2  DAY DRAMA Jul27 Jun20 Jun08 May24 May02 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00 19% 4.20    
3  DREAM STREET ROSE May30 May16 Apr18 Apr05 Mar08 (jones micha)ROBLES O 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PETTY PERFECT Jul13 Jun20 May30 May09 Oct27 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  NAVY BAND Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80    
6  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Jul27 Jun20 May30 May04 Apr14 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 116 6.00    
7  STILL GRUMPY Aug10 Jun29 Jun20     (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 15% 5.60    
 
CT-8   08/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICO LUCKY Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 May18 May10 (harting chris)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAMSEY Aug15 Aug05 Jul04 Jun13 May25 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80    
3  CATCHING STARS Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 May05 Apr21 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
4  NEVER GREW UP Jul11 Jun20 May31 Apr05 Mar10 (carlisle )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  RUSH CENTER Aug01 Jun16 Jun03 May14 May04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  IRISH KING Aug01 Jul13 Jun01 May18 Apr20 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
7  SMOKIN SMITTY Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 May31 May10 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
8  HE ROLLS Jul27 Feb08 Jan12 Jan05 Dec15 (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00    
9  TAPADINE Aug01 Jul11 Nov30 Nov04 Sep15 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
10  RAINBOW DAY Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 May09 Apr18 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 111 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.